Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(ALKERMES PLC)
ALKS latest price $58.5100 (-0.95%) ($57.5600 - $59.1100) on Fri. Nov. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.19% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $58.5100(-0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALKS advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALKS advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALKS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(34%)    XBI(33%)    XLV(29%)    IVE(27%)    IWM(27%)
Factors Impacting ALKS price   ALKS will decline at least -2.095% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.095% (StdDev 4.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.68(3.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.29(7.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.04(12.43%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   38.3%
Market Cap   $9.305b

Alkermes Plc is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development, research, and commercialization of medicines that are designed to address unmet medical needs of patients in major therapeutic areas. Its products include Aristada, which is used for the treatment of schizophrenia in adults; and Vivitrol, which is an injectable medication for the treatment of alcohol dependence and for the prevention of relapse to opioid dependence, following opioid detoxification. The company was founded on May 4, 2011 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. ALKS price fluctuates within 10.17% (three month std-dev: 4.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 1.19%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.82%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 6.33%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -3.3%(64%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 4.02%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.74%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_11_2016	47.9	52.04	54.29	56.68	56.91	58.79	58.51(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	240	31	64	1.18	63%	0.31	63.2	4.19%	0	1.2	52	INF
2	Nov_10_2016	47.75	51.24	53.51	55.37	55.68	57.9	59.07(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	300	62	46	1.27	63%	0.34	53.3	4.18%	0	1.5	56	INF
3	Nov_9_2016	47.59	50.47	52.72	53.78	53.79	55.03	58.01(7.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	36	160	37	32	2.69	63%	0.34	44.7	4.2%	0	1.5	77	INF
4	Nov_8_2016	47.43	49.74	52.18	52.64	52.62	53.47	53.85(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	110	18	34	1.12	58%	0.25	37.4	4.1%	0	0.8	75	INF
5	Nov_7_2016	47.31	49.28	52.19	52.24	52.16	52.55	53.97(3.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	50	20	58	1.12	58%	0.28	34.6	4.11%	0	1	73	INF

6	Nov_4_2016	47.18	48.89	52.4	51.53	51.61	52.55	51.96(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	30	3	80	1.08	58%	0.21	30.7	4.09%	0	0.6	73	INF
7	Nov_3_2016	47.08	48.57	52.74	51.34	51.45	51.77	51.13(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	50	4	116	1.46	58%	0.19	28.6	4.09%	0	0.5	73	INF
8	Nov_2_2016	46.99	48.28	52.09	51.46	51.31	51.46	52.28(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	10	0	120	1.61	58%	0.21	28.4	4.09%	0	0.9	70	INF
9	Nov_1_2016	46.89	47.97	51.24	51.65	51.57	51.12	51.88(2.92%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	23	-70	-10	123	1.56	58%	0.21	27.9	4.09%	0	0.9	70	INF
10	Oct_31_2016	46.79	47.67	50.47	52.17	52.26	51.16	50.41(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-140	-30	127	0.9	58%	0.17	28.4	4.08%	0	0.6	65	INF

11	Oct_28_2016	46.71	47.48	49.74	53.42	53.34	52.02	51.01(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-180	-34	142	1.08	55%	0.15	35.6	4.1%	0	0.8	61	INF
12	Oct_27_2016	46.64	47.26	48.92	54.35	54.57	53.37	51.72(-2.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	35	-140	-8	163	1.21	55%	0.13	40	4.19%	0	1	63	INF
13	Oct_26_2016	46.58	46.99	48.15	52.7	55.57	54.67	53.24(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	50	26	146	1.81	55%	0.15	25.2	4.18%	0	1.5	67	INF
14	Oct_25_2016	46.51	46.72	47.16	50.63	52.87	55.78	54.46(-3.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	53	520	35	106	1.94	55%	0.19	10.2	4.17%	0	1.9	66	INF
15	Oct_24_2016	46.42	46.42	46.12	48.44	49.83	56.47	56.69(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	125	1020	132	102	2.2	55%	0.26	-5.2	4.14%	0	2.7	70	INF

16	Oct_21_2016	46.3	45.95	44.96	45.57	46.62	49.97	55.62(27.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.3	117	570	138	52	14.32	55%	0.19	-33.4	4.14%	0	3.1	66	INF
17	Oct_20_2016	46.21	45.57	43.83	42.91	43.06	43.19	43.51(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	30	-4	-100	3.09	38%	-0.06	-69.2	2.3%	0	-0.8	33	INF
18	Oct_19_2016	46.24	45.93	43.99	42.98	43.09	43.27	42.86(-1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-24	40	3	-103	0.64	38%	-0.06	-62.1	2.32%	0	-1.2	32	INF
19	Oct_18_2016	46.27	46.31	44.34	43.14	43.23	42.92	43.5(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-40	-8	-116	0.56	38%	-0.06	-57	2.32%	0	-1.1	27	INF
20	Oct_17_2016	46.3	46.62	44.6	43.37	43.54	42.91	42.37(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-66	-90	-40	-142	0.48	36%	-0.09	-51.4	2.29%	0	-1.6	19	INF

21	Oct_14_2016	46.34	47	45.06	44.2	44.28	43.53	42.3(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-59	-110	-37	-126	0.93	36%	-0.04	-42.9	2.29%	0	-1.9	27	INF
22	Oct_13_2016	46.36	47.37	45.55	44.88	45.05	44.16	43.87(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-52	-130	-30	-118	0.64	38%	0	-31.8	2.25%	0	-1.6	27	INF
23	Oct_12_2016	46.36	47.61	45.85	45.15	45.46	45.03	43.65(-2.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-58	-50	-33	-132	0.75	38%	0	-29	2.27%	0	-2	23	INF
24	Oct_11_2016	46.36	47.84	46.36	45.7	45.69	45.93	44.67(-3.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	40	-8	-116	0.6	39%	0.04	-24.2	2.25%	0	-1.8	28	INF
25	Oct_10_2016	46.34	47.98	46.86	46	45.89	45.89	46.49(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-10	7	-105	0.58	42%		-20.6	2.2%	0	-0.9	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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