Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ALKS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(ALKERMES PLC)
ALKS latest price $38.0300 (-0.76%) ($36.5800 - $38.8400) on Thu. Apr. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.77% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $38.0300(-0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALKS advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALKS advances 10% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALKS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(36%)    XBI(35%)    XLV(30%)    IWM(28%)    IWO(28%)
Factors Impacting ALKS price   ALKS will decline at least -3.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.385% (StdDev 6.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.95(2.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.69(9.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.92(15.52%)
To recent high   -47.2%
To recent low   30.9%
Market Cap   $6.048b

Alkermes Plc is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development, research, and commercialization of medicines that are designed to address unmet medical needs of patients in major therapeutic areas. Its products include Aristada, which is used for the treatment of schizophrenia in adults; and Vivitrol, which is an injectable medication for the treatment of alcohol dependence and for the prevention of relapse to opioid dependence, following opioid detoxification. The company was founded on May 4, 2011 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. ALKS price fluctuates within 8.23% (three month std-dev: 6.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 2.49%(75%) Average negative next day return: -2.03%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 4.07%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.96%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 4.73%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.15%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2016	50.21	32.92	34.69	36.95	36.92	37.67	38.03(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	140	16	95	2	21%	-0.75	46.2	6.77%	0	1.9	76	INF
2	Apr_6_2016	50.59	32.59	33.98	36.18	36.13	36.78	38.32(5.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	37	120	19	92	1.68	21%	-0.75	35.9	6.78%	0	2.4	79	INF
3	Apr_5_2016	50.97	32.26	33.36	34.96	35.07	36.17	36.39(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	230	16	79	1.71	21%	-0.74	21.3	6.74%	0	2	69	INF
4	Apr_4_2016	51.35	32.1	32.78	34.16	34.18	35.48	36.35(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	38	270	28	69	1.36	19%	-0.73	15.4	6.74%	0	2.3	60	INF
5	Apr_1_2016	51.73	31.89	32.14	32.93	32.95	33.97	35.67(4.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	25	220	20	39	1.53	19%	-0.73	-7	6.76%	0	2.4	56	INF

6	Mar_31_2016	52.11	31.72	31.55	32.1	32	32.89	34.19(6.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	17	190	15	21	1.94	19%	-0.78	-29.1	6.78%	0	1.9	57	INF
7	Mar_30_2016	52.52	31.74	31.03	31.46	31.45	31.94	32.21(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	110	6	-0	1.24	19%	-0.83	-35.9	6.72%	0	0.3	52	INF
8	Mar_29_2016	52.96	31.83	30.83	31.52	31.26	31.11	32.36(7.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-60	4	-5	1.35	19%	-0.79	-31.6	6.72%	0	0.3	50	INF
9	Mar_28_2016	53.38	31.82	30.79	31.52	31.35	30.96	30.21(-4.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-70	-3	-18	1.07	14%	-1.15	-42.8	6.64%	0	-1	38	INF
10	Mar_24_2016	54	31.99	31.05	31.19	31.28	31.42	31.54(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	40	2	-15	1.33	14%	-0.77	-42.7	6.63%	0	-0.3	47	INF

11	Mar_23_2016	54.42	32.11	31.04	30.88	31	31.74	30.96(-4.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	180	11	-20	1.81	16%	-0.78	-44.4	6.63%	0	-0.7	44	INF
12	Mar_22_2016	54.85	32.26	31.12	30.5	30.31	31.15	32.55(5.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	180	14	-34	1.67	16%	-0.78	-52.7	6.63%	0	0.2	41	INF
13	Mar_21_2016	55.28	32.33	31.07	30.06	29.74	30.25	30.71(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	90	2	-51	1.58	16%	-0.77	-57.4	6.57%	0	-1	37	INF
14	Mar_18_2016	55.71	32.49	31.37	30.38	29.85	29.47	30.2(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-140	-7	-47	2.61	16%	-0.75	-49.8	6.56%	0	-1.4	45	INF
15	Mar_17_2016	56.13	32.67	31.61	30.92	30.55	29.22	29.99(3.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-340	-15	-45	2.41	16%	-0.69	-37	6.56%	0	-1.8	41	INF

16	Mar_16_2016	56.52	32.83	31.91	31.23	31.39	30.23	29.05(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-27	-240	-21	-46	2.37	22%	-0.63	-24.2	6.53%	0	-2.6	37	INF
17	Mar_15_2016	56.88	33.13	32.53	31.78	32.03	31.88	30.36(-5.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10	-10	-31	1.85	22%	-0.59	4.6	6.63%	0	-2.4	39	INF
18	Mar_14_2016	57.22	33.3	32.94	32.19	32.25	32.55	32.29(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	70	-1	-21	1.03	22%	-0.52	35.4	6.61%	0	-1	44	INF
19	Mar_11_2016	57.52	33.31	32.96	32.51	32.37	32.18	32.91(4.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-50	1	-19	1.12	22%	-0.5	46.9	6.61%	0	-0.4	46	INF
20	Mar_10_2016	57.81	33.24	33.02	32.45	32.58	31.96	31.54(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-120	-8	-24	1.24	22%	-0.52	32.3	6.58%	0	-1.6	43	INF

21	Mar_9_2016	58.11	33.18	33.28	32.72	32.77	32.56	31.78(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-40	-13	-20	1.7	22%	-0.51	21.3	6.58%	0	-1.1	48	INF
22	Mar_8_2016	58.41	33.08	33.52	33.4	33.28	33.2	32.41(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-30	-4	-8	1.68	22%	-0.53	18.6	6.58%	0	-0.4	42	INF
23	Mar_7_2016	58.72	32.95	33.52	33.8	33.28	32.97	33.93(4.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	0	-160	0	1	2.14	22%	-0.47	14.6	6.58%	0	0.6	54	INF
24	Mar_4_2016	59	32.86	33.69	33.47	33.68	33.36	32.58(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-50	-10	-4	1.95	25%	-0.52	9.9	6.55%	0	-0.2	53	INF
25	Mar_3_2016	59.31	32.9	33.81	33.68	33.76	34.39	32.91(-6.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	4	140	2	10	1.58	24%		20.5	6.57%	0	0	60	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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