Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ALKS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(ALKERMES PLC)
ALKS latest price $38.3200 (5.3%) ($36.3000 - $38.3400) on Wed. Apr. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.78% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $38.3200(5.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALKS advances 3.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALKS advances 9.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALKS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(36%)    XBI(35%)    XLV(30%)    IWM(28%)    IWO(28%)
Factors Impacting ALKS price   ALKS will decline at least -3.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.39% (StdDev 6.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.18(5.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.98(12.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.59(17.58%)
To recent high   -48.9%
To recent low   31.9%
Market Cap   $6.094b

Alkermes Plc is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development, research, and commercialization of medicines that are designed to address unmet medical needs of patients in major therapeutic areas. Its products include Aristada, which is used for the treatment of schizophrenia in adults; and Vivitrol, which is an injectable medication for the treatment of alcohol dependence and for the prevention of relapse to opioid dependence, following opioid detoxification. The company was founded on May 4, 2011 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. ALKS price fluctuates within 7.46% (three month std-dev: 6.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.69%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.68%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.25%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.74%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.31%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160506

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2016	50.59	32.59	33.98	36.18	36.13	36.78	38.32(5.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	37	120	19	92	1.68	21%	-0.75	35.9	6.78%	0	2.4	79	0
2	Apr_5_2016	50.97	32.26	33.36	34.96	35.07	36.17	36.39(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	230	16	79	1.71	21%	-0.74	21.3	6.74%	0	2	69	0
3	Apr_4_2016	51.35	32.1	32.78	34.16	34.18	35.48	36.35(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	38	270	28	69	1.36	19%	-0.73	15.4	6.74%	0	2.3	60	0
4	Apr_1_2016	51.73	31.89	32.14	32.93	32.95	33.97	35.67(4.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	25	220	20	39	1.53	19%	-0.73	-7	6.76%	0	2.4	56	0
5	Mar_31_2016	52.11	31.72	31.55	32.1	32	32.89	34.19(6.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	17	190	15	21	1.94	19%	-0.78	-29.1	6.78%	0	1.9	57	0

6	Mar_30_2016	52.52	31.74	31.03	31.46	31.45	31.94	32.21(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	110	6	-0	1.24	19%	-0.83	-35.9	6.72%	0	0.3	52	0
7	Mar_29_2016	52.96	31.83	30.83	31.52	31.26	31.11	32.36(7.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-60	4	-5	1.35	19%	-0.79	-31.6	6.72%	0	0.3	50	0
8	Mar_28_2016	53.38	31.82	30.79	31.52	31.35	30.96	30.21(-4.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-70	-3	-18	1.07	14%	-1.15	-42.8	6.64%	0	-1	38	0
9	Mar_24_2016	54	31.99	31.05	31.19	31.28	31.42	31.54(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	40	2	-15	1.33	14%	-0.77	-42.7	6.63%	0	-0.3	47	0
10	Mar_23_2016	54.42	32.11	31.04	30.88	31	31.74	30.96(-4.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	180	11	-20	1.81	16%	-0.78	-44.4	6.63%	0	-0.7	44	0

11	Mar_22_2016	54.85	32.26	31.12	30.5	30.31	31.15	32.55(5.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	180	14	-34	1.67	16%	-0.78	-52.7	6.63%	0	0.2	41	0
12	Mar_21_2016	55.28	32.33	31.07	30.06	29.74	30.25	30.71(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	90	2	-51	1.58	16%	-0.77	-57.4	6.57%	0	-1	37	0
13	Mar_18_2016	55.71	32.49	31.37	30.38	29.85	29.47	30.2(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-140	-7	-47	2.61	16%	-0.75	-49.8	6.56%	0	-1.4	45	0
14	Mar_17_2016	56.13	32.67	31.61	30.92	30.55	29.22	29.99(3.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-340	-15	-45	2.41	16%	-0.69	-37	6.56%	0	-1.8	41	0
15	Mar_16_2016	56.52	32.83	31.91	31.23	31.39	30.23	29.05(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-27	-240	-21	-46	2.37	22%	-0.63	-24.2	6.53%	0	-2.6	37	0

16	Mar_15_2016	56.88	33.13	32.53	31.78	32.03	31.88	30.36(-5.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10	-10	-31	1.85	22%	-0.59	4.6	6.63%	0	-2.4	39	0
17	Mar_14_2016	57.22	33.3	32.94	32.19	32.25	32.55	32.29(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	70	-1	-21	1.03	22%	-0.52	35.4	6.61%	0	-1	44	0
18	Mar_11_2016	57.52	33.31	32.96	32.51	32.37	32.18	32.91(4.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-50	1	-19	1.12	22%	-0.5	46.9	6.61%	0	-0.4	46	0
19	Mar_10_2016	57.81	33.24	33.02	32.45	32.58	31.96	31.54(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-120	-8	-24	1.24	22%	-0.52	32.3	6.58%	0	-1.6	43	0
20	Mar_9_2016	58.11	33.18	33.28	32.72	32.77	32.56	31.78(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-40	-13	-20	1.7	22%	-0.51	21.3	6.58%	0	-1.1	48	0

21	Mar_8_2016	58.41	33.08	33.52	33.4	33.28	33.2	32.41(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-30	-4	-8	1.68	22%	-0.53	18.6	6.58%	0	-0.4	42	0
22	Mar_7_2016	58.72	32.95	33.52	33.8	33.28	32.97	33.93(4.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	0	-160	0	1	2.14	22%	-0.47	14.6	6.58%	0	0.6	54	0
23	Mar_4_2016	59	32.86	33.69	33.47	33.68	33.36	32.58(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-50	-10	-4	1.95	25%	-0.52	9.9	6.55%	0	-0.2	53	0
24	Mar_3_2016	59.31	32.9	33.81	33.68	33.76	34.39	32.91(-6.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	4	140	2	10	1.58	24%	-0.45	20.5	6.57%	0	0	60	0
25	Mar_2_2016	59.58	32.92	33.82	33.89	33.65	34.01	35.19(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	50	9	24	1.92	24%		26.8	6.55%	0	1.3	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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