Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(ALKERMES PLC)
ALKS latest price $32.3600 (7.12%) ($30.0300 - $32.5700) on Tue. Mar. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.72% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $32.3600(7.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALKS advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALKS declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALKS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(36%)    XBI(35%)    XLV(30%)    IWM(28%)    IWO(28%)
Factors Impacting ALKS price   ALKS will decline at least -3.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.36% (StdDev 6.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.52(2.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.83(4.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.83(1.67%)
To recent high   -59.2%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $5.146b

Alkermes Plc is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development, research, and commercialization of medicines that are designed to address unmet medical needs of patients in major therapeutic areas. Its products include Aristada, which is used for the treatment of schizophrenia in adults; and Vivitrol, which is an injectable medication for the treatment of alcohol dependence and for the prevention of relapse to opioid dependence, following opioid detoxification. The company was founded on May 4, 2011 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. ALKS price fluctuates within 4.84% (three month std-dev: 6.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160429

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_29_2016	52.96	31.83	30.83	31.52	31.26	31.11	32.36(7.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-60	4	-5	1.35	19%	-0.79	-31.6	6.72%	0	0.3	50	INF
2	Mar_28_2016	53.38	31.82	30.79	31.52	31.35	30.96	30.21(-4.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-70	-3	-18	1.07	14%	-1.15	-42.8	6.64%	0	-1	38	INF
3	Mar_24_2016	54	31.99	31.05	31.19	31.28	31.42	31.54(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	40	2	-15	1.33	14%	-0.77	-42.7	6.63%	0	-0.3	47	INF
4	Mar_23_2016	54.42	32.11	31.04	30.88	31	31.74	30.96(-4.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	180	11	-20	1.81	16%	-0.78	-44.4	6.63%	0	-0.7	44	INF
5	Mar_22_2016	54.85	32.26	31.12	30.5	30.31	31.15	32.55(5.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	180	14	-34	1.67	16%	-0.78	-52.7	6.63%	0	0.2	41	INF

6	Mar_21_2016	55.28	32.33	31.07	30.06	29.74	30.25	30.71(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	90	2	-51	1.58	16%	-0.77	-57.4	6.57%	0	-1	37	INF
7	Mar_18_2016	55.71	32.49	31.37	30.38	29.85	29.47	30.2(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-140	-7	-47	2.61	16%	-0.75	-49.8	6.56%	0	-1.4	45	INF
8	Mar_17_2016	56.13	32.67	31.61	30.92	30.55	29.22	29.99(3.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-340	-15	-45	2.41	16%	-0.69	-37	6.56%	0	-1.8	41	INF
9	Mar_16_2016	56.52	32.83	31.91	31.23	31.39	30.23	29.05(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-27	-240	-21	-46	2.37	22%	-0.63	-24.2	6.53%	0	-2.6	37	INF
10	Mar_15_2016	56.88	33.13	32.53	31.78	32.03	31.88	30.36(-5.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10	-10	-31	1.85	22%	-0.59	4.6	6.63%	0	-2.4	39	INF

11	Mar_14_2016	57.22	33.3	32.94	32.19	32.25	32.55	32.29(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	70	-1	-21	1.03	22%	-0.52	35.4	6.61%	0	-1	44	INF
12	Mar_11_2016	57.52	33.31	32.96	32.51	32.37	32.18	32.91(4.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-50	1	-19	1.12	22%	-0.5	46.9	6.61%	0	-0.4	46	INF
13	Mar_10_2016	57.81	33.24	33.02	32.45	32.58	31.96	31.54(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-120	-8	-24	1.24	22%	-0.52	32.3	6.58%	0	-1.6	43	INF
14	Mar_9_2016	58.11	33.18	33.28	32.72	32.77	32.56	31.78(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-40	-13	-20	1.7	22%	-0.51	21.3	6.58%	0	-1.1	48	INF
15	Mar_8_2016	58.41	33.08	33.52	33.4	33.28	33.2	32.41(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-30	-4	-8	1.68	22%	-0.53	18.6	6.58%	0	-0.4	42	INF

16	Mar_7_2016	58.72	32.95	33.52	33.8	33.28	32.97	33.93(4.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	0	-160	0	1	2.14	22%	-0.47	14.6	6.58%	0	0.6	54	INF
17	Mar_4_2016	59	32.86	33.69	33.47	33.68	33.36	32.58(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-50	-10	-4	1.95	25%	-0.52	9.9	6.55%	0	-0.2	53	INF
18	Mar_3_2016	59.31	32.9	33.81	33.68	33.76	34.39	32.91(-6.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	4	140	2	10	1.58	24%	-0.45	20.5	6.57%	0	0	60	INF
19	Mar_2_2016	59.58	32.92	33.82	33.89	33.65	34.01	35.19(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	50	9	24	1.92	24%	-0.4	26.8	6.55%	0	1.3	73	INF
20	Mar_1_2016	59.82	32.8	33.77	33.67	33.67	33.12	34.41(6.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	7	-110	-1	32	1.24	24%	-0.43	19.8	6.54%	0	1	73	INF

21	Feb_29_2016	60.08	32.8	33.65	33.6	33.83	33.3	32.27(-3.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-90	-12	38	1.54	19%	-0.48	10.4	6.42%	0	-0.3	66	INF
22	Feb_26_2016	60.37	32.7	33.7	33.95	34.11	34.21	33.61(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	30	-1	50	2.25	19%	-0.46	4.8	6.42%	0	0.6	56	INF
23	Feb_25_2016	60.65	32.55	33.48	33.94	34.18	34.37	33.97(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	60	7	49	2.06	19%	-0.44	-4	6.48%	0	0.9	52	INF
24	Feb_24_2016	60.92	32.47	33.1	33.72	33.76	34.01	34.07(-0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	60	-1	34	1.57	19%	-0.41	-83.5	6.48%	0	1	52	INF
25	Feb_23_2016	61.17	32.48	32.62	33.88	33.75	33.99	34.1(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	40	5	29	1.38	19%		-140.4	6.49%	0	1	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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