Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(ALKERMES PLC)
ALKS latest price $33.9300 (4.14%) ($31.8400 - $34.9200) on Mon. Mar. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.58% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $33.9300(4.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALKS advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALKS advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALKS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(37%)    XBI(36%)    XLV(30%)    IWM(28%)    IWO(28%)
Factors Impacting ALKS price   ALKS will decline at least -3.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.29% (StdDev 6.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.8(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.69(0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.95(2.97%)
To recent high   -57.7%
To recent low   16.8%
Market Cap   $5.396b

Alkermes Plc is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development, research, and commercialization of medicines that are designed to address unmet medical needs of patients in major therapeutic areas. Its products include Aristada, which is used for the treatment of schizophrenia in adults; and Vivitrol, which is an injectable medication for the treatment of alcohol dependence and for the prevention of relapse to opioid dependence, following opioid detoxification. The company was founded on May 4, 2011 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. ALKS price fluctuates within 5.19% (three month std-dev: 6.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.08%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.82%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.8%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160407

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_7_2016	58.72	32.95		33.8		32.97	33.93(4.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	0	-160	0	1	2.14	22%	-0.47	14.6	6.58%	0	0.6	54	0
2	Mar_4_2016	59	32.86	33.69	33.47	33.68	33.36	32.58(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-50	-10	-4	1.95	25%	-0.52	9.9	6.55%	0	-0.2	53	0
3	Mar_3_2016	59.31	32.9	33.81	33.68	33.76	34.39	32.91(-6.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	4	140	2	10	1.58	24%	-0.45	20.5	6.57%	0	0	60	0
4	Mar_2_2016	59.58	32.92	33.82	33.89	33.65	34.01	35.19(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	50	9	24	1.92	24%	-0.4	26.8	6.55%	0	1.3	73	0
5	Mar_1_2016	59.82	32.8	33.77	33.67	33.67	33.12	34.41(6.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	7	-110	-1	32	1.24	24%	-0.43	19.8	6.54%	0	1	73	0

6	Feb_29_2016	60.08	32.8	33.65	33.6	33.83	33.3	32.27(-3.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-90	-12	38	1.54	19%	-0.48	10.4	6.42%	0	-0.3	66	0
7	Feb_26_2016	60.37	32.7	33.7	33.95	34.11	34.21	33.61(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	30	-1	50	2.25	19%	-0.46	4.8	6.42%	0	0.6	56	0
8	Feb_25_2016	60.65	32.55	33.48	33.94	34.18	34.37	33.97(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	60	7	49	2.06	19%	-0.44	-4	6.48%	0	0.9	52	0
9	Feb_24_2016	60.92	32.47	33.1	33.72	33.76	34.01	34.07(-0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	60	-1	34	1.57	19%	-0.41	-83.5	6.48%	0	1	52	0
10	Feb_23_2016	61.17	32.48	32.62	33.88	33.75	33.99	34.1(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	40	5	29	1.38	19%	-0.44	-140.4	6.49%	0	1	53	0

11	Feb_22_2016	61.44	32.54	32.17	33.73	33.79	33.99	34.01(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-50	4	18	1.34	19%	-0.45	-188.6	6.49%	0	0.8	54	0
12	Feb_19_2016	61.72	32.54	31.96	33.41	33.6	33.51	33.57(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-0	2	13	1.16	19%	-0.44	-231.9	6.48%	0	0.5	56	0
13	Feb_18_2016	61.99	32.62	31.9	32.94	33.25	34.06	32.85(-5.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	200	13	17	1.57	19%	-0.43	-289.9	6.47%	0	0.1	59	0
14	Feb_17_2016	62.26	33.85	31.93	32.33	32.43	33.69	34.89(4.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	280	26	15	1.53	19%	-0.34	-94.2	6.44%	0	0.2	57	0
15	Feb_16_2016	62.47	34.94	31.7	31.17	31.49	32.44	33.31(2.65%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	15	240	23	-10	1.39	19%	-0.37	-77.8	6.41%	0	-0.2	45	0

16	Feb_12_2016	62.7	36.26	31.61	30.4	30.42	31.18	32.45(4.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	180	7	-37	2.3	18%	-0.52	-68.8	6.35%	0	-0.4	39	0
17	Feb_11_2016	63.03	37.75	31.55	30.34	30.04	30.54	31.19(4.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	90	0	-52	2.58	18%	-0.57	-62.5	6.33%	0	-0.6	33	0
18	Feb_10_2016	63.39	39.29	31.51	30.76	30.5	29.66	29.83(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-220	-10	-58	1.67	18%	-0.6	-60.1	6.29%	0	-0.7	40	0
19	Feb_9_2016	63.77	41.11	31.78	31.47	31.2	29.54	29.06(-1.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-50	-400	-27	-120	1.78	18%	-0.62	-56.9	6.28%	0	-0.9	17	0
20	Feb_8_2016	64.17	43.03	32.36	32.27	32.21	31.34	29.45(-8.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-55	-190	-21	-157	1.59	18%	-0.68	-55	6.29%	0	-0.9	19	0

21	Feb_5_2016	64.61	45.06	33	32.93	32.77	32.85	32.17(-3.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-49	0	-1	-191	3.07	20%	-0.65	-54.1	6.22%	0	-0.8	19	0
22	Feb_4_2016	65.03	46.99	33.38	32.9	32.74	33.09	33.31(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-50	60	11	-233	1.49	20%	-0.6	-54	6.21%	0	-0.8	19	0
23	Feb_3_2016	65.42	49.02	33.42	32.37	32.19	32.69	33.36(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-67	90	6	-285	2.09	20%	-0.61	-54.1	6.22%	0	-0.9	21	0
24	Feb_2_2016	65.82	51.08	35.86	32.17	31.85	32.4	33.08(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-71	90	1	-288	2.54	20%	-0.59	-54.8	6.22%	0	-1	18	0
25	Feb_1_2016	66.21	53.16	38.31	32.51	32.12	31.69	32.75(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-78	-130	-7	-290	2.38	20%		-55.8	6.23%	0	-1.2	17	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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