Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: ALKS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(ALKERMES PLC)
ALKS latest price $72.3000 (-1.05%) ($71.8700 - $74.4700) on Fri. Nov. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.98% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $72.3000(-1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALKS advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALKS advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALKS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(38%)    XBI(37%)    XLV(30%)    IWO(29%)    IWM(27%)
Factors Impacting ALKS price   ALKS will decline at least -1.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-4%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.49% (StdDev 2.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $73.43(-1.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.05(-1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.52(1.09%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   31.3%
Market Cap   $11.498b

Alkermes Plc is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development, research, and commercialization of medicines that are designed to address unmet medical needs of patients in major therapeutic areas. Its products include Aristada, which is used for the treatment of schizophrenia in adults; and Vivitrol, which is an injectable medication for the treatment of alcohol dependence and for the prevention of relapse to opioid dependence, following opioid detoxification. The company was founded on May 4, 2011 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. ALKS price fluctuates within 5.22% (three month std-dev: 2.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.26%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.23%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.81%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2015	65.63	71.52	73.05	73.43	73.84	73.39	72.3(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-30	-8	14	0.81	50%	0.14	82.4	2.98%	0	0.2	44	INF
2	Nov_19_2015	65.54	71.02	73.03	73.38	73.64	74	73.07(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	40	3	18	0.82	49%	0.17	72.4	3.04%	0	0.5	55	INF
3	Nov_18_2015	65.43	70.44	72.87	73.05	73.13	74.29	74.29(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	110	21	21	1.33	49%	0.18	62.8	3.05%	0	0.8	62	INF
4	Nov_17_2015	65.31	69.76	72.63	72.94	72.72	73.29	74.28(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	50	24	34	0.71	51%	0.2	60.3	3.05%	0	0.9	72	INF
5	Nov_16_2015	65.18	69.1	72.36	72.86	72.58	71.98	73.2(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-70	-2	42	0.6	51%	0.18	62.7	3.08%	0	0.8	76	INF

6	Nov_13_2015	65.06	68.57	72.36	72.64	72.74	72.15	72.07(0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-50	-16	63	0.64	49%	0.15	63.9	3.11%	0	0.7	77	INF
7	Nov_12_2015	64.96	68.04	72.41	72.63	72.7	73.17	71.42(-3.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	50	1	99	0.63	49%	0.15	64	3.11%	0	0.6	78	INF
8	Nov_11_2015	64.86	67.57	72.39	72.59	72.36	73.34	73.74(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	90	27	140	0.67	51%	0.2	64.1	3.08%	0	1.1	86	INF
9	Nov_10_2015	64.73	66.85	71.74	72.24	71.73	72.23	73.87(2.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	54	30	20	154	0.7	51%	0.22	61.1	3.08%	0	1.3	87	INF
10	Nov_9_2015	64.59	66.06	70.8	71.82	71.46	71.38	72.12(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	37	-20	-2	152	0.7	51%	0.19	60	3.1%	0	1.1	83	INF

11	Nov_6_2015	64.47	65.4	69.9	72.19	71.64	71.22	71.99(1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	34	-60	-9	162	0.59	51%	0.19	63.6	3.12%	0	1.2	74	INF
12	Nov_5_2015	64.35	64.83	68.9	72.18	72.04	71.54	71.22(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	36	-50	-8	168	0.69	51%	0.17	66.4	3.14%	0	1.2	75	INF
13	Nov_4_2015	64.24	64.24	67.9	72.13	72.03	72.06	72.01(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	51	-0	9	176	0.96	51%	0.2	69.5	3.16%	0	1.5	75	INF
14	Nov_3_2015	64.11	63.62	66.73	71.09	71.32	72.53	71.77(-2.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	74	130	39	177	1.21	51%	0.2	68.4	3.19%	0	1.7	78	INF
15	Nov_2_2015	63.98	62.93	65.6	69.54	69.56	72	73.96(2.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	100	250	74	177	1.28	51%	0.25	67.9	3.19%	0	2.5	86	INF

16	Oct_30_2015	63.82	62.17	64.37	67.25	67.13	70.12	71.92(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	106	310	89	155	1.17	51%	0.22	68.5	3.2%	0	2.7	79	INF
17	Oct_29_2015	63.68	61.55	63.25	65.15	64.77	67.11	70.99(6.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	92	240	83	120	1.83	51%	0.2	63.4	3.22%	0	3.3	70	INF
18	Oct_28_2015	63.55	60.93	62.24	63.09	62.95	64.15	66.81(4.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	60	130	53	81	1.16	48%	0.09	51.7	3.15%	0	3	67	INF
19	Oct_27_2015	63.49	60.5	61.46	61.75	61.73	62.43	64.04(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	80	26	46	0.61	45%	0.02	16.2	3.12%	0	1.9	62	INF
20	Oct_26_2015	63.48	60.06	60.85	61.07	60.93	61.75	62.47(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	90	12	27	0.8	45%	-0.03	-23.4	3.13%	0	1.4	63	INF

21	Oct_23_2015	63.5	59.78	60.51	61.05	60.9	61.04	61.46(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	10	15	27	1.15	45%	-0.06	-53.7	3.15%	0	1	55	INF
22	Oct_22_2015	63.54	59.77	60.43	61.02	60.95	60.11	60.69(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-100	-16	15	0.83	45%	-0.08	-71.5	3.17%	0	0.5	51	INF
23	Oct_21_2015	63.59	59.93	60.35	61.24	61.28	60.76	60.1(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-60	-15	21	1.17	45%	-0.11	-71.6	3.2%	0	0.1	53	INF
24	Oct_20_2015	63.66	60.2	60.34	61.07	61.39	61.78	60.61(-2.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	60	12	33	0.66	45%	-0.09	-71.7	3.23%	0	0.2	57	INF
25	Oct_19_2015	63.72	60.47	60.14	60.53	60.71	61.8	62.38(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	130	26	39	0.77	45%		-73	3.24%	0	0.6	72	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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