Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Align Technology Inc)
ALGN latest price $72.1800 (-1.58%) ($71.9300 - $73.0600) on Tue. Apr. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.77% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $72.1800(-1.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALGN declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALGN advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWO(55%)    VT(55%)    VUG(55%)    IVW(54%)    IWF(54%)
Factors Impacting ALGN price   ALGN will decline at least -1.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-6%)    IPO(-1%)    IGOV(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.385% (StdDev 2.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.65(-0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.66(0.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.13(1.48%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   23.1%
Market Cap   $5.686b

Align Technology, Inc. engages in the manufacture, design, and marketing of global medical devices. It operates through the Clear Aligner, and Scanner and Services segments. The Clear Aligner segment consists of invisalign full, teen and assist products, and vivera retainers along with training and ancillary products for treating malocclusion. The Scanner and Services segment comprises of intraoral scanning systems and additional services available with the intraoral scanners that provide digital alternatives to the traditional cast models. The company was founded by Zia Chishti, Brian Freyburger and Kelsey Wirth in March 1997 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ALGN price fluctuates within 2.05% (three month std-dev: 2.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.35%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.67%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.86%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.99%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.69%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.73%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160505

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2016	65.9	71.13	71.66	72.65	72.75	72.86	72.18(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	10	-2	43	0.63	44%	0.11	55.1	2.77%	0	0.7	54	INF
2	Apr_4_2016	65.83	71.09	71.34	72.71	72.74	72.96	73.34(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	20	17	43	0.61	43%	0.17	74.5	2.77%	0	1.6	53	INF
3	Apr_1_2016	65.72	70.94	70.9	72.11	72.25	72.65	73.02(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	40	15	22	0.56	43%	0.14	85.3	2.79%	0	1.5	51	INF
4	Mar_31_2016	65.63	70.75	70.44	71.55	71.63	72.52	72.69(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	90	25	12	1	43%	0.12	94.6	2.81%	0	1.5	58	INF
5	Mar_30_2016	65.55	70.54	70.38	70.97	70.93	71.85	72.01(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	90	31	10	0.62	43%	0.09	100.5	2.81%	0	1.1	55	INF

6	Mar_29_2016	65.49	70.34	70.26	70.53	70.28	70.74	72.47(3.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	20	40	26	1	0.92	43%	0.08	104.1	2.81%	0	1.5	56	INF
7	Mar_28_2016	65.44	70.03	70.19	69.8	69.78	70.01	70.35(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	20	10	-16	0.78	40%	0.05	83.6	2.78%	0	0.2	45	INF
8	Mar_24_2016	65.41	69.8	70.36	69.51	69.49	69.82	70.23(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	30	11	-16	0.6	40%	0.06	63.2	2.79%	0	0.2	50	INF
9	Mar_23_2016	65.37	69.54	70.38	69.15	69.24	69.56	69.78(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	40	6	-21	0.69	40%	0.05	53.5	2.79%	0	0.1	53	INF
10	Mar_22_2016	65.34	69.25	70.48	69.73	68.84	69.15	69.82(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10	-5	-11	0.67	40%	0.05	54	2.79%	0	0.2	57	INF

11	Mar_21_2016	65.31	68.93	70.56	69.97	69.44	68.93	68.8(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-70	-7	-0	0.89	40%	0.06	56.3	2.79%	0	-0	57	INF
12	Mar_18_2016	65.27	68.73	70.85	70.65	70.08	68.53	68.9(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-28	-180	-41	13	1.29	40%	0.05	67.8	2.79%	0	0.1	63	INF
13	Mar_17_2016	65.24	68.48	71.03	71.33	70.86	69.96	68.47(-5.74%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-23	-110	-43	39	3.11	40%	0.03	76.9	2.8%	0	-0	64	INF
14	Mar_16_2016	65.22	68.23	71.17	71.72	71.73	71.63	72.64(2.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	25	-10	5	84	0.7	44%	0.09	81.5	2.7%	0	1.2	83	INF
15	Mar_15_2016	65.16	67.75	70.77	71.33	71.42	71.76	71.04(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	40	3	95	0.62	44%	0.05	84.3	2.69%	0	0.9	84	INF

16	Mar_14_2016	65.13	67.3	70.47	71.24	71.17	71.82	72.21(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	60	18	117	0.49	44%	0.06	89.4	2.68%	0	1.4	90	INF
17	Mar_11_2016	65.09	66.64	69.88	71.11	70.9	71.09	72.3(2.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	10	17	123	0.65	44%	0.18	74.7	2.68%	0	1.5	80	INF
18	Mar_10_2016	64.97	65.97	69.2	70.73	70.66	70.52	70.42(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-20	0	121	0.69	44%	0.15	60.2	2.66%	0	1.1	79	INF
19	Mar_9_2016	64.87	65.46	68.63	70.53	70.5	70.71	70.69(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	38	20	8	129	0.72	42%	0.14	50.4	2.66%	0	1.3	81	INF
20	Mar_8_2016	64.78	64.86	67.92	70.1	70.05	70.8	70.6(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	70	23	130	0.84	42%	0.15	36.6	2.68%	0	1.5	79	INF

21	Mar_7_2016	64.68	64.26	67.17	69.55	69.35	70.29	71.55(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	65	90	42	134	0.62	42%	0.17	22.7	2.68%	0	1.9	86	INF
22	Mar_4_2016	64.57	63.92	66.42	68.45	68.38	69.29	70.39(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	62	90	39	132	0.77	42%	0.16	15.9	2.68%	0	1.8	89	INF
23	Mar_3_2016	64.47	63.71	65.69	67.45	67.37	68.4	69.44(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	63	100	40	132	0.47	40%	0.2	19.5	2.67%	0	1.7	88	INF
24	Mar_2_2016	64.34	63.55	65.01	66.45	66.37	67.47	68.51(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	65	110	45	124	0.56	40%	0.2	20.1	2.7%	0	1.6	78	INF
25	Mar_1_2016	64.21	63.45	64.44	65.41	65.3	66.33	67.86(2.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	62	110	43	120	0.69	40%		19.1	2.7%	0	1.4	80	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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