Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Align Technology Inc)
ALGN latest price $62.6500 (-0.82%) ($62.0000 - $64.7500) on Tue. Jan. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $62.6500(-0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALGN advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALGN advances 4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(54%)    IWM(53%)    SPY(53%)    QQQ(52%)    XLK(52%)
Factors Impacting ALGN price   ALGN will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-3%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.88(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.4(5.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.88(8.24%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   41.2%
Market Cap   $4.936b

Align Technology, Inc. engages in the manufacture, design, and marketing of global medical devices. It operates through the Clear Aligner, and Scanner and Services segments. The Clear Aligner segment consists of invisalign full, teen and assist products, and vivera retainers along with training and ancillary products for treating malocclusion. The Scanner and Services segment comprises of intraoral scanning systems and additional services available with the intraoral scanners that provide digital alternatives to the traditional cast models. The company was founded by Zia Chishti, Brian Freyburger and Kelsey Wirth in March 1997 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ALGN price fluctuates within 4.41% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 1.65%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.45%(50%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 4.21%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.37%(60%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 4.7%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.81%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_13_2015	53.89	57.88	59.4	61.88	62.28	63.13	62.65(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	106	110	66	224	1.16	90%	0.15	57.6	1.47%	0	1.9	80	0
2	Jan_12_2015	53.81	57.51	58.76	60.84	61.14	62.57	63.17(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	121	180	96	195	1.1	90%	0.17	48.6	1.47%	0	2.4	84	0
3	Jan_9_2015	53.72	57.15	58.07	59.61	59.73	61.43	62.58(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	123	210	113	154	1.55	79%	0.17	41	1.53%	0	2.8	85	0
4	Jan_8_2015	53.63	56.82	57.47	58.33	58.32	59.7	61.44(3.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	100	170	97	109	1.29	79%	0.11	31	1.56%	0	3.2	85	0
5	Jan_7_2015	53.57	56.6	56.96	57.22	57.37	58.03	59.57(3.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	63	90	62	66	1.05	74%	0.09	18.1	1.53%	0	3.2	83	0

6	Jan_6_2015	53.52	56.44	56.66	56.58	56.79	56.94	57.45(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	30	18	34	0.83	71%	0.04	5.9	1.5%	0	1.5	70	0
7	Jan_5_2015	53.5	56.4	56.59	56.36	56.55	56.71	56.99(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	30	4	27	0.59	71%	0.06	-4.5	1.51%	0	0.9	63	0
8	Jan_2_2015	53.47	56.4	56.5	56.29	56.57	56.64	56.2(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	20	4	22	0.8	67%	0	-15.5	1.51%	0	-0.3	47	0
9	Dec_31_2014	53.47	56.37	56.44	56.45	56.59	56.4	55.91(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-20	-11	16	0.22	62%	0.04	-15.7	1.54%	0	-0.8	43	0
10	Dec_30_2014	53.45	56.43	56.38	56.64	56.78	56.49	56.36(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-30	-13	6	0.16	58%	0.04	-6.5	1.59%	0	-0.1	37	0

11	Dec_29_2014	53.43	56.41	56.29	56.74	56.88	56.78	56.33(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-0	-12	2	0.27	58%	0.06	-0.9	1.63%	0	-0.1	46	0
12	Dec_26_2014	53.4	56.43	56.24	56.84	56.94	57.07	56.66(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	20	7	7	0.15	58%	0.04	16.1	1.63%	0	0.4	48	0
13	Dec_24_2014	53.38	56.46	56.21	56.73	56.83	56.98	57.01(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	20	16	7	0.14	58%	0.06	30.8	1.64%	0	0.8	55	0
14	Dec_23_2014	53.35	56.46	56.15	56.42	56.59	56.81	56.84(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	15	40	20	-1	0.32	56%	0.06	34.2	1.65%	0	0.5	54	0
15	Dec_22_2014	53.32	56.47	56.21	56.07	56.12	56.67	56.88(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	14	70	22	-9	0.3	54%	0.06	38.3	1.66%	0	0.6	48	0

16	Dec_19_2014	53.29	56.41	56.19	55.77	55.79	56.37	56.83(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	22	70	32	-10	0.74	54%	0.06	34.7	1.68%	0	0.6	57	0
17	Dec_18_2014	53.26	56.33	56.17	55.55	55.56	55.58	56.1(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	0	10	-28	0.49	54%	0.02	27.1	1.68%	0	-0.3	45	0
18	Dec_17_2014	53.25	56.26	56.19	55.63	55.51	55.21	55.45(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-40	-23	-45	0.64	54%	0	24.2	1.67%	0	-0.9	38	0
19	Dec_16_2014	53.25	56.23	56.29	55.85	55.99	55.54	55.08(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-50	-27	-45	0.42	54%	0.02	36.3	1.67%	0	-1.3	36	0
20	Dec_15_2014	53.24	56.21	56.49	56.36	56.4	55.82	55.41(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-70	-30	-29	0.54	52%	-0.02	57.8	1.67%	0	-0.8	40	0

21	Dec_12_2014	53.25	56.17	56.55	56.65	56.67	56.44	55.73(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-30	-24	-15	0.45	52%	0.04	70.8	1.69%	0	-0.4	53	0
22	Dec_11_2014	53.23	56.13	56.68	56.86	56.88	56.98	56.46(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	7	10	5	14	0.46	52%	0.08	82.5	1.69%	0	0.3	61	0
23	Dec_10_2014	53.19	56.05	56.76	56.83	56.79	56.9	56.57(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	10	8	31	0.69	52%	0.08	93.9	1.69%	0	0.5	65	0
24	Dec_9_2014	53.15	55.91	56.83	56.78	56.61	56.79	57.63(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	10	6	43	0.53	54%	0.11	90.4	1.68%	0	1.4	69	0
25	Dec_8_2014	53.09	55.66	56.75	56.66	56.62	56.68	56.84(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	10	13	59	0.62	54%		80.9	1.68%	0	0.9	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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