Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ALGN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Align Technology Inc)
ALGN latest price $47.5900 (4.87%) ($46.8200 - $48.4795) on Mon. Oct. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $47.5900(4.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALGN advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALGN declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(54%)    IWM(53%)    SPY(53%)    QQQ(52%)    XLK(52%)
Factors Impacting ALGN price   ALGN will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-3%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $33.38(-29.86%)
Resistance Level   $48.39
5 Day Moving Average   $45.41(4.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.84(3.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.39(-1.65%)
To recent high   -15.9%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $3.749b

Align Technology, Inc. engages in the manufacture, design, and marketing of global medical devices. It operates through the Clear Aligner, and Scanner and Services segments. The Clear Aligner segment consists of invisalign full, teen and assist products, and vivera retainers along with training and ancillary products for treating malocclusion. The Scanner and Services segment comprises of intraoral scanning systems and additional services available with the intraoral scanners that provide digital alternatives to the traditional cast models. The company was founded by Zia Chishti, Brian Freyburger and Kelsey Wirth in March 1997 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ALGN price fluctuates within 6.9% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.9%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.06%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.64%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.33%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2014	53.05	48.39	45.84	45.41	45.55	46.69	47.59(4.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	26	180	72	-111	0.93	43%	-0.15	-62.9	1.7%	0	-0.2	31	0
2	Oct_17_2014	53.13	48.68	45.83	44.89	44.82	45.13	45.38(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	40	25	-200	0.65	35%	-0.17	-63.3	1.59%	0	-0.9	15	0
3	Oct_16_2014	53.22	49.14	46.12	44.85	44.79	44.4	45.16(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-76	-60	-18	-248	0.99	35%	-0.15	-63.1	1.62%	0	-1.1	13	0
4	Oct_15_2014	53.3	49.6	46.47	45.15	45.12	44.51	44.56(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-109	-100	-52	-280	0.97	35%	-0.19	-63.5	1.61%	0	-1.4	12	0
5	Oct_14_2014	53.4	50.08	47.01	45.79	45.87	45.17	44.37(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-101	-100	-42	-277	1.13	35%	-0.17	-63.5	1.61%	0	-1.6	10	0

6	Oct_13_2014	53.49	50.58	47.73	46.32	46.47	45.72	44.96(-0.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-106	-100	-51	-269	0.88	35%	-0.17	-65	1.61%	0	-1.7	17	0
7	Oct_10_2014	53.58	51.04	48.53	46.9	46.95	46.57	45.22(-3.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-99	-50	-48	-252	1	35%	-0.15	-67.4	1.61%	0	-1.9	16	0
8	Oct_9_2014	53.66	51.54	49.33	47.56	47.54	47.21	46.63(-2.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-75	-50	-22	-235	0.92	37%	-0.11	-67.7	1.57%	0	-1.7	17	0
9	Oct_8_2014	53.72	52	49.95	47.99	47.91	47.33	47.79(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-89	-90	-39	-239	0.82	39%	-0.04	-68	1.55%	0	-1.6	22	0
10	Oct_7_2014	53.74	52.38	50.54	48.45	48.37	47.87	47.03(-1.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-105	-80	-62	-235	1.02	37%	-0.07	-68	1.54%	0	-2.1	21	0

11	Oct_6_2014	53.78	52.8	51.15	49.38	49.26	48.49	47.86(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-97	-120	-60	-208	1.29	38%	-0.06	-67.1	1.54%	0	-2.2	22	0
12	Oct_3_2014	53.81	53.2	51.77	50.43	50.3	48.87	48.49(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-106	-210	-82	-176	1.74	38%	-0.02	-60.5	1.55%	0	-2.3	27	0
13	Oct_2_2014	53.82	53.56	52.42	51.37	51.37	50.03	48.8(-2.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-107	-180	-94	-145	2.39	38%	-0.02	-55.7	1.55%	0	-2.8	24	0
14	Oct_1_2014	53.83	53.9	53.01	52.18	52.34	51.73	50.07(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-74	-70	-62	-110	1.22	44%	-0.02	-55.9	1.53%	0	-2.8	25	0
15	Sep_30_2014	53.84	54.18	53.42	52.92	52.92	52.71	51.68(-2.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-32	-30	-18	-74	0.84	47%	0	-58.9	1.52%	0	-2.3	31	0

16	Sep_29_2014	53.84	54.38	53.68	53.17	53.13	52.95	53.12(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-30	-13	-70	0.56	50%	0.07	-60.4	1.48%	0	-1.4	40	0
17	Sep_26_2014	53.8	54.45	53.76	53.34	53.25	53.14	53.19(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-20	-21	-78	0.78	53%	0.09	-58.1	1.51%	0	-1.4	37	0
18	Sep_25_2014	53.75	54.54	53.92	53.68	53.58	53.31	52.83(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-40	-15	-65	0.46	56%	0.09	-49.3	1.53%	0	-2.1	37	0
19	Sep_24_2014	53.7	54.68	54.19	53.98	53.93	53.35	53.8(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-80	-21	-54	0.61	58%	0.09	-41.5	1.54%	0	-1.2	41	0
20	Sep_23_2014	53.65	54.81	54.34	54	54.16	53.85	52.93(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-38	-30	-31	-59	0.32	56%	0.04	-29.7	1.53%	0	-2.3	34	0

21	Sep_22_2014	53.63	54.94	54.55	54.25	54.32	54.51	53.94(-1.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-6	30	5	-40	0.52	59%	0.07	-23	1.51%	0	-1.4	37	0
22	Sep_19_2014	53.59	54.96	54.71	54.25	54.19	54.47	54.88(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	30	13	-32	0.84	62%	0.07	-26.2	1.49%	0	-0.1	54	0
23	Sep_18_2014	53.55	54.95	54.75	54.22	54.11	54.14	54.37(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-0	-3	-35	0.32	62%	0.07	-27.9	1.49%	0	-0.9	48	0
24	Sep_17_2014	53.51	54.99	54.84	54.46	54.34	53.91	53.9(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-60	-19	-34	0.31	62%	0.07	-15.8	1.5%	0	-1.7	39	0
25	Sep_16_2014	53.47	55.05	54.99	54.74	54.66	54.08	54.17(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-34	-80	-33	-37	0.86	62%		5.4	1.5%	0	-1.4	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.