Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: ALGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Align Technology Inc)
ALGN latest price $56.7900 (-0.99%) ($56.5700 - $57.7900) on Wed. Jul. 2, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.05% (three month average)
RSI   90
Latest Price   $56.7900(-0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ALGN advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ALGN advances 5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ALGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(54%)    IWM(53%)    SPY(53%)    QQQ(52%)    XLK(52%)
Factors Impacting ALGN price   ALGN will decline at least -1.025% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-3%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.025% (StdDev 2.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.33(0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.67(3.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.34(6.47%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   18.2%
Market Cap   $4.474b

Align Technology, Inc. engages in the manufacture, design, and marketing of global medical devices. It operates through the Clear Aligner, and Scanner and Services segments. The Clear Aligner segment consists of invisalign full, teen and assist products, and vivera retainers along with training and ancillary products for treating malocclusion. The Scanner and Services segment comprises of intraoral scanning systems and additional services available with the intraoral scanners that provide digital alternatives to the traditional cast models. The company was founded by Zia Chishti, Brian Freyburger and Kelsey Wirth in March 1997 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ALGN price fluctuates within 3.69% (three month std-dev: 2.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(75%) Average negative next day return: -1.17%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.13%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -2.23%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.9%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140802

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_2_2014	52.3	53.34	54.67	56.33	56.48	57	56.79(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	62	70	29	162	0.87	71%	0.11	31.7	2.05%	0	1.8	90	INF
2	Jul_1_2014	52.24	53.15	54.17	55.78	55.92	56.55	57.36(2.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	72	90	44	156	1.21	73%	0.13	26.7	2.05%	0	2.3	84	INF
3	Jun_30_2014	52.17	52.95	53.53	54.86	55	55.95	56.04(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	62	130	42	121	1.36	73%	0.1	14.6	2.07%	0	1.9	70	INF
4	Jun_27_2014	52.12	52.87	53.01	54.15	54.08	55.28	56.32(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	66	150	56	95	10.72	73%	0.12	5.3	2.08%	0	2.3	65	INF
5	Jun_26_2014	52.06	52.75	52.44	53.36	53.26	54.05	55.13(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	50	100	48	56	1.46	69%	0.08	-4.2	2.07%	0	1.7	58	INF

6	Jun_25_2014	52.02	52.72	51.99	52.77	52.63	52.87	54.05(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	20	22	13	1.1	69%	0.06	-8.9	2.07%	0	1	50	INF
7	Jun_24_2014	51.99	52.67	51.72	52.33	52.34	52.46	52.74(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	20	12	-13	1.38	65%	0.02	-7.8	2.04%	0	0.1	41	INF
8	Jun_23_2014	51.98	52.71	51.67	51.99	52.05	52.4	52.51(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	50	15	-30	0.93	65%	0.02	-5.2	2.06%	0	-0.2	34	INF
9	Jun_20_2014	51.97	52.79	51.71	51.68	51.73	52.22	52.39(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	70	24	-46	1.22	65%	0.02	1.2	2.07%	0	-0.3	26	INF
10	Jun_19_2014	51.96	52.81	51.79	51.36	51.32	51.71	52.16(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	50	21	-64	0.63	65%	0	4.7	2.07%	0	-0.5	29	INF

11	Jun_18_2014	51.96	52.84	51.9	51.09	51.02	51.24	51.83(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	30	9	-85	0.56	67%	0	7.9	2.08%	0	-0.8	24	INF
12	Jun_17_2014	51.96	52.77	52.05	51.04	50.99	50.94	51.06(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-10	-5	-92	0.6	68%	-0.04	3.6	2.09%	0	-1.2	39	INF
13	Jun_16_2014	51.98	52.78	52.32	51.32	51.2	50.81	50.95(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-60	-20	-90	0.75	68%	-0.02	7.5	2.1%	0	-1.2	35	INF
14	Jun_13_2014	51.99	52.77	52.72	51.76	51.69	51.03	50.78(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-43	-90	-31	-79	0.73	68%	-0.04	18.1	2.11%	0	-1.3	32	INF
15	Jun_12_2014	52.01	52.75	53.11	52.28	52.3	51.59	50.81(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-90	-36	-57	0.83	68%	-0.04	31.4	2.13%	0	-1.2	44	INF

16	Jun_11_2014	52.03	52.74	53.55	52.83	52.87	52.36	51.6(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-70	-27	-27	0.65	68%	-0.02	45.7	2.14%	0	-0.7	47	INF
17	Jun_10_2014	52.04	52.72	53.74	53.18	53.25	53.01	52.47(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-12	-30	-16	2	0.64	68%	0.02	56.7	2.15%	0	-0.1	65	INF
18	Jun_9_2014	52.03	52.67	53.88	53.47	53.4	53.38	53.15(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-10	-13	25	0.7	68%	0.04	64.4	2.16%	0	0.3	63	INF
19	Jun_6_2014	52.01	52.5	53.98	53.84	53.68	53.48	53.37(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-30	-7	57	0.8	68%	0.04	63.9	2.18%	0	0.5	66	INF
20	Jun_5_2014	51.99	52.25	53.94	54.09	54	53.42	53.56(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-80	-20	75	0.61	68%	0.06	54.9	2.19%	0	0.6	69	INF

21	Jun_4_2014	51.96	51.99	53.87	54.4	54.31	53.87	53.37(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-60	-18	99	1.13	68%	0.04	51.1	2.21%	0	0.6	66	INF
22	Jun_3_2014	51.94	51.78	53.58	54.36	54.52	54.58	53.89(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	20	0	103	1.18	68%	0.08	47.8	2.23%	0	0.9	62	INF
23	Jun_2_2014	51.9	51.6	53.29	54.32	54.27	54.74	55.01(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	60	11	107	0.82	68%	0.12	51.2	2.23%	0	1.6	65	INF
24	May_30_2014	51.84	51.36	52.83	54.15	54.13	54.46	54.61(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	40	25	113	1.29	68%	0.1	53.9	2.25%	0	1.6	70	INF
25	May_29_2014	51.79	51.16	52.35	53.77	53.8	53.8	55.12(3.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	0	13	108	1.46	68%		53.6	2.27%	0	2.1	76	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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