Trading Signals: AIG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: AIG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American International Group Inc.)
AIG latest price $53.0100 (2.3%) ($52.3900 - $53.0700) on Fri. Jul. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $53.0100(2.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   AIG declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AIG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(74%)    IWD(70%)    IVE(69%)    IWN(69%)    SDY(68%)
Factors Impacting AIG price   AIG will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-17%)    IPO(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.03(1.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.44(3.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.63(0.72%)
To recent high   -9.1%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $45.665b

American International Group, Inc. engages in the provision of a range of property casualty insurance, life insurance, retirement products, and other financial services to commercial and individual customers. It operates through the following segments: General Insurance, Life and Retirement, Other Operations, and Legacy Portfolio. The General Insurance segment consists of insurance businesses in North America and International business areas. The Life and Retirement segment includes Individual Retirement, Group Retirement, Life Insurance, and Institutional Markets. The Other Operations segment covers income from assets held by the company and other corporate subsidiaries. The Legacy Portfolio segment consists of run-off insurance lines and legacy investments. The company was founded by Cornelius Vander Starr in 1919 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AIG price fluctuates within 3.1% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.21%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.68%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.91%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.05%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.03%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.66%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2016	54.24	52.63	51.44	52.03	51.79	52.24	53.01(2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	10	50	29	-46	6.56	50%	0.02	-69.4	1.6%	0	0.2	48	INF
2	Jul_7_2016	54.23	52.76	51.56	52.01	51.81	51.32	51.82(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-80	-2	-54	7.62	45%	-0.02	-68	1.57%	0	-0.5	44	INF
3	Jul_6_2016	54.24	53	51.72	51.94	51.96	51.34	51.26(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-80	-23	-66	8.32	45%	-0.02	-65.2	1.58%	0	-0.9	42	INF
4	Jul_5_2016	54.25	53.28	51.96	51.65	51.95	52.3	51.21(-3.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	60	14	-64	9.38	45%	-0.02	-67.2	1.59%	0	-1	41	INF
5	Jul_1_2016	54.26	53.58	52.2	51.17	51.4	52.57	52.87(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	27	170	60	-73	6.17	49%	0.04	-70.3	1.54%	0	-0.3	44	INF

6	Jun_30_2016	54.24	53.78	52.24	50.74	50.51	51.59	52.89(2.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	140	39	-110	10.47	51%	0	-72.1	1.54%	0	-0.4	41	INF
7	Jun_29_2016	54.24	54.02	52.29	51.1	50.32	50.23	51.46(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-60	-3	-133	8.57	48%	0	-66.9	1.52%	0	-1	31	INF
8	Jun_28_2016	54.24	54.33	52.5	51.54	51.22	49.44	49.82(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-100	-260	-76	-172	9.84	43%	-0.06	-62.3	1.47%	0	-1.8	20	INF
9	Jun_27_2016	54.27	54.74	52.94	52.34	52.29	50.41	48.79(-3.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-153	-250	-140	-191	12.32	39%	-0.09	-57	1.44%	0	-2.5	13	INF
10	Jun_24_2016	54.32	55.23	53.53	53.33	53.44	53	50.72(-7.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-90	-50	-70	-148	14.91	44%	-0.06	-51.5	1.38%	0	-2.2	15	INF

11	Jun_23_2016	54.35	55.6	53.98	53.87	54.06	54.17	54.71(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	20	29	-139	4.28	60%	0.02	-47.2	1.04%	0	-0.5	24	INF
12	Jun_22_2016	54.34	55.76	54.09	53.65	53.81	53.88	53.68(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0	-45	20	2	-184	4.78	56%	-0.04	-46.7	1.02%	0	-1.1	8	INF
13	Jun_21_2016	54.36	55.96	54.39	53.63	53.67	53.94	53.79(0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0.1	-43	40	8	-194	5.38	56%	-0.06	-42.8	1.02%	0	-1.2	10	INF
14	Jun_20_2016	54.39	56.13	54.7	53.67	53.68	53.75	53.73(0.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0	-41	10	12	-200	5.21	56%	-0.06	-40.1	1.02%	0	-1.4	9	INF
15	Jun_17_2016	54.42	56.3	55.05	53.8	53.7	53.39	53.42(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-79	-50	-31	-222	9.56	56%	-0.02	-36.9	1.02%	0	-1.7	4	INF

16	Jun_16_2016	54.43	56.46	55.43	54.12	53.98	53.62	53.63(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-93	-50	-50	-220	6.38	56%	-0.02	-34.9	1.02%	0	-1.9	15	INF
17	Jun_15_2016	54.44	56.63	55.85	54.61	54.46	54	53.57(-0.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-94	-70	-58	-200	6.81	56%	-0.04	-27.1	1.02%	0	-2.3	13	INF
18	Jun_14_2016	54.46	56.75	56.28	55.28	55.03	54.35	53.99(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-97	-100	-72	-171	8.39	56%	-0.04	-19	1.02%	0	-2.3	20	INF
19	Jun_13_2016	54.48	56.84	56.68	55.89	55.78	54.93	54.4(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-93	-110	-79	-134	5.45	56%	-0.04	-5.3	1.01%	0	-2.3	34	INF
20	Jun_10_2016	54.5	56.92	57.09	56.47	56.43	55.72	54.99(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-76	-90	-73	-85	8.11	64%	0	13.6	1.05%	0	-2	36	INF

21	Jun_9_2016	54.5	57	57.38	56.93	56.93	56.62	56.1(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-43	-40	-44	-38	7.29	71%	0.02	37.3	1.02%	0	-1	52	INF
22	Jun_8_2016	54.49	57.01	57.59	57.27	57.16	57.15	56.92(-0.25%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-10	-10	-15	6	5.73	77%	0.02	54.5	1.01%	0	-0.1	55	INF
23	Jun_7_2016	54.48	56.98	57.59	57.44	57.33	57.23	57.06(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-20	-5	41	5.18	77%	0.06	62.2	1.02%	0	0.1	67	INF
24	Jun_6_2016	54.45	56.9	57.67	57.6	57.4	57.17	57.29(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-40	-27	58	5.74	77%	0.02	56.2	1.02%	0	0.4	70	INF
25	Jun_3_2016	54.44	56.79	57.65	57.81	57.63	57.43	57.26(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-30	-19	88	6.36	77%		55.8	1.02%	0	0.5	65	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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