Trading Signals: AIG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: AIG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American International Group Inc.)
AIG latest price $55.5200 (-1.07%) ($55.5000 - $56.2400) on Thu. Apr. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.49% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $55.5200(-1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AIG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AIG advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AIG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(75%)    IWD(70%)    IVE(69%)    IWN(69%)    SDY(68%)
Factors Impacting AIG price   AIG will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-17%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.52(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.89(1.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.39(2.08%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   10.6%
Market Cap   $47.827b

American International Group, Inc. engages in the provision of a range of property casualty insurance, life insurance, retirement products, and other financial services to commercial and individual customers. It operates through the following segments: General Insurance, Life and Retirement, Other Operations, and Legacy Portfolio. The General Insurance segment consists of insurance businesses in North America and International business areas. The Life and Retirement segment includes Individual Retirement, Group Retirement, Life Insurance, and Institutional Markets. The Other Operations segment covers income from assets held by the company and other corporate subsidiaries. The Legacy Portfolio segment consists of run-off insurance lines and legacy investments. The company was founded by Cornelius Vander Starr in 1919 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AIG price fluctuates within 1.73% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 0.99%(47%) Average negative next day return: -0.77%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 1.16%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -4.52%(40%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 1.84%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.1%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2016	55.62	54.39	54.89	55.52	55.61	55.9	55.52(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	40	7	62	5.28	50%	-0.14	56.1	1.49%	0	1.2	53	0
2	Apr_20_2016	55.7	54.28	54.66	55.47	55.48	55.81	56.12(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	40	26	62	3.67	48%	-0.14	59.2	1.48%	0	2	63	0
3	Apr_19_2016	55.78	54.15	54.44	55.27	55.26	55.32	55.72(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	10	20	49	3.96	48%	-0.14	64.2	1.5%	0	1.9	57	0
4	Apr_18_2016	55.86	54.04	54.23	54.88	55.01	55.14	55.28(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	20	14	34	8.69	48%	-0.16	61.3	1.5%	0	1.7	62	0
5	Apr_15_2016	55.95	53.96	54.13	54.51	54.65	55.21	54.95(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	80	28	31	6.93	45%	-0.02	57.1	1.51%	0	1.5	60	0

6	Apr_14_2016	55.96	53.86	54.1	54.15	54.21	54.89	55.26(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	44	90	46	36	5.95	45%	-0.16	55.3	1.53%	0	2.1	65	0
7	Apr_13_2016	56.05	53.74	53.97	53.72	53.75	54.09	55.14(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	27	50	30	16	6.49	43%	-0.14	50	1.54%	0	2.3	60	0
8	Apr_12_2016	56.13	53.63	53.89	53.52	53.43	53.52	53.79(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	3	10	3	2	11.8	40%	-0.16	57.6	1.53%	0	0.3	51	0
9	Apr_11_2016	56.22	53.59	53.85	53.49	53.5	53.4	53.41(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10	-5	-3	5.19	40%	-0.18	56.3	1.53%	0	-0.3	50	0
10	Apr_8_2016	56.32	53.57	53.85	53.69	53.6	53.34	53.16(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-40	-23	-4	5	39%	-0.16	69.8	1.52%	0	-0.7	47	0

11	Apr_7_2016	56.41	53.5	53.86	54.04	53.92	53.6	53.11(-1.85%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-11	-50	-18	11	5.62	37%	-0.16	64.4	1.53%	0	-0.5	51	0
12	Apr_6_2016	56.5	53.44	53.91	54.23	54.17	53.85	54.11(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-40	-17	23	5.58	37%	-0.12	62.7	1.55%	0	0.8	61	0
13	Apr_5_2016	56.57	53.33	53.87	54.31	54.3	54.24	53.68(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10	-9	35	6.61	37%	-0.14	62.6	1.55%	0	0.4	57	0
14	Apr_4_2016	56.65	53.28	53.86	54.25	54.41	54.49	54.4(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	20	16	48	5.31	35%	-0.09	74.8	1.54%	0	1.3	65	0
15	Apr_1_2016	56.7	53.17	53.79	54.05	54.09	54.35	54.89(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	40	15	45	6.46	35%	-0.09	76.9	1.57%	0	2	70	0

16	Mar_31_2016	56.75	53.04	53.61	53.67	53.82	54.33	54.05(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	70	26	46	8.32	35%	-0.12	77.2	1.57%	0	1.3	75	0
17	Mar_30_2016	56.82	52.93	53.5	53.55	53.46	53.83	54.52(2.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	31	40	24	50	8.38	35%	-0.12	79.3	1.57%	0	2.1	80	0
18	Mar_29_2016	56.89	52.79	53.34	53.39	53.29	53.31	53.39(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	-0	5	44	7.29	35%	-0.14	86.5	1.54%	0	0.9	68	0
19	Mar_28_2016	56.97	52.64	53.29	53.42	53.36	53.09	53.41(0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-40	-8	43	5.15	35%	-0.25	61.1	1.55%	0	0.9	57	0
20	Mar_24_2016	57.11	52.53	53.24	53.48	53.43	53.26	52.98(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-30	-16	47	5.61	35%	-0.14	58.9	1.55%	0	0.5	58	0

21	Mar_23_2016	57.19	52.45	53.12	53.52	53.6	53.63	53.44(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	10	7	55	6.42	35%	-0.14	54.6	1.55%	0	1	63	0
22	Mar_22_2016	57.27	52.33	52.94	53.42	53.44	53.59	53.72(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	20	8	50	6.1	35%	-0.19	44.3	1.56%	0	1.4	70	0
23	Mar_21_2016	57.38	52.19	52.76	53.28	53.25	53.57	53.57(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	40	17	49	4.56	35%	-0.17	37.9	1.57%	0	1.5	68	0
24	Mar_18_2016	57.48	52.11	52.66	53.14	53.03	53.28	53.71(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	30	30	19	61	9.91	35%	-0.17	31.5	1.57%	0	1.9	79	0
25	Mar_17_2016	57.58	51.99	52.51	52.97	52.84	52.94	53.18(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	10	16	63	5.79	35%		35.1	1.57%	0	1.5	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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