Trading Signals: AIG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: AIG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American International Group Inc.)
AIG latest price $52.6700 (1.17%) ($52.2500 - $53.4800) on Wed. Feb. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.62% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $52.6700(1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AIG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AIG declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AIG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(75%)    IWD(70%)    IVE(69%)    IWN(69%)    SDY(68%)
Factors Impacting AIG price   AIG will decline at least -0.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-6%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.81% (StdDev 1.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $46.69(-11.35%)
Resistance Level   $54.03
5 Day Moving Average   $52.14(1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.66(0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.03(-2.52%)
To recent high   -17.9%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $45.372b

American International Group, Inc. engages in the provision of a range of property casualty insurance, life insurance, retirement products, and other financial services to commercial and individual customers. It operates through the following segments: General Insurance, Life and Retirement, Other Operations, and Legacy Portfolio. The General Insurance segment consists of insurance businesses in North America and International business areas. The Life and Retirement segment includes Individual Retirement, Group Retirement, Life Insurance, and Institutional Markets. The Other Operations segment covers income from assets held by the company and other corporate subsidiaries. The Legacy Portfolio segment consists of run-off insurance lines and legacy investments. The company was founded by Cornelius Vander Starr in 1919 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AIG price fluctuates within 3.07% (three month std-dev: 1.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.56%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 8.49%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.95%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 5.91%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.89%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160317

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_17_2016	59.17	54.03	52.66	52.14		52.68	52.67(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-24	70	5	-110	9.89	32%	-0.05	-69.7	1.62%	0	-0.8	43	INF
2	Feb_16_2016	59.2	54.2	52.9	52.06	52.2	52.59	52.06(-1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	60	29	-109	13.23	35%	-0.03	-74.8	1.61%	0	-1.3	36	INF
3	Feb_12_2016	59.22	54.4	53.3	52.1	52.04	51.72	53(4.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-32	-50	-4	-117	17.51	34%	-0.07	-80.4	1.61%	0	-0.9	41	INF
4	Feb_11_2016	59.26	54.61	53.62	52.18	51.98	51.81	50.52(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-72	-30	-49	-142	18.85	29%	-0.12	-79.2	1.5%	0	-2.4	25	INF
5	Feb_10_2016	59.33	54.94	54.07	52.88	52.62	52.36	52.45(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-50	-9	-107	10.24	31%	-0.08	-89.2	1.44%	0	-1.7	38	INF

6	Feb_9_2016	59.38	55.21	54.29	53.25	52.97	52.14	52.25(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-70	-130	-55	-116	11.27	31%	-0.1	-90.7	1.43%	0	-2	39	INF
7	Feb_8_2016	59.44	55.49	54.67	53.87	53.58	52.89	52.3(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-76	-110	-68	-98	15.84	31%	-0.1	-94.4	1.44%	0	-2.3	35	INF
8	Feb_5_2016	59.5	55.75	55	54.66	54.36	53.81	53.37(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-50	-90	-46	-63	13.32	34%	-0.08	-105.9	1.42%	0	-1.9	38	INF
9	Feb_4_2016	59.55	56	55.3	55.29	55.01	54.28	54.02(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-110	-33	-39	12.29	34%	-0.08	-109.2	1.44%	0	-1.6	35	INF
10	Feb_3_2016	59.6	56.28	55.45	55.42	55.4	54.9	54.31(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-60	-33	-42	17.51	32%	-0.08	-104.5	1.44%	0	-1.4	40	INF

11	Feb_2_2016	59.65	56.59	55.54	55.47	55.51	55.75	55.33(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	30	-6	-47	12.8	33%	-0.03	-94.2	1.52%	0	-0.8	38	INF
12	Feb_1_2016	59.67	56.83	55.62	55.59	55.51	55.9	56.29(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	50	25	-41	12.28	34%	-0.03	-87.3	1.52%	0	-0.3	43	INF
13	Jan_29_2016	59.69	57.09	55.59	55.4	55.44	55.27	56.48(3.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-20	10	-64	10.82	34%	-0.03	-87.5	1.52%	0	-0.3	45	INF
14	Jan_28_2016	59.71	57.37	55.64	55.37	55.47	54.97	54.71(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-48	-60	-33	-93	12.17	36%	-0.07	-71.9	1.46%	0	-1.3	32	INF
15	Jan_27_2016	59.75	57.75	55.84	55.49	55.85	55.62	54.54(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-10	-14	-94	15.17	36%	-0.08	-60	1.59%	0	-1.4	27	INF

16	Jan_26_2016	59.8	58.1	56.18	55.6	55.91	55.96	55.91(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-24	20	2	-102	11.82	38%	-0.07	-52.9	1.56%	0	-0.9	27	INF
17	Jan_25_2016	59.84	58.39	56.34	55.65	55.56	56.08	55.36(-1.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-29	60	1	-119	10.24	38%	-0.05	-48.8	1.56%	0	-1.2	25	INF
18	Jan_22_2016	59.87	58.69	56.55	55.79	55.7	55.86	56.35(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	20	24	-133	9.54	39%	-0.05	-47.7	1.55%	0	-1	23	INF
19	Jan_21_2016	59.9	58.92	56.74	55.98	55.57	55.05	55.31(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-68	-90	-31	-177	8.29	37%	-0.07	-44.1	1.53%	0	-1.4	16	INF
20	Jan_20_2016	59.94	59.17	57.17	56.25	55.99	55.55	55.05(-1.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-83	-70	-47	-192	16.22	37%	-0.07	-40.3	1.53%	0	-1.7	14	INF

21	Jan_19_2016	59.98	59.42	57.72	56.84	56.8	56.1	56.16(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-63	-90	-26	-172	10.19	38%	-0.08	-36.8	1.52%	0	-1.5	24	INF
22	Jan_15_2016	60.03	59.63	58.14	57.14	57.19	56.43	56.09(-2.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-84	-90	-51	-181	11.69	41%	-0.08	-38.8	1.51%	0	-1.8	23	INF
23	Jan_14_2016	60.08	59.89	58.72	57.41	57.64	57.5	57.3(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-59	-0	-25	-160	9.12	43%	-0.03	-42.4	1.51%	0	-1.4	29	INF
24	Jan_13_2016	60.1	60.04	59.22	57.62	57.91	57.94	56.67(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	20	-12	-140	12.61	43%	0	-49	1.51%	0	-2	30	INF
25	Jan_12_2016	60.1	60.15	59.81	58.23	58.09	57.78	57.96(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-40	-24	-111	8.55	45%		-57.3	1.49%	0	-1.4	41	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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