Trading Signals: AIG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 25, 2015

Trading Signals: AIG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American International Group Inc.)
AIG latest price $62.4300 (-0.78%) ($62.4300 - $63.2200) on Thu. Jun. 25, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $62.4300(-0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AIG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AIG advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AIG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(75%)    IVE(70%)    VYM(67%)    XLI(66%)    PEJ(65%)
Factors Impacting AIG price   AIG will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $62.62(-0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.38(0.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.39(1.69%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $53.779b

American International Group, Inc. engages in the provision of a range of property casualty insurance, life insurance, retirement products, and other financial services to commercial and individual customers. It operates through the following segments: General Insurance, Life and Retirement, Other Operations, and Legacy Portfolio. The General Insurance segment consists of insurance businesses in North America and International business areas. The Life and Retirement segment includes Individual Retirement, Group Retirement, Life Insurance, and Institutional Markets. The Other Operations segment covers income from assets held by the company and other corporate subsidiaries. The Legacy Portfolio segment consists of run-off insurance lines and legacy investments. The company was founded by Cornelius Vander Starr in 1919 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AIG price fluctuates within 2.25% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.28%(58%) Average negative next day return: -0.72%(42%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 2.97%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.4%(33%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.68%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.09%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150725

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_25_2015	57.3	61.39	62.38	62.62	62.85	62.9	62.43(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	20	-4	90	6.89	69%	0.19	55.6	0.96%	0	0.8	63	INF
2	Jun_24_2015	57.19	61.24	62.34	62.59	62.65	63.11	62.92(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	50	29	114	6.06	69%	0.21	53.3	0.98%	0	1.2	65	INF
3	Jun_23_2015	57.07	61.06	62.22	62.38	62.43	62.81	63.32(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	50	50	118	9.15	69%	0.23	49.6	0.98%	0	1.6	63	INF
4	Jun_22_2015	56.94	60.85	61.89	62.38	62.14	62.18	62.58(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	10	9	93	7.19	68%	0.25	48.8	0.97%	0	1.3	68	INF
5	Jun_19_2015	56.8	60.71	61.61	62.11	62.06	62.05	61.83(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-0	-5	100	16.1	64%	0.23	56.7	0.96%	0	0.9	70	INF

6	Jun_18_2015	56.67	60.63	61.49	62.12	62.13	62.1	62.29(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-0	7	123	8.91	64%	0.25	63.5	0.98%	0	1.3	73	INF
7	Jun_17_2015	56.53	60.5	61.32	62.06	62.03	62.07	61.86(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	0	-2	130	7.21	64%	0.19	71	0.98%	0	1.2	64	INF
8	Jun_16_2015	56.42	60.38	61.24	62.02	62	62.16	61.98(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	64	20	31	161	10.86	64%	0.2	75.1	0.98%	0	1.4	65	INF
9	Jun_15_2015	56.31	60.22	61.01	61.62	61.7	61.99	62.57(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	72	40	46	151	19.86	64%	0.2	66.1	0.98%	0	2.1	70	INF
10	Jun_12_2015	56.2	60.01	60.63	61.04	61.1	61.83	61.89(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	60	90	44	109	7.04	64%	0.18	50.3	0.98%	0	1.8	61	INF

11	Jun_11_2015	56.1	59.86	60.3	60.76	60.68	61.41	61.99(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	74	80	69	89	8.33	64%	0.21	46.9	0.99%	0	2.2	59	INF
12	Jun_10_2015	55.98	59.69	60.04	60.49	60.42	60.38	61.68(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	-10	28	54	10.91	58%	0.2	47.2	0.99%	0	2.3	59	INF
13	Jun_9_2015	55.87	59.53	59.79	60.37	60.36	59.94	59.99(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-16	-50	-29	25	7.23	54%	0.07	56.1	1.01%	0	0.6	55	INF
14	Jun_8_2015	55.83	59.53	59.72	60.31	60.53	60.47	59.66(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	0	-3	35	8.48	54%	0.16	61.2	1.01%	0	0.2	57	INF
15	Jun_5_2015	55.74	59.49	59.74	60.12	60.33	60.77	60.5(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	60	38	55	6.38	57%	0.18	66.1	1%	0	1.4	66	INF

16	Jun_4_2015	55.64	59.41	59.7	59.74	59.8	60.58	60.61(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	55	90	55	53	8.34	57%	0.18	72.4	1%	0	1.7	61	INF
17	Jun_3_2015	55.54	59.29	59.62	59.51	59.37	59.89	61.11(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	63	50	65	56	12.44	57%	0.16	73.9	0.99%	0	2.7	66	INF
18	Jun_2_2015	55.45	59.13	59.43	59.16	59.07	59.02	59.68(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10	11	22	9.03	53%	0.14	79	0.95%	0	0.9	58	INF
19	Jun_1_2015	55.37	59.05	59.36	59.07	59.08	58.86	58.68(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-30	-28	-2	6.59	50%	0.11	82.5	0.93%	0	-0.6	46	INF
20	May_29_2015	55.31	59.02	59.34	59.31	59.26	59.12	58.61(-1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-23	-20	-30	0	6.82	50%	0.07	91.2	0.94%	0	-0.6	41	INF

21	May_28_2015	55.27	58.92	59.39	59.63	59.54	59.3	59.45(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-30	-17	25	4.12	53%	0.09	77.5	0.93%	0	0.6	55	INF
22	May_27_2015	55.22	58.79	59.33	59.63	59.77	59.41	59.39(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-40	-21	37	6.45	53%	0.09	72.9	0.93%	0	0.6	61	INF
23	May_26_2015	55.17	58.66	59.33	59.74	59.83	59.77	59.23(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-0	-14	47	5.05	53%	0.07	69.8	0.94%	0	0.5	62	INF
24	May_22_2015	55.13	58.56	59.27	59.67	59.76	60.13	59.88(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	50	36	76	4.58	55%	0.09	62.6	0.92%	0	1.2	65	INF
25	May_21_2015	55.08	58.41	59.23	59.37	59.41	59.89	60.22(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	57	60	48	82	6.74	55%		53.8	0.93%	0	1.6	71	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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