Trading Signals: AIG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: AIG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American International Group Inc.)
AIG latest price $55.8000 (-0.23%) ($55.1600 - $56.0900) on Tue. Mar. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $55.8000(-0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AIG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AIG advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AIG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(75%)    IVE(70%)    VYM(67%)    XLI(66%)    PEJ(65%)
Factors Impacting AIG price   AIG will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.47(0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.49(0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.3(0.9%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   14.2%
Market Cap   $48.068b

American International Group, Inc. engages in the provision of a range of property casualty insurance, life insurance, retirement products, and other financial services to commercial and individual customers. It operates through the following segments: General Insurance, Life and Retirement, Other Operations, and Legacy Portfolio. The General Insurance segment consists of insurance businesses in North America and International business areas. The Life and Retirement segment includes Individual Retirement, Group Retirement, Life Insurance, and Institutional Markets. The Other Operations segment covers income from assets held by the company and other corporate subsidiaries. The Legacy Portfolio segment consists of run-off insurance lines and legacy investments. The company was founded by Cornelius Vander Starr in 1919 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AIG price fluctuates within 0.87% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.62%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.57%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.89%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.6%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.31%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.44%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2015	53.91	55.3	55.49	55.47	55.5	55.71	55.8(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	30	21	17	5.68	55%	0.06	110.3	1.24%	0	1	60	INF
2	Mar_16_2015	53.88	55.26	55.46	55.19	55.25	55.55	55.93(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	12	40	14	5	5.92	53%	0.06	123	1.27%	0	1.4	58	INF
3	Mar_13_2015	53.85	55.16	55.46	55.23	55.04	55.3	55.3(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	20	6	12	6.51	52%	0.04	133	1.27%	0	0.3	58	INF
4	Mar_12_2015	53.83	55.03	55.43	55.23	55.2	54.95	55.6(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-40	3	19	5.89	49%	0.04	97.9	1.28%	0	0.7	53	INF
5	Mar_11_2015	53.81	54.88	55.37	55.37	55.36	54.77	54.72(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-26	-80	-35	3	6.65	47%	0.04	84.7	1.29%	0	-0.2	49	INF

6	Mar_10_2015	53.79	54.77	55.39	55.5	55.58	55.44	54.42(-3.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-19	-10	-29	13	14.51	46%	0.02	82.8	1.29%	0	-0.3	50	INF
7	Mar_9_2015	53.78	54.68	55.47	55.74	55.67	55.95	56.11(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	30	15	44	12.14	50%	0.06	86.8	1.24%	0	1.2	62	INF
8	Mar_6_2015	53.75	54.48	55.31	55.64	55.55	55.73	56(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	20	21	48	11.48	50%	0.07	92.5	1.23%	0	1.2	71	INF
9	Mar_5_2015	53.71	54.27	55.23	55.51	55.41	55.4	55.61(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	20	-10	7	59	5.61	50%	0.06	93.4	1.24%	0	1	78	INF
10	Mar_4_2015	53.68	54.07	55.16	55.37	55.33	55.37	55.38(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	0	4	74	6.06	51%	0.04	94.4	1.24%	0	0.9	78	INF

11	Mar_3_2015	53.66	53.87	55.1	55.26	55.23	55.42	55.58(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	20	13	92	5.95	51%	0.06	91.9	1.24%	0	1.1	77	INF
12	Mar_2_2015	53.63	53.62	55.03	55.15	55.07	55.28	55.65(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	20	20	115	7.28	52%	0.07	82.9	1.24%	0	1.2	79	INF
13	Feb_27_2015	53.59	53.29	54.87	54.93	54.94	55.03	55.33(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	10	10	118	15.03	52%	0.06	64	1.25%	0	1.1	79	INF
14	Feb_26_2015	53.56	53	54.6	54.91	54.85	54.86	54.93(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	30	-0	-1	122	6.59	52%	0.04	53.5	1.25%	0	1	79	INF
15	Feb_25_2015	53.54	52.72	54.35	54.92	54.85	54.86	54.8(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10	1	132	5.83	52%	0.04	47.8	1.26%	0	1	80	INF

16	Feb_24_2015	53.52	52.5	54.12	54.9	54.88	54.85	55.04(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	35	-0	-1	142	7.84	52%	0.06	48.1	1.27%	0	1.2	83	INF
17	Feb_23_2015	53.49	52.3	53.84	54.89	54.86	54.9	54.57(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	43	0	4	161	11.61	52%	0.04	50.7	1.28%	0	1.2	85	INF
18	Feb_20_2015	53.47	52.14	53.6	54.77	54.8	54.91	55.22(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	74	20	33	197	12.44	52%	0.06	54.1	1.28%	0	1.6	95	INF
19	Feb_19_2015	53.44	51.97	53.24	54.22	54.21	54.82	54.98(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	75	80	36	193	8.07	52%	0.06	52.5	1.29%	0	1.7	89	INF
20	Feb_18_2015	53.41	51.75	52.88	53.67	53.59	54.68	54.71(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	103	140	70	202	9.02	52%	0.04	45	1.3%	0	1.9	88	INF

21	Feb_17_2015	53.39	51.54	52.54	53.21	52.93	53.6	54.99(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	101	70	71	189	15.68	52%	0.06	35.3	1.31%	0	2.4	75	INF
22	Feb_13_2015	53.36	51.32	52.07	52.64	52.39	52.49	53.96(2.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	52	-0	23	139	19.89	50%	0.02	21.4	1.3%	0	2.2	64	INF
23	Feb_12_2015	53.35	51.13	51.57	52.27	52.23	52.27	52.45(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	0	6	99	9.32	46%	-0.02	-1.4	1.25%	0	1.2	55	INF
24	Feb_11_2015	53.36	51.07	51.26	52.1	52.17	52.29	52.25(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	20	13	69	7.48	46%	-0.06	-19.5	1.26%	0	1.2	47	INF
25	Feb_10_2015	53.39	51.04	50.97	51.96	52	52.18	52.41(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	30	18	50	5.58	46%		-34.7	1.27%	0	1.4	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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