Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. May. 8, 2020)

(Allergan plc)
AGN latest price $279.0385 (-1.14%) ($277.9575 - $282.7447) on Tue. Feb. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $279.0385(-1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGN advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGN advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(55%)    IBB(54%)    XBI(47%)    SPY(43%)    QQQ(42%)
Factors Impacting AGN price   AGN will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-18%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $280.05(-0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $276.46(0.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $269.77(3.44%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $91.999b

Allergan Plc engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following business segments: US Specialized Therapeutics; US General Medicine, and International. The US Specialized Therapeutics segment includes sales and expenses relating to branded products within the United States. The US General Medicine segment involves Central Nervous System; Gastrointestinal; Women's Health; Anti-Infectives; and Diversified brands. The International segment comprises of products sold outside the United States. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. AGN price fluctuates within 3.1% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150324

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_24_2015	250.5	269.77	276.46	280.05			279.04(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	2	136	4.67	65%	0.18	41.3	1.47%	0	1.1	70	0
2	Feb_23_2015	250.04	269.49	274.93	279.62			282.26(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	-10000	7	142	2.78	65%	0.18	50.2	1.5%	0	1.6	74	0
3	Feb_20_2015	249.58	268.77	273.38	278.25			285.47(2.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	48	-10000	13	151	3.41	60%	0.25	58.5	1.49%	0	2.2	78	0
4	Feb_19_2015	248.97	267.81	271.27	275.53			279.36(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	-10000	11	130	5.16	58%	0.21	64.6	1.52%	0	1.8	64	0
5	Feb_18_2015	248.46	267.09	269.07	273.23			274.11(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	5	101	4.97	65%	0.17	64.9	1.51%	0	1.2	60	0

6	Feb_17_2015	248.03	266.37	267.59	272.29			276.91(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	11	68	2.85	66%	0.22	59	1.86%	0	1.8	54	0
7	Feb_13_2015	247.49	265.46	265.72	269.47			275.43(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	-10000	7	29	2.24	66%	0.17	48.8	1.86%	0	1.8	47	0
8	Feb_12_2015	247.08	264.42	263.86	267.77			271.85(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	6	4	1.53	66%	0.13	36.7	1.85%	0	1.3	51	0
9	Feb_11_2015	246.75	263.68	262.94	266.42			267.84(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	-10000	9	-9	2.09	66%	0.15	31.4	1.86%	0	0.8	49	0
10	Feb_10_2015	246.38	263.3	262.52	264.24			269.42(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	-10000	8	-26	2.41	66%	0.17	32.7	1.86%	0	1.1	53	0

11	Feb_9_2015	245.95	262.94	262.45	262.16			262.82(-1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	4	-32	1.93	64%	0.13	36.2	1.83%	0	-0	55	0
12	Feb_6_2015	245.64	262.78	263.55	261.29			266.92(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	8	-19	2.76	61%	0.15	39.3	1.84%	0	0.8	59	0
13	Feb_5_2015	245.26	262.41	263.71	259.35			265.1(3.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	-10000	1	-19	4.29	61%	0.15	39.7	1.84%	0	0.5	62	0
14	Feb_4_2015	244.89	261.97	263.97	259.08			256.96(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-10000	-6	-12	1.88	58%	0.11	42	1.8%	0	-0.9	52	0
15	Feb_3_2015	244.61	261.54	264.96	260.56			259(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-10000	-10	3	2.05	60%	0.14	39.6	1.81%	0	-0.4	50	0

16	Feb_2_2015	244.28	261.07	265.16	262.85			258.46(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-10000	-14	14	2.19	60%	0.14	45.5	1.82%	0	-0.4	47	0
17	Jan_30_2015	243.95	260.72	265.38	266.17			257.25(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-10000	-10	40	2.75	62%	0.14	59.6	1.82%	0	-0.5	50	0
18	Jan_29_2015	243.61	260.36	265.32	268.6			263.73(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-10000	-4	55	2.36	66%	0.17	69.3	1.8%	0	0.5	56	0
19	Jan_28_2015	243.19	259.73	264.75	269.52			264.34(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	16	-10000	-1	66	2.21	66%	0.17	68.8	1.8%	0	0.6	61	0
20	Jan_27_2015	242.78	259.08	264.41	269.88			270.44(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	9	93	2.65	69%	0.19	66.6	1.77%	0	1.4	76	0

21	Jan_26_2015	242.31	257.95	263.58	267.72			275.09(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	36	-10000	14	100	2.52	69%	0.22	57.8	1.76%	0	2.2	78	0
22	Jan_23_2015	241.78	256.43	261.9	264.56			269.4(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	13	90	2.72	70%	0.2	48	1.75%	0	1.9	71	0
23	Jan_22_2015	241.29	255.27	260.85	261.6			268.33(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	-10000	10	81	2.58	70%	0.2	38.6	1.77%	0	2	72	0
24	Jan_21_2015	240.8	254.42	259.57	259.36			266.16(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	5	70	3.62	71%	0.2	29.6	1.77%	0	1.9	67	0
25	Jan_20_2015	240.33	253.84	257.63	258.23			259.64(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-10000	-3	55	2.42	70%		32	1.77%	0	1	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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