Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 27, 2014

Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. May. 8, 2020)

(Allergan plc)
AGN latest price $230.1240 (-0.79%) ($227.5856 - $232.1026) on Mon. Oct. 27, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $230.1240(-0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGN advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGN declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(56%)    XBI(47%)    SPY(43%)    QQQ(42%)    VT(42%)
Factors Impacting AGN price   AGN will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-18%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $227.68(1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $221.68(3.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $226.11(1.78%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   17.6%
Market Cap   $75.872b

Allergan Plc engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following business segments: US Specialized Therapeutics; US General Medicine, and International. The US Specialized Therapeutics segment includes sales and expenses relating to branded products within the United States. The US General Medicine segment involves Central Nervous System; Gastrointestinal; Women's Health; Anti-Infectives; and Diversified brands. The International segment comprises of products sold outside the United States. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. AGN price fluctuates within 3.78% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_27_2014	216.74	226.11	221.68	227.68			230.12(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	13	1	1.26	57%	0.13	-21.2	1.61%	0	0.5	44	0
2	Oct_24_2014	216.45	226.33	220.12	225.41			231.96(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	17	-50	1.36	57%	0.14	-23.8	1.61%	0	0.6	45	0
3	Oct_23_2014	216.14	226.45	219.53	222.4			228.95(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	17	-93	1.89	58%	0.12	-31.6	1.6%	0	0.3	40	0
4	Oct_22_2014	215.88	226.75	219.76	219.48			223.35(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-17	-10000	16	-115	1.65	56%	0.07	-36.3	1.58%	0	-0.4	47	0
5	Oct_21_2014	215.73	227.51	221.01	216.74			224.04(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-25	-10000	11	-132	1.69	56%	0.09	-39.6	1.58%	0	-0.4	45	0

6	Oct_20_2014	215.54	227.93	221.93	214.8			218.77(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-35	-10000	4	-153	1.7	54%	0.06	-44.8	1.56%	0	-1	39	0
7	Oct_17_2014	215.4	228.42	223.52	214.06			216.9(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-53	-10000	-14	-170	2.35	54%	0.05	-48.2	1.56%	0	-1.3	35	0
8	Oct_16_2014	215.29	229.29	225.53	216.35			214.33(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-10000	-23	-154	2.78	54%	0.06	-40.3	1.55%	0	-1.7	32	0
9	Oct_15_2014	215.17	230.14	227	220.25			209.67(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-60	-10000	-33	-139	5.09	52%	0.01	-28	1.53%	0	-2.6	26	0
10	Oct_14_2014	215.14	231.23	229.24	225.93			214.33(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-43	-10000	-24	-99	4.45	55%	-0	-6.5	1.51%	0	-2.6	27	0

11	Oct_13_2014	215.15	232.14	231.24	230.04			215.04(-5.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-33	-10000	-23	-61	4.67	55%	0.04	18.9	1.52%	0	-3.2	38	0
12	Oct_10_2014	215.06	232.85	233.48	234.13			228.38(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-11	-10000	-12	-6	2.24	62%	0.11	57.1	1.33%	0	-1.1	54	0
13	Oct_9_2014	214.83	232.8	234.29	235.95			233.84(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	-10000	8	27	2.21	66%	0.16	70	1.29%	0	0.2	51	0
14	Oct_8_2014	214.49	232.37	234.5	234.74			238.06(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	11	27	2.75	66%	0.19	59.6	1.27%	0	1.2	59	0
15	Oct_7_2014	214.09	231.64	234.53	233.16			234.91(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	3	25	3.46	65%	0.16	53	1.28%	0	0.7	58	0

16	Oct_6_2014	213.75	231.14	234.31	232.76			235.45(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	6	-10000	-0	24	1.73	65%	0.17	53.2	1.28%	0	0.9	56	0
17	Oct_3_2014	213.39	230.62	233.56	232.84			237.5(4.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	2	27	4.06	65%	0.19	58.6	1.29%	0	1.4	62	0
18	Oct_2_2014	212.99	229.9	233.1	232.56			227.78(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-10000	-12	36	2.24	61%	0.14	62.1	1.18%	0	-0.4	55	0
19	Oct_1_2014	212.7	229.65	233.39	234.21			230.17(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-10000	-13	67	2.05	61%	0.15	70.8	1.18%	0	0.1	59	0
20	Sep_30_2014	212.38	229.22	233.34	236.05			232.87(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	28	-10000	1	110	1.67	61%	0.17	78.9	1.17%	0	0.7	65	0

21	Sep_29_2014	212.01	228.65	233.12	235.97			235.88(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	-10000	13	130	1.73	63%	0.22	80.4	1.16%	0	1.3	66	0
22	Sep_26_2014	211.54	227.81	232.23	234.27			236.12(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	4	111	1.73	63%	0.22	71.3	1.16%	0	1.5	66	0
23	Sep_25_2014	211.07	226.93	231.25	233.73			236.01(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	9	115	1.73	63%	0.2	70.2	1.16%	0	1.7	68	0
24	Sep_24_2014	210.65	226.04	230.11	232.45			239.36(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	40	-10000	16	111	3	66%	0.21	68.9	1.15%	0	2.5	75	0
25	Sep_23_2014	210.21	225.02	228.45	230.35			232.46(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	3	91	6.21	65%		74.2	1.1%	0	1.7	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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