Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 9, 2014

Trading Signals: AGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. May. 8, 2020)

(Allergan plc)
AGN latest price $233.8399 (-1.77%) ($233.5793 - $239.9011) on Thu. Oct. 9, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $233.8399(-1.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGN advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGN advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(56%)    XBI(47%)    SPY(44%)    VT(43%)    QQQ(42%)
Factors Impacting AGN price   AGN will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-18%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-6%)    GLD(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $235.95(-0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $234.29(-0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $232.8(0.45%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   19.5%
Market Cap   $77.097b

Allergan Plc engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following business segments: US Specialized Therapeutics; US General Medicine, and International. The US Specialized Therapeutics segment includes sales and expenses relating to branded products within the United States. The US General Medicine segment involves Central Nervous System; Gastrointestinal; Women's Health; Anti-Infectives; and Diversified brands. The International segment comprises of products sold outside the United States. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

$. AGN price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2014	214.83	232.8	234.29	235.95			233.84(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	-10000	8	27	2.21	66%	0.16	70	1.29%	0	0.2	51	0
2	Oct_8_2014	214.49	232.37	234.5	234.74			238.06(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	11	27	2.75	66%	0.19	59.6	1.27%	0	1.2	59	0
3	Oct_7_2014	214.09	231.64	234.53	233.16			234.91(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	3	25	3.46	65%	0.16	53	1.28%	0	0.7	58	0
4	Oct_6_2014	213.75	231.14	234.31	232.76			235.45(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	6	-10000	-0	24	1.73	65%	0.17	53.2	1.28%	0	0.9	56	0
5	Oct_3_2014	213.39	230.62	233.56	232.84			237.5(4.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	2	27	4.06	65%	0.19	58.6	1.29%	0	1.4	62	0

6	Oct_2_2014	212.99	229.9	233.1	232.56			227.78(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-10000	-12	36	2.24	61%	0.14	62.1	1.18%	0	-0.4	55	0
7	Oct_1_2014	212.7	229.65	233.39	234.21			230.17(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-10000	-13	67	2.05	61%	0.15	70.8	1.18%	0	0.1	59	0
8	Sep_30_2014	212.38	229.22	233.34	236.05			232.87(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	28	-10000	1	110	1.67	61%	0.17	78.9	1.17%	0	0.7	65	0
9	Sep_29_2014	212.01	228.65	233.12	235.97			235.88(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	-10000	13	130	1.73	63%	0.22	80.4	1.16%	0	1.3	66	0
10	Sep_26_2014	211.54	227.81	232.23	234.27			236.12(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	4	111	1.73	63%	0.22	71.3	1.16%	0	1.5	66	0

11	Sep_25_2014	211.07	226.93	231.25	233.73			236.01(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	9	115	1.73	63%	0.2	70.2	1.16%	0	1.7	68	0
12	Sep_24_2014	210.65	226.04	230.11	232.45			239.36(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	40	-10000	16	111	3	66%	0.21	68.9	1.15%	0	2.5	75	0
13	Sep_23_2014	210.21	225.02	228.45	230.35			232.46(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	3	91	6.21	65%	0.16	74.2	1.1%	0	1.7	71	0
14	Sep_22_2014	209.88	224.32	227.64	229.94			227.41(-2.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	25	-10000	1	95	2.6	62%	0.16	84.7	1.09%	0	0.7	65	0
15	Sep_19_2014	209.55	223.92	227.41	229.79			233.39(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	39	-10000	12	118	3.68	68%	0.16	96.4	1.04%	0	2.2	83	0

16	Sep_18_2014	209.22	223.14	226.36	228.36			229.64(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	9	110	1.62	66%	0.16	114	1.03%	0	1.7	80	0
17	Sep_17_2014	208.89	222.44	225.58	227.36			228.83(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	10	106	2.24	69%	0.19	127.3	1.04%	0	1.7	80	0
18	Sep_16_2014	208.5	221.76	224.77	226.23			230.44(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	31	-10000	10	92	1.93	69%	0.2	145	1.06%	0	2.3	79	0
19	Sep_15_2014	208.09	220.77	223.8	225.04			226.66(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	22	-10000	3	80	1.61	67%	0.17	150.6	1.05%	0	1.5	76	0
20	Sep_12_2014	207.73	219.86	223.05	224.68			226.22(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	5	77	2.61	67%	0.15	139.1	1.05%	0	1.4	71	0

21	Sep_11_2014	207.41	218.85	222.3	224.08			224.63(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	5	70	1.18	67%	0.14	125.3	1.06%	0	1.1	71	0
22	Sep_10_2014	207.13	217.67	221.68	223.53			223.19(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	4	69	2.21	67%	0.13	101	1.07%	0	0.9	75	0
23	Sep_9_2014	206.87	216.39	221.34	223.01			224.51(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	6	75	1.62	67%	0.14	76.2	1.07%	0	1	81	0
24	Sep_8_2014	206.58	215.01	220.75	222.32			224.85(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	10	88	1.41	67%	0.09	60	1.07%	0	1.1	87	0
25	Sep_5_2014	206.39	213.72	220.16	221.17			223.23(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	-10000	8	99	1.31	67%		50	1.07%	0	1.1	88	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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