Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 11, 2018

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $72.5400 (7.72%) ($66.8250 - $74.2500) on Thu. Jan. 11, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.04% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $72.5400(7.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO advances 6.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(64%)    IBB(58%)    ARKG(54%)    ARKK(50%)    IWO(50%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -1.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-3%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.52% (StdDev 3.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $65(11.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.72(15.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.06(22.82%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   39.2%
Market Cap   $5.025b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 8.99% (three month std-dev: 3.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 6.06%(60%) Average negative next day return: -2.59%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 6.91%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -0.87%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 8.77%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_11_2018	63.23	59.06	62.72	65	64.56	67.7	72.54(7.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	132	320	115	183	1.77	56%	0.25	30.7	3.04%	0	2.5	80	0
2	Jan_10_2018	63.07	58.17	61.41	62.51	62.17	63.72	67.34(6.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	84	160	62	149	0.64	53%	0.16	15.8	2.88%	0	2.1	76	0
3	Jan_9_2018	62.97	57.8	60.6	61.51	61.12	61.43	63.52(5.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	20	27	147	0.51	50%	0.13	9.8	2.78%	0	1.5	74	0
4	Jan_8_2018	62.89	57.62	60.05	60.77	60.78	60.62	60.32(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	-20	10	154	0.35	47%	0.1	4.2	2.7%	0	0.8	72	0
5	Jan_5_2018	62.83	57.61	59.48	60.14	60.26	60.82	61.29(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	70	4	149	0.28	47%	0.1	-1.6	2.69%	0	1	73	0

6	Jan_4_2018	62.77	57.47	58.65	60.01	59.82	60.94	60.1(-3.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	56	120	24	151	1.01	47%	0.06	-3.1	2.68%	0	0.7	62	0
7	Jan_3_2018	62.73	57.5	57.97	60.08	59.67	59.7	62.32(4.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	-20	27	148	0.29	49%	0.08	-2.6	2.65%	0	1.4	63	0
8	Jan_2_2018	62.68	57.44	57	59.58	59.47	58.71	59.83(4.65%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-90	-15	92	0.41	48%	0.08	-5.5	2.61%	0	0.7	45	0
9	Dec_29_2017	62.63	57.47	56.24	59.24	59.58	59.64	57.17(-5.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	19	20	5	61	0.32	47%	-0.03	-8	2.55%	0	-0.1	41	0
10	Dec_28_2017	62.65	57.67	55.78	58.63	58.9	60.23	60.62(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	170	58	36	0.17	50%	0.02	-12.1	2.48%	0	0.8	47	0

11	Dec_27_2017	62.64	57.58	55.17	57.02	57.17	59.52	60.47(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	61	300	84	-8	0.25	50%	0.02	-25.6	2.48%	0	0.8	52	0
12	Dec_26_2017	62.63	57.59	54.65	55.5	55.3	57.58	59.82(2.92%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	57	280	96	-60	0.34	50%	-0.02	-33.5	2.48%	0	0.6	45	0
13	Dec_22_2017	62.64	57.63	54.68	54.08	53.77	54.81	58.12(7.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	23	120	67	-111	0.52	49%	-0.08	-41.8	2.44%	0	0.1	39	0
14	Dec_21_2017	62.69	57.76	54.86	52.88	52.84	53.03	54.13(2.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-32	20	16	-175	0.23	43%	-0.11	-47.7	2.26%	0	-0.9	32	0
15	Dec_20_2017	62.76	58.13	55.49	52.53	52.57	52.72	52.57(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-58	20	-10	-201	0.15	40%	-0.1	-48.6	2.22%	0	-1.5	25	0

16	Dec_19_2017	62.82	58.53	56.13	53.01	52.84	52.66	52.85(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-59	-30	-14	-193	0.23	40%	-0.05	-47.7	2.23%	0	-1.6	36	0
17	Dec_18_2017	62.85	58.85	56.97	53.66	53.52	52.41	52.72(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-98	-150	-64	-199	0.29	40%	-0.06	-51.2	2.24%	0	-1.9	31	0
18	Dec_15_2017	62.89	59.23	57.93	55.4	55.16	53.02	52.12(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-113	-280	-94	-168	0.68	40%	-0.06	-45.5	2.23%	0	-2.4	31	0
19	Dec_14_2017	62.93	59.65	58.88	57.17	57.4	54.63	52.37(-4.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-117	-330	-111	-134	0.42	40%	-0.1	-42.5	2.24%	0	-2.9	31	0
20	Dec_13_2017	62.99	60.03	59.85	58.86	59.32	57.31	55(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-92	-210	-94	-87	0.37	44%	-0.05	-45.9	2.17%	0	-2.8	35	0

21	Dec_12_2017	63.02	60.28	60.34	59.66	60.44	60.18	56.08(-8.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-47	10	-45	-53	0.57	44%	-0.06	-68.4	2.16%	0	-3	42	0
22	Dec_11_2017	63.06	60.59	60.92	60.71	60.61	61.33	61.42(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	80	11	8	0.3	51%	0.08	-82.6	1.89%	0	0.8	61	0
23	Dec_8_2017	63.01	60.61	60.88	60.88	60.77	60.7	60.97(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10	17	23	0.44	51%	0.06	-93.5	1.91%	0	0.3	55	0
24	Dec_7_2017	62.97	60.72	60.91	60.92	60.99	59.88	60.83(3.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-21	-120	-32	12	0.26	51%	0.06	-86.1	1.91%	0	0.1	55	0
25	Dec_6_2017	62.93	60.88	60.95	61.06	61.27	60.84	59.01(-3.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-21	-40	-37	26	0.4	51%		-64.2	1.89%	0	-1.2	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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