Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $57.3800 (2.17%) ($55.5600 - $57.9700) on Thu. Jul. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.16% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $57.3800(2.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(63%)    IBB(58%)    ARKG(54%)    ARKK(49%)    IWO(49%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -1.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-3%)    UNG(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.58% (StdDev 3.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.84(2.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.43(5.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.19(5.89%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   22.9%
Market Cap   $3.975b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 4.36% (three month std-dev: 3.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 32 Average positive next day return: 0.92%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.11%(50%) Sample size 32 Average positive next three day return: 1.81%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -2.72%(47%) Sample size 32 Average positive next weekly return: 2.55%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.56%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2017	51.89	54.19	54.43	55.84	55.84	56.57	57.38(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	90	24	28	0.41	49%	0.15	56.2	3.16%	0	1.4	49	INF
2	Jul_12_2017	51.81	53.88	53.98	55.17	55.23	55.91	56.16(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	90	24	4	0.47	49%	0.12	50.8	3.17%	0	1	48	INF
3	Jul_11_2017	51.75	53.62	53.52	54.71	54.56	55.1	56.27(3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	17	60	25	-9	0.52	49%	0.1	48.4	3.17%	0	1.1	58	INF
4	Jul_10_2017	51.7	53.33	53.32	53.9	53.87	54.55	54.5(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	13	90	23	-17	0.53	48%	0	42.6	3.15%	0	0.5	58	INF
5	Jul_7_2017	51.7	53.12	53.71	53.29	53.16	54.01	54.91(1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	17	100	25	-6	0.42	48%	0.12	35.9	3.15%	0	0.7	59	INF

6	Jul_6_2017	51.64	52.9	53.91	52.79	52.53	53.2	54.02(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	70	19	4	1.24	48%	0.16	33.9	3.14%	0	0.5	60	INF
7	Jul_5_2017	51.56	52.73	54.16	52.63	52.25	52.32	53.87(3.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10	13	16	0.64	45%	0.25	39	3.14%	0	0.5	58	INF
8	Jul_3_2017	51.43	52.51	54.16	52.16	52.19	51.87	52.18(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-10	-40	-14	2	0.21	42%	0.12	36	3.13%	0	-0.1	56	INF
9	Jun_30_2017	51.37	52.35	54.07	52.67	52.5	52.18	51.45(-1.91%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-22	-50	-32	9	0.45	42%	0.1	41.5	3.14%	0	-0.3	55	INF
10	Jun_29_2017	51.32	52.26	54.16	54.21	53.4	52.51	52.45(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-10	-160	-30	49	0.42	42%	0.16	59.4	3.13%	0	0.1	59	INF

11	Jun_28_2017	51.24	52.08	54.02	55.21	54.83	52.83	53.18(3.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-15	-280	-42	67	0.46	42%	0.18	67.9	3.14%	0	0.4	60	INF
12	Jun_27_2017	51.15	51.78	53.87	55.93	55.91	54.29	51.56(-5.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-15	-200	-48	86	0.69	39%	0.16	69.6	3.11%	0	-0.1	56	INF
13	Jun_26_2017	51.07	51.58	53.84	56.17	56.3	56.84	54.7(-7.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	33	70	3	122	1.12	42%	0.22	67.6	3.05%	0	1	70	INF
14	Jun_23_2017	50.96	51.25	53.45	55.58	55.58	57.53	59.18(3.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	86	250	65	150	0.83	47%	0.31	62.1	2.9%	0	2.5	90	INF
15	Jun_22_2017	50.8	50.63	52.5	54.1	54.01	55.77	57.42(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	85	220	71	125	0.75	44%	0.28	50.3	2.89%	0	2.5	84	INF

16	Jun_21_2017	50.66	50.1	51.76	52.71	52.55	53.62	56.78(7.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	60	130	49	94	0.71	41%	0.28	35.9	2.89%	0	2.9	84	INF
17	Jun_20_2017	50.52	49.66	51.08	51.61	51.55	52.25	52.75(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	90	24	76	0.76	39%	0.26	17.4	2.81%	0	1.8	83	INF
18	Jun_19_2017	50.39	49.47	50.72	51.21	51.13	51.48	51.76(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	40	18	73	0.43	39%	0.2	-0.3	2.86%	0	1.5	77	INF
19	Jun_16_2017	50.29	49.32	50.43	50.98	50.81	50.85	51.77(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-0	8	68	0.57	39%	0.24	-17.2	2.87%	0	1.7	67	INF
20	Jun_15_2017	50.17	49.3	50.16	50.63	50.58	50.78	50.51(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	20	2	66	0.42	43%	0.18	-21.2	2.85%	0	0.8	67	INF

21	Jun_14_2017	50.08	49.29	49.97	50.62	50.46	50.77	51.26(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	30	9	73	0.37	43%	0.22	-25	2.92%	0	1.4	72	INF
22	Jun_13_2017	49.97	49.37	49.53	50.47	50.4	50.39	50.73(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10	11	65	0.31	43%	0.18	-16.5	2.92%	0	0.8	60	INF
23	Jun_12_2017	49.88	49.47	49.17	50.16	50.19	50.14	50.62(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10	4	48	0.35	43%	0.18	-8.5	2.92%	0	0.6	55	INF
24	Jun_9_2017	49.79	49.57	48.92	49.78	49.9	50.41	50.02(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	80	9	38	0.31	43%	0.16	-6.2	2.92%	0	0.2	53	INF
25	Jun_8_2017	49.71	49.61	48.66	49.61	49.56	50.24	50.48(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	25	90	25	24	0.21	43%		-0.5	2.92%	0	0.4	42	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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