Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $56.2000 (-3.77%) ($55.8300 - $59.0000) on Mon. Apr. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.3% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $56.2000(-3.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(63%)    IBB(58%)    ARKG(54%)    ARKK(49%)    IWO(49%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -1.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.65% (StdDev 3.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.09(-1.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.87(0.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.33(3.44%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   38.7%
Market Cap   $3.893b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 4.6% (three month std-dev: 3.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.3%(83%) Average negative next day return: -2.66%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.53%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.97%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 5.61%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.62%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170503

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_3_2017	49.88	54.33	55.87	57.09	57.47	57.67	56.2(-3.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	40	-1	54	0.47	66%	-0.18	69.8	3.3%	0	0.7	66	INF
2	Mar_31_2017	49.97	54.02	55.85	57.21	57.32	57.76	58.4(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	60	19	80	0.29	70%	-0.1	70.3	3.27%	0	1.7	71	INF
3	Mar_30_2017	50.02	53.64	55.37	56.58	56.76	57.28	57.34(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	70	19	74	0.37	70%	-0.04	74.5	3.3%	0	1.6	67	INF
4	Mar_29_2017	50.04	53.32	55.03	55.94	56.08	56.89	57.2(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	110	27	73	0.33	70%	0.06	80	3.32%	0	1.8	68	INF
5	Mar_28_2017	50.01	53.03	54.72	55.08	55.23	56.25	56.33(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	140	31	70	0.38	70%	0.08	74.3	3.31%	0	1.5	68	INF

6	Mar_27_2017	49.97	52.64	54.24	54.45	54.23	55.27	56.77(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	120	20	60	0.66	70%	0.16	65.7	3.33%	0	1.9	73	INF
7	Mar_24_2017	49.89	52.3	53.73	54.33	53.96	54.21	55.27(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	10	19	65	0.36	70%	0.16	57.1	3.32%	0	1.4	69	INF
8	Mar_23_2017	49.81	51.94	53.43	54.33	53.97	53.19	54.13(2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-100	-8	54	0.41	70%	0.16	46.9	3.34%	0	1	62	INF
9	Mar_22_2017	49.73	51.61	53.2	54	53.99	53.72	52.92(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-40	-21	52	0.55	65%	0.1	50.5	3.37%	0	0.6	58	INF
10	Mar_21_2017	49.68	51.42	53.04	54.26	54.26	54.75	53.15(-5.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	28	60	14	69	0.88	60%	0.1	60.7	3.43%	0	0.8	56	INF

11	Mar_20_2017	49.63	51.27	52.71	53.93	53.85	54.26	56.16(4.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	36	50	24	72	0.43	65%	0.16	65	3.46%	0	2.3	76	INF
12	Mar_17_2017	49.55	51.13	52.07	53.05	52.96	53.77	53.66(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	100	12	51	0.6	62%	0.12	77.9	3.39%	0	1.3	61	INF
13	Mar_16_2017	49.49	50.93	51.79	52.76	52.56	53.44	54.09(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	110	28	63	0.31	49%	0.12	87.3	3.42%	0	1.7	69	INF
14	Mar_15_2017	49.43	50.53	51.46	52.3	52.11	52.15	54.25(5.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	-10	14	50	0.41	52%	0.1	80.4	4.25%	0	1.9	71	INF
15	Mar_14_2017	49.38	50.14	51.18	51.67	51.73	51.68	51.47(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-0	0	43	0.26	49%	0.06	76.9	4.25%	0	0.7	59	INF

16	Mar_13_2017	49.35	49.9	50.9	51.29	51.51	52.08	51.77(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	90	12	37	0.28	52%	0.06	72.7	4.25%	0	0.9	54	INF
17	Mar_10_2017	49.32	49.64	50.75	50.92	50.84	51.77	52.24(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	120	16	24	0.32	52%	0.04	71.9	4.26%	0	1.2	44	INF
18	Mar_9_2017	49.3	49.33	50.32	50.67	50.36	50.93	51.77(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	60	14	15	0.42	52%	0.06	73.2	4.3%	0	1.1	55	INF
19	Mar_8_2017	49.27	48.97	49.89	50.52	50.29	49.9	51.1(3.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-70	-2	9	0.38	52%	0.04	69.5	4.32%	0	0.9	61	INF
20	Mar_7_2017	49.25	48.65	49.67	50.65	50.63	49.79	49.57(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-120	-11	15	0.36	50%	0.04	70.8	4.31%	0	0.4	59	INF

21	Mar_6_2017	49.23	48.4	49.75	50.42	51.06	50.69	49.93(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10	-9	22	0.41	50%	0.04	72.5	4.34%	0	0.6	59	INF
22	Mar_3_2017	49.21	48.12	50.12	50.51	50.91	51.46	50.96(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	100	9	49	0.45	44%	0.02	75.5	4.6%	0	1	61	INF
23	Mar_2_2017	49.2	47.75	50	49.88	50.37	51.43	51.03(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	180	25	56	0.46	44%	0	72.2	4.63%	0	1.1	62	INF
24	Mar_1_2017	49.2	47.36	49.53	49.15	49.26	50.35	51.74(6.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	160	21	49	0.79	44%	-0.02	67.6	4.64%	0	1.5	67	INF
25	Feb_28_2017	49.21	46.92	49	48.6	48.53	49.31	48.44(-3.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	110	9	43	0.46	39%		68	4.52%	0	0.5	62	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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