Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $51.7400 (6.81%) ($50.0600 - $52.4000) on Wed. Mar. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.64% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $51.7400(6.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(63%)    IBB(58%)    ARKG(54%)    ARKK(49%)    IWO(49%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -2.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.32% (StdDev 4.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.15(5.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.53(4.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.36(9.25%)
To recent high   -10.9%
To recent low   27.7%
Market Cap   $3.584b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 6.14% (three month std-dev: 4.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 38 Average positive next day return: 1.95%(47%) Average negative next day return: -2.51%(53%) Sample size 38 Average positive next three day return: 3.56%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -2.73%(58%) Sample size 38 Average positive next weekly return: 5.38%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.93%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170401

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2017	49.2	47.36	49.53	49.15	49.26	50.35	51.74(6.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	160	21	49	0.79	44%	-0.02	67.6	4.64%	0	1.5	67	INF
2	Feb_28_2017	49.21	46.92	49	48.6	48.53	49.31	48.44(-3.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	110	9	43	0.46	39%	-0.14	68	4.52%	0	0.5	62	INF
3	Feb_27_2017	49.28	46.55	48.84	48.99	48.55	48.17	50.36(5.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	6	-80	-8	49	0.7	39%	-0.06	65.6	4.53%	0	1.2	67	INF
4	Feb_24_2017	49.31	46.1	48.44	49.74	49.39	47.75	47.82(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-250	-24	64	0.52	36%	-0.12	70.9	4.47%	0	0.5	65	INF
5	Feb_23_2017	49.37	45.76	48.29	50.14	50.52	48.94	47.4(-3.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-200	-21	81	0.51	36%	-0.14	70.3	4.5%	0	0.5	65	INF

6	Feb_22_2017	49.44	45.48	48.03	49.89	50.54	51.04	48.99(-2.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	110	-1	90	0.36	36%	-0.1	65.3	4.51%	0	1	71	INF
7	Feb_21_2017	49.49	45.06	47.6	49.36	49.65	52.1	50.4(-6.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	360	40	104	0.93	36%	-0.12	59.9	4.53%	0	1.5	77	INF
8	Feb_17_2017	49.55	44.58	46.99	48.58	48.11	50.04	54.09(8.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	70	250	56	112	1.14	38%	0.06	56.2	4.43%	0	2.9	97	INF
9	Feb_16_2017	49.52	43.95	45.92	47.04	46.76	47.21	49.83(8.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	39	50	23	85	1.45	30%	-0.1	58.4	4.3%	0	2.4	88	INF
10	Feb_15_2017	49.57	43.53	45.26	46.27	46.27	46.18	46.12(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10	4	75	0.59	24%	-0.16	63.4	4.27%	0	1.3	85	INF

11	Feb_14_2017	49.65	43.35	44.98	45.91	46.03	46.32	46.38(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	50	7	77	0.44	24%	-0.14	61.5	4.27%	0	1.5	78	INF
12	Feb_13_2017	49.72	43.08	44.64	45.52	45.54	46.36	46.47(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	32	130	15	81	0.3	24%	-0.14	55.3	4.31%	0	1.8	81	INF
13	Feb_10_2017	49.79	42.83	44.06	45.11	45.05	45.74	46.39(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	35	100	21	77	0.45	30%	-0.14	38.1	4.31%	0	2.1	78	INF
14	Feb_9_2017	49.86	42.57	43.55	44.62	44.49	44.72	46.01(3.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	30	12	61	0.45	36%	-0.12	20.7	4.42%	0	2.3	66	INF
15	Feb_8_2017	49.92	42.29	43.02	44.11	44.08	44.36	44.32(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	40	5	45	0.44	36%	-0.12	-4.5	4.58%	0	1.5	62	INF

16	Feb_7_2017	49.98	42.17	42.73	43.9	43.85	44.26	44.43(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	60	10	41	0.35	39%	-0.06	-13.3	4.6%	0	1.8	58	INF
17	Feb_6_2017	50.01	42.07	42.36	43.62	43.55	43.79	44.42(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	30	16	37	0.32	39%	-0.04	-17.5	4.66%	0	2.1	64	INF
18	Feb_3_2017	50.03	42.19	42	42.83	42.9	43.44	43.9(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	90	12	21	0.43	39%	-0.04	-12.9	4.68%	0	1.1	61	INF
19	Feb_2_2017	50.05	42.26	41.81	42.3	42.17	43.3	43.5(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	180	19	17	0.48	38%	-0.04	-11.2	4.7%	0	0.7	59	INF
20	Feb_1_2017	50.07	42.35	41.64	41.76	41.57	42.37	43.23(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	120	21	12	0.51	38%	-0.06	-12.8	4.74%	0	0.5	63	INF

21	Jan_31_2017	50.1	42.34	41.56	41.41	41.08	41.03	43.03(6.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-30	8	2	0.8	38%	-0.06	-18	4.74%	0	0.4	52	INF
22	Jan_30_2017	50.13	42.27	41.37	40.94	41.06	40.78	40.51(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-40	-5	-15	0.48	34%	-0.04	-23.8	4.67%	0	-0.9	39	INF
23	Jan_27_2017	50.15	42.39	41.49	41.04	41.12	41.12	41.24(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	10	-5	-30	0.4	34%	-0.12	-24.5	4.67%	0	-0.6	28	INF
24	Jan_26_2017	50.21	42.46	41.49	41.25	41.25	41.35	40.79(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	20	-1	-37	0.43	34%	-0.12	-31.3	4.67%	0	-0.9	33	INF
25	Jan_25_2017	50.27	42.59	41.52	41.5	41.42	41.11	41.48(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-60	-4	-49	0.51	34%		-35.1	4.66%	0	-0.6	36	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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