Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $63.8250 (3.18%) ($59.6900 - $64.1700) on Wed. Nov. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.64% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $63.8250(3.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO advances 8.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(62%)    IBB(57%)    ARKG(53%)    ARKK(47%)    IWO(47%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -2.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.32% (StdDev 4.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.11(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.93(-0.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.5(11%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   75.6%
Market Cap   $4.421b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 13.1% (three month std-dev: 4.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 4.28%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.35%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.62%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -3.93%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.22%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.27%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_23_2016	47.6	57.5	63.93	63.11	62.96	62.77	63.83(3.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	21	-30	-6	103	0.51	63%	0.46	49.9	4.64%	0	0.8	80	INF
2	Nov_22_2016	47.38	56.75	63.54	62.73	63.06	63.51	61.86(-4.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	70	-5	131	0.47	63%	0.32	49.1	4.63%	0	0.7	80	INF
3	Nov_21_2016	47.23	56.1	62.87	63.81	63.32	63.16	64.52(3.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	41	-40	-2	168	0.52	63%	0.47	53.9	4.59%	0	1.1	78	INF
4	Nov_18_2016	47.01	55.31	61.73	64.3	64.04	62.61	62.54(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	35	-170	-17	189	0.41	63%	0.45	59.1	4.59%	0	1	77	INF
5	Nov_17_2016	46.8	54.63	60.53	64.64	64.76	63.49	62.81(1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	33	-130	-24	204	0.51	63%	0.39	63.7	4.59%	0	1.1	75	INF

6	Nov_16_2016	46.62	53.97	59.1	64.83	64.93	65.48	61.94(-7.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	57	60	1	226	0.8	63%	0.41	66.7	4.6%	0	1.1	75	INF
7	Nov_15_2016	46.43	53.27	57.61	64.34	64.31	66.04	67.25(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	101	190	52	249	0.56	69%	0.58	65.7	4.49%	0	2.1	84	INF
8	Nov_14_2016	46.16	52.31	55.67	61.7	62.17	64.38	66.98(4.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	102	270	63	219	0.88	69%	0.5	57.3	4.5%	0	2.4	84	INF
9	Nov_11_2016	45.93	51.27	53.69	58.76	59.01	62.58	64.22(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	100	440	73	180	0.88	69%	0.35	43.9	4.48%	0	2.6	81	INF
10	Nov_10_2016	45.77	50.39	52.04	55.81	56.05	59.97	63.77(7.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	113	500	101	148	1.22	69%	0.37	27.6	4.48%	0	3.3	80	INF

11	Nov_9_2016	45.6	49.66	50.38	52.58	52.62	55.45	59.5(10.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	81	380	79	86	1.22	66%	0.26	2.9	4.42%	0	3.5	70	INF
12	Nov_8_2016	45.48	49.14	49.21	49.9	50.11	52.13	54.03(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	45	290	49	34	0.62	57%	0.11	-43.4	4.26%	0	2.6	67	INF
13	Nov_7_2016	45.43	49.05	48.62	48.75	48.64	49.8	52.29(5.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	28	160	34	9	0.64	57%	0.09	-56.8	4.32%	0	1.6	59	INF
14	Nov_4_2016	45.39	49.14	48.25	47.86	47.82	48.08	49.46(3.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	40	8	-12	0.87	51%	0.02	-63.5	4.27%	0	0.2	58	INF
15	Nov_3_2016	45.38	49.28	48.19	47.69	47.87	47.48	47.63(3.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	-50	-3	-16	1.09	51%	-0.04	-60.8	4.3%	0	-0.7	51	INF

16	Nov_2_2016	45.4	49.58	48.45	47.82	48.04	47.55	46.1(-4.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-60	-17	-21	1.19	51%	-0.07	-52	4.29%	0	-1.4	34	INF
17	Nov_1_2016	45.43	49.99	48.7	48.35	48.51	48.26	48.29(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-30	-5	-14	0.57	54%	-0.07	-47.9	4.25%	0	-0.7	41	INF
18	Oct_31_2016	45.46	50.23	48.8	48.43	48.69	48.52	47.84(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10	-6	-23	0.3	54%	-0.07	-49.2	4.25%	0	-1	31	INF
19	Oct_28_2016	45.49	50.48	48.79	48.67	48.8	48.76	48.58(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	0	-4	-38	0.57	54%	-0.18	-47.5	4.26%	0	-0.8	29	INF
20	Oct_27_2016	45.57	50.7	48.72	48.77	49.02	48.86	48.3(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10	-5	-49	0.45	54%	-0.39	-47.6	4.29%	0	-1	38	INF

21	Oct_26_2016	45.75	50.88	48.95	49.18	49.22	48.85	48.72(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-16	-50	-4	-51	0.47	54%	-0.28	-45.5	4.31%	0	-0.9	36	INF
22	Oct_25_2016	45.88	51.15	49.11	49.1	49.4	49.17	48.72(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10	-5	-62	0.32	54%	-0.24	-42.5	4.33%	0	-1	35	INF
23	Oct_24_2016	45.99	51.44	49.53	49.21	49.34	49.59	49.01(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	40	3	-59	0.38	54%	-0.17	-34.3	4.33%	0	-1	40	INF
24	Oct_21_2016	46.07	51.63	50.08	48.91	49.26	49.62	49.12(-2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	70	12	-55	0.7	54%	-0.26	-29.2	4.34%	0	-1.1	41	INF
25	Oct_20_2016	46.19	51.84	50.43	48.64	48.7	49.1	50.33(4.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	60	2	-64	0.54	57%		-21	4.33%	0	-0.7	44	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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