Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $49.1200 (-2.4%) ($49.0000 - $51.1250) on Fri. Oct. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.34% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $49.1200(-2.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO declines -4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(62%)    IBB(57%)    ARKG(53%)    ARKK(47%)    IWO(47%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -2.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.17% (StdDev 4.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $41.16(-16.21%)
Resistance Level   $51.63
5 Day Moving Average   $48.91(0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.08(-1.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.63(-4.86%)
To recent high   -10.7%
To recent low   35.1%
Market Cap   $3.403b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 4.42% (three month std-dev: 4.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.53%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.56%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.96%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.77%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2016	46.07	51.63	50.08	48.91	49.26	49.62	49.12(-2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	70	12	-55	0.7	54%	-0.26	-29.2	4.34%	0	-1.1	41	0
2	Oct_20_2016	46.19	51.84	50.43	48.64	48.7	49.1	50.33(4.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	60	2	-64	0.54	57%	-0.15	-21	4.33%	0	-0.7	44	0
3	Oct_19_2016	46.26	51.98	50.74	48.72	48.68	48.9	48.32(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	30	0	-60	0.34	57%	-0.15	-6	4.36%	0	-1.7	42	0
4	Oct_18_2016	46.33	52.2	51.35	49.15	49.1	48.3	49.26(3.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	-120	-14	-59	0.49	57%	0.06	14.6	4.39%	0	-1.4	38	0
5	Oct_17_2016	46.3	52.26	51.76	49.95	49.82	48.46	47.52(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-46	-200	-41	-62	0.54	57%	-0.13	32.2	4.37%	0	-2.1	31	0

6	Oct_14_2016	46.36	52.26	52.34	51.45	51.42	49.89	47.78(-5.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-34	-210	-32	-38	0.71	57%	-0.13	53.6	4.37%	0	-2	39	0
7	Oct_13_2016	46.42	52.31	52.89	52.43	52.65	51.19	50.72(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-180	-30	-24	0.53	56%	-0.02	68.5	4.3%	0	-0.6	45	0
8	Oct_12_2016	46.43	52.11	53.04	53.04	53.29	52.95	50.45(-5.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-30	-22	-15	0.58	56%	0.04	65.5	4.4%	0	-0.6	44	0
9	Oct_11_2016	46.41	51.89	53.43	53.83	53.69	54.1	53.26(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	50	5	12	0.4	60%	0.09	66.2	4.36%	0	0.4	55	0
10	Oct_10_2016	46.37	51.55	53.55	53.84	53.71	53.63	55.02(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-20	10	25	0.37	60%	0.22	76	4.34%	0	1	69	0

11	Oct_7_2016	46.27	51.1	53.31	53.41	53.4	53.27	52.69(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-20	-5	26	0.62	58%	0.17	79.9	4.31%	0	0.4	71	0
12	Oct_6_2016	46.19	50.64	53.36	53.43	53.27	53.8	53.8(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	60	8	48	0.59	58%	0.06	88.3	4.3%	0	0.9	78	0
13	Oct_5_2016	46.16	50.29	53.28	53.04	53.03	53.54	54.4(2.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	25	70	12	62	0.38	58%	0.07	100.4	4.32%	0	1.1	82	0
14	Oct_4_2016	46.13	49.91	53.06	53	52.73	52.75	53.3(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	-10	-1	76	0.46	58%	0.07	96.4	4.34%	0	0.8	82	0
15	Oct_3_2016	46.1	49.15	52.75	53.25	52.98	52.52	52.84(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-80	-4	91	0.44	58%	0.13	99.1	4.37%	0	0.8	76	0

16	Sep_30_2016	46.04	48.37	52.27	53.22	53.26	52.72	52.82(1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-70	-9	97	0.57	53%	0.17	85	4.37%	0	0.9	77	0
17	Sep_29_2016	45.96	47.6	51.69	53.26	53.3	53.45	51.82(-4.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	20	-6	111	0.7	53%	0.15	78.2	4.44%	0	0.8	81	0
18	Sep_28_2016	45.89	46.88	51.15	53.5	53.31	53.81	54.21(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	50	13	125	0.55	58%	0.15	74.5	4.41%	0	1.3	69	0
19	Sep_27_2016	45.82	46.01	50.28	53.12	52.96	53.15	54.55(3.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	20	15	116	0.37	53%	0.15	68.2	4.53%	0	1.4	69	0
20	Sep_26_2016	45.75	45.16	49.4	52.18	52.38	52.82	52.7(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	70	15	125	0.36	53%	0.22	63	4.67%	0	1.3	82	0

21	Sep_23_2016	45.65	44.41	48.71	51.15	51.42	52.78	53.03(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	57	200	29	141	0.8	49%	0.22	57.7	4.8%	0	1.5	83	0
22	Sep_22_2016	45.55	43.65	47.7	49.87	49.97	51.94	53.03(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	68	280	42	147	0.84	49%	0.2	51.1	4.81%	0	1.7	82	0
23	Sep_21_2016	45.46	42.89	47.01	48.44	48.28	50.06	52.29(4.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	70	250	42	155	0.95	49%	0.13	45.5	4.81%	0	1.9	81	0
24	Sep_20_2016	45.4	42.28	46.41	47.03	47.03	48	49.83(4.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	62	140	29	161	1.1	46%	0	41.9	4.8%	0	1.7	80	0
25	Sep_19_2016	45.4	41.76	45.21	46.26	45.95	46.5	47.57(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	60	10	145	0.68	46%		38.8	4.79%	0	1.4	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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