Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $44.0500 (3.65%) ($42.7200 - $44.6900) on Tue. Jul. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.15% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $44.0500(3.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(62%)    IBB(57%)    ARKG(53%)    IWO(47%)    ARKK(46%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -2.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.575% (StdDev 5.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

Resistance Level   $44.9
5 Day Moving Average   $42.99(2.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.95(2.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.9(-1.89%)
To recent high   -33.3%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $3.051b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 6.5% (three month std-dev: 5.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2016	46.15	44.9	42.95	42.99	43.04	43.23	44.05(3.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	30	11	-26	0.42	48%	0.11	-107.2	5.15%	0	-0.3	44	INF
2	Jul_11_2016	46.1	45.27	42.58	42.48	42.59	42.82	42.5(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	50	0	-59	0.41	48%	0.11	-109.6	5.14%	0	-0.8	37	INF
3	Jul_8_2016	46.05	45.65	42.75	42.53	42.36	42.86	42.75(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	70	7	-63	0.35	48%	0.11	-114.7	5.16%	0	-0.9	42	INF
4	Jul_7_2016	46	46.29	43.26	42.36	42.18	42.36	42.63(-0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	20	1	-69	0.44	48%	0.02	-103.6	5.16%	0	-0.9	39	INF
5	Jul_6_2016	45.99	47.38	43.68	42.75	42.2	41.85	43.03(3.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-100	-7	-74	0.55	52%	0.07	-65.4	5.17%	0	-0.8	39	INF

6	Jul_5_2016	45.96	48.26	44.08	42.92	42.93	42	41.47(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-150	-4	-71	0.31	52%	0.09	-55.5	5.41%	0	-1.1	38	INF
7	Jul_1_2016	45.92	49.16	44.85	42.68	43.12	42.55	42.77(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	-60	-15	-84	0.74	52%	0.15	-51.3	5.39%	0	-1	35	INF
8	Jun_30_2016	45.85	49.86	45.32	42.98	43.1	43.87	41.9(-6.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	130	-13	-85	0.67	54%	0.13	-47	5.42%	0	-1.2	37	INF
9	Jun_29_2016	45.79	50.81	46.03	44.31	43.7	43.7	44.6(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	-40	4	-78	0.69	56%	-0.02	-38.7	5.37%	0	-0.9	33	INF
10	Jun_28_2016	45.8	51.45	46.52	44.8	44.54	42.33	43.89(8.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-360	-25	-115	0.79	56%	-0.04	-32.4	5.37%	0	-1.2	25	INF

11	Jun_27_2016	45.82	52.08	47.01	45.49	45.7	43.7	40.27(-9.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-75	-290	-52	-143	0.81	53%	-0.13	-25.6	5.3%	0	-1.8	26	INF
12	Jun_24_2016	45.88	52.8	48.22	47.29	47.31	46.74	44.27(-8.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-80	-20	-126	0.96	57%	-0.04	-14.6	5.21%	0	-1.5	32	INF
13	Jun_23_2016	45.9	53.28	48.86	47.94	48.25	47.71	48.5(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-60	-3	-127	0.95	57%	0.07	-6.3	5.09%	0	-0.9	41	INF
14	Jun_22_2016	45.87	53.52	49.56	48	48.32	47.89	47.07(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-40	-15	-139	0.64	60%	0.02	-4.3	5.16%	0	-1.2	35	INF
15	Jun_21_2016	45.86	53.65	51.33	48.52	48.64	48.79	47.33(-4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	30	-3	-110	0.71	60%	0.04	-4.2	5.3%	0	-1.2	41	INF

16	Jun_20_2016	45.84	53.78	52.71	48.8	48.89	48.76	49.3(3.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10	-2	-98	0.51	60%	0.09	-4.4	5.27%	0	-0.9	45	INF
17	Jun_17_2016	45.8	53.65	53.73	49.34	49.01	48.49	47.48(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-90	-15	-88	1.05	60%	0.02	-2.6	5.25%	0	-1.1	47	INF
18	Jun_16_2016	45.79	53.62	54.72	49.91	50.02	49.03	48.82(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-130	-22	-78	0.86	60%	0.09	0.8	5.25%	0	-0.9	49	INF
19	Jun_15_2016	45.75	53.75	55.95	51.39	51.1	49.54	49.66(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-230	-52	-61	0.51	57%	0.09	12.9	5.25%	0	-0.7	50	INF
20	Jun_14_2016	45.71	53.87	56.78	54.68	53.64	51.02	48.75(-6.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-400	-52	-9	1.71	57%	0.09	34.3	5.37%	0	-0.9	56	INF

21	Jun_13_2016	45.67	54	57.61	57.25	57.28	52.66	51.97(3.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-33	-560	-55	34	3.02	59%	0.15	52.4	5.31%	0	-0.4	59	INF
22	Jun_10_2016	45.6	53.79	57.86	58.79	59.28	56.27	50.35(-10.45%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-36	-330	-69	64	1.83	59%	0.13	62.7	5.33%	0	-0.6	62	INF
23	Jun_9_2016	45.54	53.58	58.26	60.08	60.62	61.91	56.22(-14.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	26	180	-8	126	3.41	63%	0.29	69	5.19%	0	0.5	70	INF
24	Jun_8_2016	45.41	53.05	57.98	61.04	60.35	62.29	66.09(7.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	84	190	51	183	1.35	64%	0.55	73.2	4.85%	0	2.2	71	INF
25	Jun_7_2016	45.16	52.07	56.19	59.29	59.1	59.32	61.62(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	53	20	23	141	0.88	64%		74.7	5.08%	0	1.8	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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