Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $56.8000 (-6.87%) ($56.2200 - $60.8900) on Fri. Jun. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.13% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $56.8000(-6.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO advances 8.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(62%)    IBB(58%)    ARKG(53%)    IWO(47%)    ARKK(46%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -2.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.565% (StdDev 5.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.88(-0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.5(6.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.52(12.43%)
To recent high   -6.9%
To recent low   58.3%
Market Cap   $3.935b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 9.34% (three month std-dev: 5.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.21%(20%) Average negative next day return: -1.87%(80%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 4.93%(30%) Average negative next three day return: -2.49%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 9.96%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.25%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160703

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_3_2016	44.77	50.52	53.5	56.88	57.34	58.87	56.8(-6.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	45	210	23	109	0.78	64%	0.34	61.9	5.13%	0	1.3	68	0
2	Jun_2_2016	44.62	49.84	52.39	56.1	55.95	57.86	60.99(6.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	60	230	42	112	0.87	67%	0.47	49.8	5.05%	0	2.4	77	0
3	Jun_1_2016	44.41	48.96	51.24	54.43	54.33	55.81	57.34(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	57	190	41	105	0.83	69%	0.38	38	5%	0	2.1	74	0
4	May_31_2016	44.24	48.38	50.56	52.63	52.82	54.03	55.95(4.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	170	32	86	0.73	66%	0.34	21.4	5.07%	0	2.1	65	0
5	May_27_2016	44.09	48.01	49.95	51.16	51.3	52.85	53.34(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	220	33	72	0.33	69%	0.3	6.3	5.23%	0	1.7	62	0

6	May_26_2016	43.96	47.76	49.29	49.58	49.81	51.61	52.9(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	46	270	41	62	0.67	70%	0.27	-17.1	5.27%	0	1.8	68	0
7	May_25_2016	43.84	47.59	48.48	48.06	47.88	49.75	52.63(8.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	27	260	23	39	1.06	70%	0.27	-39.4	5.34%	0	1.8	69	0
8	May_24_2016	43.72	47.46	47.71	47.63	47.23	48.01	48.34(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	90	10	32	0.87	69%	0.14	-41.8	5.25%	0	0.3	61	0
9	May_23_2016	43.66	47.62	47.61	48.22	47.92	46.01	48.58(6.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-300	-13	33	0.76	69%	0.16	-29.3	5.25%	0	0.3	55	0
10	May_20_2016	43.59	47.82	47.51	48.62	48.89	46.44	45.44(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-24	-330	-40	25	0.93	67%	0.07	-19.8	5.16%	0	-0.7	43	0

11	May_19_2016	43.56	48.26	47.38	48.89	49.82	49.82	45.3(-10.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	60	-11	29	1.2	67%	0.05	-9.2	5.2%	0	-0.9	45	0
12	May_18_2016	43.54	48.69	47.23	48.8	49.33	51.34	50.51(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	320	35	31	0.8	66%	0.23	-3.3	5.03%	0	0.5	49	0
13	May_17_2016	43.44	48.62	46.59	47.71	47.61	49.81	51.27(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	320	36	1	0.83	68%	0.28	-12.9	5.25%	0	0.8	49	0
14	May_16_2016	43.32	48.5	46.05	46.94	46.48	47.32	50.57(8.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	12	100	25	-27	0.75	69%	0.25	-15.8	5.28%	0	0.6	45	0
15	May_13_2016	43.21	48.48	45.88	46.36	46.17	45.41	46.82(4.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-130	3	-51	0.79	67%	0.14	-14.2	5.23%	0	-0.5	35	0

16	May_12_2016	43.15	48.57	46.05	45.71	46.13	45.64	44.85(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-50	-7	-75	0.76	68%	0.05	-18.3	5.25%	0	-1.1	27	0
17	May_11_2016	43.13	48.81	46.59	45.37	45.71	46.93	45.05(-4.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	210	7	-81	0.64	67%	0.07	-19.2	5.29%	0	-1.2	28	0
18	May_10_2016	43.1	49.05	47.15	45.19	45.23	46.62	47.41(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	220	25	-74	0.5	67%	0.16	-19.5	5.25%	0	-0.5	48	0
19	May_9_2016	43.03	49.03	47.58	45.02	44.68	44.49	47.67(9.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-21	-50	-0	-82	0.58	67%	0.19	-15.5	5.29%	0	-0.4	48	0
20	May_6_2016	42.95	48.95	48.08	45.43	45.18	43.84	43.58(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-220	-27	-84	0.66	65%	0.02	-9.7	5.21%	0	-1.7	35	0

21	May_5_2016	42.94	49.18	49.18	46.5	46.64	44.88	43.15(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-260	-35	-63	0.68	65%	0	8.1	5.26%	0	-2	41	0
22	May_4_2016	42.94	49.42	50.32	47.98	47.91	46.52	44.16(-5.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-36	-210	-36	-36	0.71	65%	0.05	36.1	5.29%	0	-2	42	0
23	May_3_2016	42.92	49.66	50.91	49.33	49.32	48.39	46.52(-6.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-130	-22	-14	0.46	65%	0.16	66.4	5.28%	0	-1.1	45	0
24	May_2_2016	42.85	49.53	51.27	50.47	50.24	49.3	49.74(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-13	-140	-19	7	0.56	68%	0.28	84.3	5.25%	0	0.1	62	0
25	Apr_29_2016	42.73	49.26	51.37	51.17	51.08	50.25	48.95(-3.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-12	-120	-24	25	0.54	68%		93.4	5.29%	0	-0.1	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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