Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $53.3400 (0.83%) ($52.0201 - $53.8050) on Fri. May. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.23% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $53.3400(0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 3.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO advances 5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(62%)    IBB(57%)    ARKG(53%)    IWO(47%)    ARKK(46%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -2.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.615% (StdDev 5.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.16(4.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.95(6.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.01(11.1%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   48.6%
Market Cap   $3.695b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 6.37% (three month std-dev: 5.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.15%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.15%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.53%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160627

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_27_2016	44.09	48.01	49.95	51.16	51.3	52.85	53.34(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	220	33	72	0.33	69%	0.3	6.3	5.23%	0	1.7	62	INF
2	May_26_2016	43.96	47.76	49.29	49.58	49.81	51.61	52.9(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	46	270	41	62	0.67	70%	0.27	-17.1	5.27%	0	1.8	68	INF
3	May_25_2016	43.84	47.59	48.48	48.06	47.88	49.75	52.63(8.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	27	260	23	39	1.06	70%	0.27	-39.4	5.34%	0	1.8	69	INF
4	May_24_2016	43.72	47.46	47.71	47.63	47.23	48.01	48.34(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	90	10	32	0.87	69%	0.14	-41.8	5.25%	0	0.3	61	INF
5	May_23_2016	43.66	47.62	47.61	48.22	47.92	46.01	48.58(6.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-300	-13	33	0.76	69%	0.16	-29.3	5.25%	0	0.3	55	INF

6	May_20_2016	43.59	47.82	47.51	48.62	48.89	46.44	45.44(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-24	-330	-40	25	0.93	67%	0.07	-19.8	5.16%	0	-0.7	43	INF
7	May_19_2016	43.56	48.26	47.38	48.89	49.82	49.82	45.3(-10.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	60	-11	29	1.2	67%	0.05	-9.2	5.2%	0	-0.9	45	INF
8	May_18_2016	43.54	48.69	47.23	48.8	49.33	51.34	50.51(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	320	35	31	0.8	66%	0.23	-3.3	5.03%	0	0.5	49	INF
9	May_17_2016	43.44	48.62	46.59	47.71	47.61	49.81	51.27(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	320	36	1	0.83	68%	0.28	-12.9	5.25%	0	0.8	49	INF
10	May_16_2016	43.32	48.5	46.05	46.94	46.48	47.32	50.57(8.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	12	100	25	-27	0.75	69%	0.25	-15.8	5.28%	0	0.6	45	INF

11	May_13_2016	43.21	48.48	45.88	46.36	46.17	45.41	46.82(4.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-130	3	-51	0.79	67%	0.14	-14.2	5.23%	0	-0.5	35	INF
12	May_12_2016	43.15	48.57	46.05	45.71	46.13	45.64	44.85(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-50	-7	-75	0.76	68%	0.05	-18.3	5.25%	0	-1.1	27	INF
13	May_11_2016	43.13	48.81	46.59	45.37	45.71	46.93	45.05(-4.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	210	7	-81	0.64	67%	0.07	-19.2	5.29%	0	-1.2	28	INF
14	May_10_2016	43.1	49.05	47.15	45.19	45.23	46.62	47.41(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	220	25	-74	0.5	67%	0.16	-19.5	5.25%	0	-0.5	48	INF
15	May_9_2016	43.03	49.03	47.58	45.02	44.68	44.49	47.67(9.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-21	-50	-0	-82	0.58	67%	0.19	-15.5	5.29%	0	-0.4	48	INF

16	May_6_2016	42.95	48.95	48.08	45.43	45.18	43.84	43.58(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-220	-27	-84	0.66	65%	0.02	-9.7	5.21%	0	-1.7	35	INF
17	May_5_2016	42.94	49.18	49.18	46.5	46.64	44.88	43.15(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-260	-35	-63	0.68	65%	0	8.1	5.26%	0	-2	41	INF
18	May_4_2016	42.94	49.42	50.32	47.98	47.91	46.52	44.16(-5.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-36	-210	-36	-36	0.71	65%	0.05	36.1	5.29%	0	-2	42	INF
19	May_3_2016	42.92	49.66	50.91	49.33	49.32	48.39	46.52(-6.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-130	-22	-14	0.46	65%	0.16	66.4	5.28%	0	-1.1	45	INF
20	May_2_2016	42.85	49.53	51.27	50.47	50.24	49.3	49.74(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-13	-140	-19	7	0.56	68%	0.28	84.3	5.25%	0	0.1	62	INF

21	Apr_29_2016	42.73	49.26	51.37	51.17	51.08	50.25	48.95(-3.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-12	-120	-24	25	0.54	68%	0.26	93.4	5.29%	0	-0.1	64	INF
22	Apr_28_2016	42.62	48.94	51.39	52.29	52.25	51.19	50.53(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-140	-17	46	0.41	68%	0.35	99	5.31%	0	0.4	60	INF
23	Apr_27_2016	42.47	48.48	51.28	53.05	53.03	51.92	50.91(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-150	-11	64	0.47	68%	0.38	97.1	5.36%	0	0.6	62	INF
24	Apr_26_2016	42.31	47.87	51.16	52.7	53.11	53.31	52.24(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	50	0	67	0.51	68%	0.45	83.7	5.39%	0	0.9	61	INF
25	Apr_25_2016	42.12	47.13	50.62	52.13	52.35	54.15	53.21(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	250	22	79	0.87	68%		75.8	5.43%	0	1.2	74	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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