Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $46.8200 (4.39%) ($43.4197 - $48.5600) on Fri. May. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.23% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $46.8200(4.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO declines -4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(63%)    IBB(58%)    ARKG(53%)    IWO(47%)    ARKK(46%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -2.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.615% (StdDev 5.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.2%

Resistance Level   $48.48
5 Day Moving Average   $46.36(0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.88(2.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.48(-3.42%)
To recent high   -14.2%
To recent low   30.5%
Market Cap   $3.243b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 6.81% (three month std-dev: 5.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2016	43.21	48.48	45.88	46.36	46.17	45.41	46.82(4.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-130	3	-51	0.79	67%	0.14	-14.2	5.23%	0	-0.5	35	0
2	May_12_2016	43.15	48.57	46.05	45.71	46.13	45.64	44.85(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-50	-7	-75	0.76	68%	0.05	-18.3	5.25%	0	-1.1	27	0
3	May_11_2016	43.13	48.81	46.59	45.37	45.71	46.93	45.05(-4.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	210	7	-81	0.64	67%	0.07	-19.2	5.29%	0	-1.2	28	0
4	May_10_2016	43.1	49.05	47.15	45.19	45.23	46.62	47.41(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	220	25	-74	0.5	67%	0.16	-19.5	5.25%	0	-0.5	48	0
5	May_9_2016	43.03	49.03	47.58	45.02	44.68	44.49	47.67(9.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-21	-50	-0	-82	0.58	67%	0.19	-15.5	5.29%	0	-0.4	48	0

6	May_6_2016	42.95	48.95	48.08	45.43	45.18	43.84	43.58(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-220	-27	-84	0.66	65%	0.02	-9.7	5.21%	0	-1.7	35	0
7	May_5_2016	42.94	49.18	49.18	46.5	46.64	44.88	43.15(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-260	-35	-63	0.68	65%	0	8.1	5.26%	0	-2	41	0
8	May_4_2016	42.94	49.42	50.32	47.98	47.91	46.52	44.16(-5.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-36	-210	-36	-36	0.71	65%	0.05	36.1	5.29%	0	-2	42	0
9	May_3_2016	42.92	49.66	50.91	49.33	49.32	48.39	46.52(-6.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-130	-22	-14	0.46	65%	0.16	66.4	5.28%	0	-1.1	45	0
10	May_2_2016	42.85	49.53	51.27	50.47	50.24	49.3	49.74(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-13	-140	-19	7	0.56	68%	0.28	84.3	5.25%	0	0.1	62	0

11	Apr_29_2016	42.73	49.26	51.37	51.17	51.08	50.25	48.95(-3.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-12	-120	-24	25	0.54	68%	0.26	93.4	5.29%	0	-0.1	64	0
12	Apr_28_2016	42.62	48.94	51.39	52.29	52.25	51.19	50.53(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-140	-17	46	0.41	68%	0.35	99	5.31%	0	0.4	60	0
13	Apr_27_2016	42.47	48.48	51.28	53.05	53.03	51.92	50.91(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-150	-11	64	0.47	68%	0.38	97.1	5.36%	0	0.6	62	0
14	Apr_26_2016	42.31	47.87	51.16	52.7	53.11	53.31	52.24(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	50	0	67	0.51	68%	0.45	83.7	5.39%	0	0.9	61	0
15	Apr_25_2016	42.12	47.13	50.62	52.13	52.35	54.15	53.21(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	250	22	79	0.87	68%	0.53	75.8	5.43%	0	1.2	74	0

16	Apr_22_2016	41.9	46.3	49.86	51.57	51.22	52.92	54.54(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	210	37	83	0.52	68%	0.6	75	5.46%	0	1.6	73	0
17	Apr_21_2016	41.65	45.46	49.11	50.38	50.05	50.56	54.33(10.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	50	21	74	0.66	68%	0.63	72	5.52%	0	1.8	75	0
18	Apr_20_2016	41.39	44.59	48.34	49.34	49.22	49.53	49.19(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	40	-0	70	0.4	66%	0.39	68.8	5.4%	0	0.9	73	0
19	Apr_19_2016	41.23	44.11	48.24	49.41	49.13	49.55	49.37(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	40	12	102	0.52	66%	0.41	73.5	5.46%	0	1.1	77	0
20	Apr_18_2016	41.06	43.47	47.61	48.84	48.77	48.91	50.44(3.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	20	14	111	0.51	66%	0.51	64.2	5.5%	0	1.4	81	0

21	Apr_15_2016	40.85	42.74	46.95	47.85	47.92	48.71	48.58(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	120	5	115	0.38	66%	0.42	55.4	5.54%	0	1.2	80	0
22	Apr_14_2016	40.68	42.11	46.3	47.61	47.47	48.62	49.12(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	160	19	130	0.63	66%	0.47	52.6	5.6%	0	1.5	74	0
23	Apr_13_2016	40.49	41.47	45.47	47.19	47.09	47.12	49.52(6.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	-0	9	133	0.58	66%	0.52	49.5	5.66%	0	1.7	76	0
24	Apr_12_2016	40.28	40.84	44.33	46.95	47.02	46.32	46.55(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-100	-0	127	0.48	64%	0.37	47.8	5.66%	0	1.3	64	0
25	Apr_11_2016	40.13	40.53	43.41	46.19	46.95	47.07	45.46(-4.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	70	2	121	0.49	64%		37.2	5.72%	0	1.2	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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