Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $50.4400 (3.83%) ($47.6557 - $51.1999) on Mon. Apr. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.5% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $50.4400(3.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO advances 9.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(63%)    IBB(58%)    ARKG(53%)    IWO(47%)    ARKK(46%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -2.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.75% (StdDev 5.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.84(3.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.61(5.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.47(16.03%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   41.1%
Market Cap   $3.494b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 11.3% (three month std-dev: 5.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.47%(25%) Average negative next day return: -2.21%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 6.44%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.6%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.14%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.67%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160518

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2016	41.06	43.47	47.61	48.84	48.77	48.91	50.44(3.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	20	14	111	0.51	66%	0.51	64.2	5.5%	0	1.4	81	0
2	Apr_15_2016	40.85	42.74	46.95	47.85	47.92	48.71	48.58(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	120	5	115	0.38	66%	0.42	55.4	5.54%	0	1.2	80	0
3	Apr_14_2016	40.68	42.11	46.3	47.61	47.47	48.62	49.12(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	160	19	130	0.63	66%	0.47	52.6	5.6%	0	1.5	74	0
4	Apr_13_2016	40.49	41.47	45.47	47.19	47.09	47.12	49.52(6.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	-0	9	133	0.58	66%	0.52	49.5	5.66%	0	1.7	76	0
5	Apr_12_2016	40.28	40.84	44.33	46.95	47.02	46.32	46.55(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-100	-0	127	0.48	64%	0.37	47.8	5.66%	0	1.3	64	0

6	Apr_11_2016	40.13	40.53	43.41	46.19	46.95	47.07	45.46(-4.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	70	2	121	0.49	64%	0.33	37.2	5.72%	0	1.2	69	0
7	Apr_8_2016	40	40.22	42.53	45.85	46.05	47.72	47.4(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	270	22	129	0.58	64%	0.48	31.1	5.74%	0	1.8	73	0
8	Apr_7_2016	39.81	39.71	41.56	44.73	45.03	46.83	47.04(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	62	300	40	127	0.85	64%	0.45	18.6	5.81%	0	2.1	73	0
9	Apr_6_2016	39.63	39.3	40.53	43.45	43.31	44.39	48.31(13.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	54	160	35	109	0.88	64%	0.58	3.3	5.86%	0	2.9	72	0
10	Apr_5_2016	39.4	38.89	39.6	41.36	41.77	43.22	42.72(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	270	26	84	0.46	59%	0.23	-23.6	5.58%	0	1.6	63	0

11	Apr_4_2016	39.31	39.07	38.94	40.21	40.55	42.23	43.77(4.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	46	320	41	60	0.82	59%	0.31	-15.9	5.64%	0	1.6	54	0
12	Apr_1_2016	39.19	39.05	38.14	38.69	38.75	40.31	41.83(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	290	25	20	0.55	59%	0.2	-23	5.68%	0	0.9	53	0
13	Mar_31_2016	39.11	39.07	37.53	37.91	37.77	38.86	40.6(7.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	190	24	3	0.77	59%	0.1	-21.4	5.74%	0	0.5	56	0
14	Mar_30_2016	39.07	39.19	37.11	37.2	37.21	37.2	37.89(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-0	0	-25	0.92	56%	-0.08	-19.1	5.71%	0	-0.4	47	0
15	Mar_29_2016	39.1	39.46	37.05	37.6	37.32	36.68	36.98(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-140	-6	-31	0.57	56%	-0.18	-8.6	5.79%	0	-0.8	40	0

16	Mar_28_2016	39.17	39.55	37.42	37.45	37.83	37.22	36.17(-4.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-80	-5	-49	0.51	56%	-0.25	-10.8	5.87%	0	-1	30	0
17	Mar_24_2016	39.27	39.74	37.42	37.44	37.59	37.97	37.91(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	80	1	-56	0.73	56%	-0.1	-9.6	5.9%	0	-0.6	40	0
18	Mar_23_2016	39.31	39.73	37.78	37.04	37.24	38.44	37.07(-7.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	240	14	-67	0.77	56%	-0.2	-13.3	5.99%	0	-0.8	42	0
19	Mar_22_2016	39.39	39.82	38.02	36.97	36.58	37.22	39.87(9.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	90	16	-78	1.03	61%	0.05	-19.3	5.93%	0	0	44	0
20	Mar_21_2016	39.37	39.74	38.12	36.49	36.24	36.04	36.25(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-60	-11	-103	0.77	56%	-0.3	-25.8	5.75%	0	-1.1	37	0

21	Mar_18_2016	39.49	39.9	39.2	37.44	36.89	35.94	36.1(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-220	-17	-73	1.28	56%	-0.33	-16.6	5.86%	0	-1.3	50	0
22	Mar_17_2016	39.62	40.05	40.01	38.2	38.06	36.44	35.89(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-310	-19	-53	0.69	56%	-0.38	-6	5.97%	0	-1.4	47	0
23	Mar_16_2016	39.77	40.15	40.74	38.59	38.84	37.84	36.74(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-160	-23	-37	0.51	56%	-0.3	-1.3	6.07%	0	-1.2	54	0
24	Mar_15_2016	39.89	40.42	41.47	39.16	39.38	39.68	37.45(-8.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	70	-10	-13	0.61	56%	-0.27	0	6.19%	0	-1.1	52	0
25	Mar_14_2016	40	40.56	42.1	39.96	39.9	39.84	41(2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-6	-20	-10	8	0.52	63%		0	6.02%	0	0.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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