Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $47.4000 (0.77%) ($45.5601 - $48.7564) on Fri. Apr. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.74% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $47.4000(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO advances 11.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(63%)    IBB(58%)    ARKG(53%)    IWO(47%)    ARKK(46%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -2.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.87% (StdDev 5.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.85(3.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.53(11.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.22(17.85%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   32.6%
Market Cap   $3.284b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 9.7% (three month std-dev: 5.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.61%(29%) Average negative next day return: -3.88%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.23%(14%) Average negative next three day return: -9.72%(86%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.11%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.51%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160508

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_8_2016	40	40.22	42.53	45.85	46.05	47.72	47.4(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	270	22	129	0.58	64%	0.48	31.1	5.74%	0	1.8	73	0
2	Apr_7_2016	39.81	39.71	41.56	44.73	45.03	46.83	47.04(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	62	300	40	127	0.85	64%	0.45	18.6	5.81%	0	2.1	73	0
3	Apr_6_2016	39.63	39.3	40.53	43.45	43.31	44.39	48.31(13.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	54	160	35	109	0.88	64%	0.58	3.3	5.86%	0	2.9	72	0
4	Apr_5_2016	39.4	38.89	39.6	41.36	41.77	43.22	42.72(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	270	26	84	0.46	59%	0.23	-23.6	5.58%	0	1.6	63	0
5	Apr_4_2016	39.31	39.07	38.94	40.21	40.55	42.23	43.77(4.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	46	320	41	60	0.82	59%	0.31	-15.9	5.64%	0	1.6	54	0

6	Apr_1_2016	39.19	39.05	38.14	38.69	38.75	40.31	41.83(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	290	25	20	0.55	59%	0.2	-23	5.68%	0	0.9	53	0
7	Mar_31_2016	39.11	39.07	37.53	37.91	37.77	38.86	40.6(7.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	190	24	3	0.77	59%	0.1	-21.4	5.74%	0	0.5	56	0
8	Mar_30_2016	39.07	39.19	37.11	37.2	37.21	37.2	37.89(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-0	0	-25	0.92	56%	-0.08	-19.1	5.71%	0	-0.4	47	0
9	Mar_29_2016	39.1	39.46	37.05	37.6	37.32	36.68	36.98(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-140	-6	-31	0.57	56%	-0.18	-8.6	5.79%	0	-0.8	40	0
10	Mar_28_2016	39.17	39.55	37.42	37.45	37.83	37.22	36.17(-4.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-80	-5	-49	0.51	56%	-0.25	-10.8	5.87%	0	-1	30	0

11	Mar_24_2016	39.27	39.74	37.42	37.44	37.59	37.97	37.91(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	80	1	-56	0.73	56%	-0.1	-9.6	5.9%	0	-0.6	40	0
12	Mar_23_2016	39.31	39.73	37.78	37.04	37.24	38.44	37.07(-7.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	240	14	-67	0.77	56%	-0.2	-13.3	5.99%	0	-0.8	42	0
13	Mar_22_2016	39.39	39.82	38.02	36.97	36.58	37.22	39.87(9.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	90	16	-78	1.03	61%	0.05	-19.3	5.93%	0	0	44	0
14	Mar_21_2016	39.37	39.74	38.12	36.49	36.24	36.04	36.25(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-60	-11	-103	0.77	56%	-0.3	-25.8	5.75%	0	-1.1	37	0
15	Mar_18_2016	39.49	39.9	39.2	37.44	36.89	35.94	36.1(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-220	-17	-73	1.28	56%	-0.33	-16.6	5.86%	0	-1.3	50	0

16	Mar_17_2016	39.62	40.05	40.01	38.2	38.06	36.44	35.89(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-310	-19	-53	0.69	56%	-0.38	-6	5.97%	0	-1.4	47	0
17	Mar_16_2016	39.77	40.15	40.74	38.59	38.84	37.84	36.74(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-160	-23	-37	0.51	56%	-0.3	-1.3	6.07%	0	-1.2	54	0
18	Mar_15_2016	39.89	40.42	41.47	39.16	39.38	39.68	37.45(-8.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	70	-10	-13	0.61	56%	-0.27	0	6.19%	0	-1.1	52	0
19	Mar_14_2016	40	40.56	42.1	39.96	39.9	39.84	41(2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-6	-20	-10	8	0.52	63%	0.13	0	6.02%	0	0.2	58	0
20	Mar_11_2016	39.95	40.41	41.89	41.31	40.91	39.08	39.91(5.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-340	-22	21	0.36	63%	0	0	6.14%	0	-0.2	55	0

21	Mar_10_2016	39.95	40.23	41.91	42.19	42.56	39.96	37.87(-4.25%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-19	-400	-36	31	0.65	63%	-0.27	0	6.2%	0	-0.8	53	0
22	Mar_9_2016	40.06	40.19	41.93	43.21	43.74	42.74	39.55(-4.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-9	-120	-28	49	0.63	63%	-0.07	0	6.26%	0	-0.2	59	0
23	Mar_8_2016	40.09	40.19	41.87	44.06	44.35	45.16	41.49(-13.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	2	150	2	1	0.65	63%	0.2	0	6.31%	0	13.3	51	0
24	Mar_7_2016	40.01	40.19	41.58	44.44	44.15	44.74	47.72(7.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	70	34	14	0.75	77%	1.16	0	5.47%	0	15.1	64	0
25	Mar_4_2016	39.55	40.19	40.65	42.57	42.96	43.53	44.32(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	120	14	6	0.8	73%		0	5.43%	0	16.8	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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