Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AGIO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: AGIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 10, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Agios Pharmaceuticals Inc)
AGIO latest price $39.8700 (9.99%) ($36.1600 - $40.4400) on Tue. Mar. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.93% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $39.8700(9.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AGIO advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AGIO declines -8.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AGIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(63%)    IBB(59%)    ARKG(53%)    IWO(47%)    ARKK(46%)
Factors Impacting AGIO price   AGIO will decline at least -2.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.965% (StdDev 5.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 10%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $22.4(-43.82%)
5 Day Moving Average   $36.97(7.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.02(4.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.82(0.13%)
To recent high   -16.5%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $2.762b

$. AGIO price fluctuates within 7.76% (three month std-dev: 5.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160422

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2016	39.39	39.82	38.02	36.97	36.58	37.22	39.87(9.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	90	16	-78	1.03	61%	0.05	-19.3	5.93%	0	0	44	0
2	Mar_21_2016	39.37	39.74	38.12	36.49	36.24	36.04	36.25(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-60	-11	-103	0.77	56%	-0.3	-25.8	5.75%	0	-1.1	37	0
3	Mar_18_2016	39.49	39.9	39.2	37.44	36.89	35.94	36.1(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-220	-17	-73	1.28	56%	-0.33	-16.6	5.86%	0	-1.3	50	0
4	Mar_17_2016	39.62	40.05	40.01	38.2	38.06	36.44	35.89(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-310	-19	-53	0.69	56%	-0.38	-6	5.97%	0	-1.4	47	0
5	Mar_16_2016	39.77	40.15	40.74	38.59	38.84	37.84	36.74(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-160	-23	-37	0.51	56%	-0.3	-1.3	6.07%	0	-1.2	54	0

6	Mar_15_2016	39.89	40.42	41.47	39.16	39.38	39.68	37.45(-8.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	70	-10	-13	0.61	56%	-0.27	0	6.19%	0	-1.1	52	0
7	Mar_14_2016	40	40.56	42.1	39.96	39.9	39.84	41(2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-6	-20	-10	8	0.52	63%	0.13	0	6.02%	0	0.2	58	0
8	Mar_11_2016	39.95	40.41	41.89	41.31	40.91	39.08	39.91(5.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-340	-22	21	0.36	63%	0	0	6.14%	0	-0.2	55	0
9	Mar_10_2016	39.95	40.23	41.91	42.19	42.56	39.96	37.87(-4.25%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-19	-400	-36	31	0.65	63%	-0.27	0	6.2%	0	-0.8	53	0
10	Mar_9_2016	40.06	40.19	41.93	43.21	43.74	42.74	39.55(-4.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-9	-120	-28	49	0.63	63%	-0.07	0	6.26%	0	-0.2	59	0

11	Mar_8_2016	40.09	40.19	41.87	44.06	44.35	45.16	41.49(-13.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	2	150	2	1	0.65	63%	0.2	0	6.31%	0	13.3	51	0
12	Mar_7_2016	40.01	40.19	41.58	44.44	44.15	44.74	47.72(7.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	70	34	14	0.75	77%	1.16	0	5.47%	0	15.1	64	0
13	Mar_4_2016	39.55	40.19	40.65	42.57	42.96	43.53	44.32(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	120	14	6	0.8	73%	0.74	0	5.43%	0	16.8	64	0
14	Mar_3_2016	39.26	40.19	40.04	41.65	41.84	43.55	42.96(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	300	27	11	0.75	73%	0.64	0	5.59%	0	17.7	66	0
15	Mar_2_2016	39.01	40.19	39.45	40.47	40.66	42.38	43.8(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	310	37	15	1.46	73%	0.88	0	5.72%	0	19	65	0

16	Mar_1_2016	38.67	40.19	39.18	39.38	39.19	40.12	43.42(13.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	21	150	24	10	1.8	73%	0.97	0	5.93%	0	21.9	50	0
17	Feb_29_2016	38.3	40.19	38.76	38.33	38.31	38.94	38.35(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	110	7	3	0.73	64%	0	0	5.07%	0	25.1	50	0
18	Feb_26_2016	38.3	40.19	38.71	38.46	38.1	38.26	39.71(7.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	0	7	3	0.64	64%	0.34	0	5.15%	0	24.8	50	0
19	Feb_25_2016	38.17	40.19	38.34	38.2	38.27	37.67	37.09(-3.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3	-100	-3	-1	0.73	55%	-0.29	0	5%	0	23	50	0
20	Feb_24_2016	38.28	40.19	38.31	38.21	38.26	37.93	38.32(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-60	-18	-7	0.65	55%	0.03	0	5.13%	0	23.2	50	0

21	Feb_23_2016	38.27	40.19	38.31	38.94	38.48	38.87	38.2(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	40	-4	-2	0.62	55%	-0.03	0	5.44%	0	22	50	0
22	Feb_22_2016	38.28	40.19	38.31	39.25	38.48	38.59	38.96(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-110	7	3	0.74	55%	0.26	0	5.71%	0	21.2	50	0
23	Feb_19_2016	38.18	40.19	38.31	39.01	39.18	38.09	38.44(3.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-180	-8	-3	0.63	55%	0.1	0	6.17%	0	19.7	50	0
24	Feb_18_2016	38.14	40.19	38.31	38.47	38.92	39.77	37.15(-11.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	190	-0	0	1.68	55%	-0.52	0	6.65%	0	17.7	50	0
25	Feb_17_2016	38.34	40.19	38.31	38.34	38.32	40.28	41.93(5.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	185	360	218	87	1.05	89%		0	3.21%	0	18.6	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.