Trading Signals: AFL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: AFL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Aflac Incorporated)
AFL latest price $34.6200 (0.7%) ($34.3900 - $34.7200) on Thu. May. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $34.6200(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AFL advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AFL advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AFL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(74%)    IWD(72%)    IVE(70%)    SDY(70%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting AFL price   AFL will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-19%)    IGOV(-6%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.47(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.44(0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.22(1.17%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   20.8%
Market Cap   $24.715b

Aflac, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision financial protection services. It operates through the Aflac Japan and Aflac United States (U.S.) segments. The Aflac Japan segment offers life insurance, death benefits, and cash surrender values. The Aflac U.S. segment sells voluntary supplemental insurance products for people who already have major medical or primary insurance coverage. The company was founded by John Amos, Daniel Paul Amos, and William Amos on November 17, 1955 and is headquartered in Columbus, GA.

$. AFL price fluctuates within 1.11% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.64%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.21%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.03%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.97%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.78%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.81%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2016	30.93	34.22	34.44	34.47	34.43	34.5	34.62(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	10	11	27	5.06	100%	0.13	111.7	0.94%	0	1.1	65	INF
2	May_11_2016	30.89	34.17	34.43	34.41	34.36	34.4	34.38(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	0	5	30	3.02	87%	0.16	119.5	1%	0	0.5	67	INF
3	May_10_2016	30.84	34.11	34.46	34.38	34.33	34.36	34.59(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	0	4	35	3.83	87%	0.19	112.9	1.09%	0	1	61	INF
4	May_9_2016	30.78	34.02	34.4	34.36	34.29	34.32	34.32(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	0	-3	34	2.94	87%	0.16	95.2	1.1%	0	0.5	62	INF
5	May_6_2016	30.73	33.92	34.37	34.41	34.31	34.31	34.42(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	12	-10	1	46	3.2	87%	0.16	84.4	1.09%	0	0.7	67	INF

6	May_5_2016	30.68	33.8	34.33	34.42	34.33	34.27	34.33(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-20	-5	53	3.94	87%	0.1	73.8	1.1%	0	0.6	69	INF
7	May_4_2016	30.65	33.67	34.27	34.46	34.37	34.31	34.22(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-20	-10	59	4.3	87%	0.13	69.9	1.1%	0	0.6	66	INF
8	May_3_2016	30.61	33.56	34.25	34.54	34.45	34.4	34.49(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-20	4	86	5.69	87%	0.16	69.5	1.1%	0	0.9	76	INF
9	May_2_2016	30.56	33.43	34.18	34.45	34.43	34.43	34.57(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-0	6	95	4.55	88%	0.16	66.6	1.1%	0	1.1	82	INF
10	Apr_29_2016	30.51	33.29	34.09	34.32	34.34	34.5	34.49(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	30	12	107	6.07	80%	0.13	65.4	1.15%	0	1.2	86	INF

11	Apr_28_2016	30.47	33.17	33.98	34.21	34.19	34.44	34.51(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	50	23	125	5.51	81%	0.13	65.6	1.16%	0	1.3	86	INF
12	Apr_27_2016	30.43	33.02	33.88	34.05	34.02	34.19	34.66(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	30	20	140	6.16	81%	0.13	63	1.16%	0	1.6	91	INF
13	Apr_26_2016	30.39	32.88	33.73	33.93	33.89	33.95	34(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	43	10	7	151	5.45	81%	0.1	63.7	1.14%	0	1.2	80	INF
14	Apr_25_2016	30.36	32.76	33.61	33.88	33.87	33.86	33.94(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	-0	5	160	3.83	78%	0.07	63.4	1.16%	0	1.2	79	INF
15	Apr_22_2016	30.34	32.64	33.43	33.81	33.84	33.84	33.96(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	0	6	161	5.29	80%	0.07	63.1	1.17%	0	1.4	80	INF

16	Apr_21_2016	30.32	32.5	33.24	33.71	33.73	33.89	33.7(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	30	6	150	3.93	80%	0.03	60.3	1.21%	0	1.3	72	INF
17	Apr_20_2016	30.31	32.4	33.03	33.67	33.65	33.84	34.03(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	40	22	157	5.63	76%	0.03	63.9	1.2%	0	1.9	81	INF
18	Apr_19_2016	30.3	32.28	32.81	33.51	33.53	33.58	33.78(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	10	19	142	5.34	76%	0.07	70.6	1.22%	0	1.9	73	INF
19	Apr_18_2016	30.28	32.16	32.62	33.31	33.37	33.46	33.6(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	20	22	133	4.06	76%	0.03	75.4	1.22%	0	2	74	INF
20	Apr_15_2016	30.27	32.07	32.43	32.99	33.11	33.47	33.44(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	90	31	114	4.41	76%	0.1	76	1.23%	0	2.1	73	INF

21	Apr_14_2016	30.24	31.97	32.28	32.69	32.77	33.28	33.49(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	64	120	50	107	5.07	76%	0.03	86.6	1.25%	0	2.8	76	INF
22	Apr_13_2016	30.23	31.85	32.08	32.3	32.37	32.76	33.23(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	51	90	44	72	4.88	73%	0	94.2	1.24%	0	3.1	67	INF
23	Apr_12_2016	30.23	31.73	31.93	32.02	31.98	32.26	32.77(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	30	60	25	43	7.11	73%	0.03	100.9	1.26%	0	2.8	64	INF
24	Apr_11_2016	30.22	31.63	31.81	31.83	31.83	31.97	32.02(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	30	14	24	4.29	71%	-0.03	103.7	1.23%	0	1.1	56	INF
25	Apr_8_2016	30.23	31.59	31.77	31.79	31.76	31.71	31.96(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	3	-10	-0	13	4.63	71%		108.3	1.23%	0	1.1	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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