Trading Signals: AFL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: AFL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Aflac Incorporated)
AFL latest price $32.1600 (1.2%) ($31.7300 - $32.2800) on Tue. Nov. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $32.1600(1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AFL advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AFL advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AFL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(74%)    IWD(72%)    IVE(71%)    VYM(71%)    SDY(70%)
Factors Impacting AFL price   AFL will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-16%)    IGOV(-6%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.06(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.06(0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.52(2.03%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   16.4%
Market Cap   $22.959b

Aflac, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision financial protection services. It operates through the Aflac Japan and Aflac United States (U.S.) segments. The Aflac Japan segment offers life insurance, death benefits, and cash surrender values. The Aflac U.S. segment sells voluntary supplemental insurance products for people who already have major medical or primary insurance coverage. The company was founded by John Amos, Daniel Paul Amos, and William Amos on November 17, 1955 and is headquartered in Columbus, GA.

$. AFL price fluctuates within 2.38% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 0.61%(32%) Average negative next day return: -0.6%(68%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 1.21%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -1.08%(47%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 1.12%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.01%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_10_2015	30.54	31.52	32.06	32.06	32.06	31.96	32.16(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-20	-3	40	4.79	37%	0.03	58	1.46%	0	0.9	72	INF
2	Nov_9_2015	30.53	31.43	32.06	32.03	32.08	32.07	31.78(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	0	-8	48	5.06	37%	0	59.9	1.46%	0	0.5	70	INF
3	Nov_6_2015	30.53	31.37	32.01	32.12	32.11	32.16	32.16(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	23	10	5	77	6.16	37%	0.03	67.1	1.45%	0	1	78	INF
4	Nov_5_2015	30.52	31.28	31.97	32.07	32.09	32.08	32.09(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	-0	0	85	3.46	37%	0.03	72.7	1.46%	0	1	73	INF
5	Nov_4_2015	30.51	31.19	31.88	32.09	32.09	32.06	32.09(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	24	-10	-1	97	4.29	37%	0.03	82.8	1.46%	0	1.2	75	INF

6	Nov_3_2015	30.5	31.09	31.75	32.07	32.08	32.1	32.02(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	10	6	110	5.59	37%	0.03	87.5	1.46%	0	1.2	79	INF
7	Nov_2_2015	30.49	30.98	31.62	31.98	32.01	32.09	32.26(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	20	8	112	3.73	37%	0.03	89.3	1.45%	0	1.6	74	INF
8	Oct_30_2015	30.48	30.85	31.44	31.88	31.89	32.06	31.88(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	33	40	7	109	6.52	37%	0	91.7	1.45%	0	1.3	68	INF
9	Oct_29_2015	30.48	30.72	31.32	31.85	31.8	31.94	32.21(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	30	21	119	5.63	42%	0.03	89.3	1.44%	0	1.7	74	INF
10	Oct_28_2015	30.47	30.56	31.15	31.63	31.66	31.71	31.99(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	10	16	99	9.91	44%	0.03	86.2	1.51%	0	1.7	72	INF

11	Oct_27_2015	30.46	30.41	30.93	31.37	31.46	31.67	31.58(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	60	14	78	6.96	44%	0.03	81	1.51%	0	1.4	71	INF
12	Oct_26_2015	30.45	30.28	30.8	31.18	31.24	31.61	31.76(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	90	29	78	7.6	44%	0.03	74.6	1.51%	0	1.7	78	INF
13	Oct_23_2015	30.44	30.11	30.66	30.93	30.94	31.25	31.73(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	37	70	26	69	6.45	44%	0	68.4	1.51%	0	2	79	INF
14	Oct_22_2015	30.44	29.97	30.51	30.72	30.7	30.88	31.11(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	28	40	16	65	5.19	41%	0	68.5	1.49%	0	1.5	79	INF
15	Oct_21_2015	30.44	29.85	30.44	30.59	30.61	30.62	30.67(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	0	13	73	4.5	41%	0	63.3	1.48%	0	1.1	78	INF

16	Oct_20_2015	30.44	29.75	30.38	30.43	30.49	30.53	30.64(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	20	4	73	7.36	41%	-0.03	52.9	1.48%	0	1.2	76	INF
17	Oct_19_2015	30.45	29.65	30.3	30.35	30.36	30.6	30.52(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	60	7	81	3.85	41%	0	46.6	1.48%	0	1.2	77	INF
18	Oct_16_2015	30.45	29.56	30.21	30.33	30.31	30.44	30.67(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	35	30	14	98	3.7	40%	-0.03	46.4	1.48%	0	1.5	82	INF
19	Oct_15_2015	30.46	29.46	30.07	30.28	30.25	30.13	30.45(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	22	-30	-2	94	3.5	40%	-0.03	44.1	1.48%	0	1.4	71	INF
20	Oct_14_2015	30.47	29.38	29.93	30.27	30.3	30.18	29.87(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-20	-10	97	3.33	37%	-0.03	48.4	1.46%	0	0.7	68	INF

21	Oct_13_2015	30.48	29.36	29.86	30.32	30.35	30.37	30.26(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	10	5	116	2.56	37%	0	58.8	1.45%	0	1.4	76	INF
22	Oct_12_2015	30.48	29.3	29.73	30.22	30.25	30.42	30.42(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	40	14	118	2.44	37%	-0.03	60.8	1.45%	0	1.8	81	INF
23	Oct_9_2015	30.49	29.22	29.54	30.06	30.06	30.33	30.38(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	60	23	106	3.21	40%	-0.03	65.6	1.47%	0	2.1	71	INF
24	Oct_8_2015	30.5	29.15	29.39	29.84	29.84	30.08	30.41(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	47	60	30	98	3.54	38%	-0.07	64	1.47%	0	2.5	74	INF
25	Oct_7_2015	30.52	29.07	29.21	29.55	29.49	29.8	30.15(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	33	70	21	68	3.62	38%		59.7	1.49%	0	2.6	62	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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