Trading Signals: AFL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: AFL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Aflac Incorporated)
AFL latest price $31.1100 (1.43%) ($30.8300 - $31.2800) on Thu. Oct. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.49% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $31.1100(1.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AFL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AFL advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AFL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(74%)    IWD(72%)    IVE(71%)    VYM(71%)    SDY(70%)
Factors Impacting AFL price   AFL will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-16%)    IGOV(-7%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.72(1.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.51(1.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.97(3.8%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $22.21b

Aflac, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision financial protection services. It operates through the Aflac Japan and Aflac United States (U.S.) segments. The Aflac Japan segment offers life insurance, death benefits, and cash surrender values. The Aflac U.S. segment sells voluntary supplemental insurance products for people who already have major medical or primary insurance coverage. The company was founded by John Amos, Daniel Paul Amos, and William Amos on November 17, 1955 and is headquartered in Columbus, GA.

$. AFL price fluctuates within 2.54% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.83%(46%) Average negative next day return: -0.99%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.81%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -1.77%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.6%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.92%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2015	30.44	29.97	30.51	30.72	30.7	30.88	31.11(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	28	40	16	65	5.19	41%	0	68.5	1.49%	0	1.5	79	INF
2	Oct_21_2015	30.44	29.85	30.44	30.59	30.61	30.62	30.67(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	0	13	73	4.5	41%	0	63.3	1.48%	0	1.1	78	INF
3	Oct_20_2015	30.44	29.75	30.38	30.43	30.49	30.53	30.64(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	20	4	73	7.36	41%	-0.03	52.9	1.48%	0	1.2	76	INF
4	Oct_19_2015	30.45	29.65	30.3	30.35	30.36	30.6	30.52(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	60	7	81	3.85	41%	0	46.6	1.48%	0	1.2	77	INF
5	Oct_16_2015	30.45	29.56	30.21	30.33	30.31	30.44	30.67(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	35	30	14	98	3.7	40%	-0.03	46.4	1.48%	0	1.5	82	INF

6	Oct_15_2015	30.46	29.46	30.07	30.28	30.25	30.13	30.45(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	22	-30	-2	94	3.5	40%	-0.03	44.1	1.48%	0	1.4	71	INF
7	Oct_14_2015	30.47	29.38	29.93	30.27	30.3	30.18	29.87(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-20	-10	97	3.33	37%	-0.03	48.4	1.46%	0	0.7	68	INF
8	Oct_13_2015	30.48	29.36	29.86	30.32	30.35	30.37	30.26(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	10	5	116	2.56	37%	0	58.8	1.45%	0	1.4	76	INF
9	Oct_12_2015	30.48	29.3	29.73	30.22	30.25	30.42	30.42(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	40	14	118	2.44	37%	-0.03	60.8	1.45%	0	1.8	81	INF
10	Oct_9_2015	30.49	29.22	29.54	30.06	30.06	30.33	30.38(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	60	23	106	3.21	40%	-0.03	65.6	1.47%	0	2.1	71	INF

11	Oct_8_2015	30.5	29.15	29.39	29.84	29.84	30.08	30.41(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	47	60	30	98	3.54	38%	-0.07	64	1.47%	0	2.5	74	INF
12	Oct_7_2015	30.52	29.07	29.21	29.55	29.49	29.8	30.15(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	33	70	21	68	3.62	38%	-0.07	59.7	1.49%	0	2.6	62	INF
13	Oct_6_2015	30.54	28.98	29.06	29.33	29.26	29.61	29.72(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	80	25	46	3.7	38%	-0.07	58.1	1.48%	0	2.2	51	INF
14	Oct_5_2015	30.56	28.93	28.94	29.16	29.13	29.19	29.66(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	24	10	24	23	3.38	38%	-0.07	43.3	1.48%	0	2.4	53	INF
15	Oct_2_2015	30.58	28.86	28.85	28.93	28.91	28.92	29.24(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-2	0	-1	-6	4.63	38%	-0.1	5	1.48%	0	1.3	54	INF

16	Oct_1_2015	30.61	28.83	28.85	28.87	28.86	29.07	28.98(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	50	8	-14	3.93	38%	-0.1	-10.3	1.48%	0	0.5	48	INF
17	Sep_30_2015	30.64	28.82	28.78	28.82	28.85	28.91	29.07(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	8	20	15	-13	3.94	40%	-0.1	-10.3	1.48%	0	0.9	53	INF
18	Sep_29_2015	30.67	28.78	28.81	28.75	28.72	28.65	28.86(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-4	-20	-1	-13	3.17	37%	-0.1	-5.9	1.48%	0	0.3	56	INF
19	Sep_28_2015	30.7	28.8	28.85	28.68	28.69	28.65	28.51(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	30	-3	-13	3.58	37%	-0.1	4.6	1.53%	0	-0.9	48	INF
20	Sep_25_2015	30.73	28.84	28.89	28.75	28.66	28.79	28.92(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	20	10	6	3.76	38%	-0.1	7.2	1.53%	0	0.3	60	INF

21	Sep_24_2015	30.76	28.86	28.9	28.68	28.66	28.6	28.75(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-10	-1	-0	4.44	38%	-0.13	-16.1	1.54%	0	-0.3	50	INF
22	Sep_23_2015	30.8	28.85	28.92	28.74	28.63	28.54	28.71(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-10	-30	-13	1	3.93	38%	-0.1	-49.6	1.54%	0	-0.4	50	INF
23	Sep_22_2015	30.83	28.8	28.9	28.89	28.79	28.65	28.52(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-6	-40	-13	14	4	38%	-0.1	-77.8	1.53%	0	-0.6	54	INF
24	Sep_21_2015	30.86	28.79	28.93	29.04	29.01	28.72	28.85(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-70	-9	22	3.12	38%	-0.1	-105	1.53%	0	0.1	45	INF
25	Sep_18_2015	30.89	28.82	28.88	29.05	29.1	28.94	28.58(-1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-12	-30	-18	6	7.16	39%		-124.1	1.53%	0	-0.5	43	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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