Trading Signals: AFL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 1, 2015

Trading Signals: AFL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Aflac Incorporated)
AFL latest price $28.3300 (-3.31%) ($28.2200 - $28.8100) on Tue. Sep. 1, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.44% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $28.3300(-3.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AFL advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AFL declines -5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AFL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(74%)    IWD(72%)    IVE(71%)    VYM(71%)    SDY(70%)
Factors Impacting AFL price   AFL will decline at least -0.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-15%)    IGOV(-7%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.72% (StdDev 1.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.91(-33.25%)
Resistance Level   $30.6
5 Day Moving Average   $28.95(-2.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.19(-2.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.6(-7.42%)
To recent high   -12.7%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $20.225b

Aflac, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision financial protection services. It operates through the Aflac Japan and Aflac United States (U.S.) segments. The Aflac Japan segment offers life insurance, death benefits, and cash surrender values. The Aflac U.S. segment sells voluntary supplemental insurance products for people who already have major medical or primary insurance coverage. The company was founded by John Amos, Daniel Paul Amos, and William Amos on November 17, 1955 and is headquartered in Columbus, GA.

$. AFL price fluctuates within 5.39% (three month std-dev: 1.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 2.09%(65%) Average negative next day return: -0.9%(35%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 6.45%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -2.41%(47%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 4.87%(76%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.76%(24%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2015	31.29	30.6	29.19	28.95	28.99	28.84	28.33(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-58	-30	-5	-216	5.85	41%	-0.13	-47.9	1.44%	0	-1.4	27	INF
2	Aug_31_2015	31.33	30.79	29.57	28.81	28.94	29.2	29.3(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-43	80	18	-225	4.9	44%	-0.1	-50.7	1.39%	0	-0.9	30	INF
3	Aug_28_2015	31.36	30.93	29.84	28.58	28.72	29.15	29.34(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-44	120	23	-244	4.1	44%	-0.1	-52.7	1.39%	0	-1	28	INF
4	Aug_27_2015	31.39	31.07	30.13	28.63	28.33	28.67	29.32(3.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-66	50	-4	-250	5.2	46%	-0.1	-50.3	1.39%	0	-1.2	33	INF
5	Aug_26_2015	31.42	31.21	30.4	28.89	28.56	28.29	28.46(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-89	-100	-35	-252	6.28	40%	-0.1	-44.6	1.34%	0	-1.9	27	INF

6	Aug_25_2015	31.45	31.41	30.77	29.51	29.23	27.98	27.62(-1.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-135	-330	-100	-241	6.21	36%	-0.16	-33.1	1.3%	0	-2.8	17	INF
7	Aug_24_2015	31.5	31.62	31.24	30.44	30.08	28.84	28.15(-4.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-144	-320	-131	-181	10.21	38%	-0.1	-17.2	1.29%	0	-3.4	20	INF
8	Aug_21_2015	31.53	31.77	31.7	31.26	31.22	30.48	29.6(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-86	-170	-81	-99	6.4	40%	-0.06	7.3	1.14%	0	-3.1	25	INF
9	Aug_20_2015	31.55	31.86	31.97	31.82	31.74	31.32	30.63(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-49	-100	-53	-38	7.04	44%	-0.06	39.3	1.12%	0	-2.2	32	INF
10	Aug_19_2015	31.57	31.88	32.1	32.11	32.06	31.96	31.53(-2.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-14	-30	-18	0	8.74	48%	0	56.4	1.07%	0	-0.7	42	INF

11	Aug_18_2015	31.57	31.86	32.16	32.22	32.16	32.15	32.29(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10	4	17	2.49	52%	0	59.5	1.03%	0	0.8	49	INF
12	Aug_17_2015	31.57	31.79	32.13	32.18	32.16	32.16	32.27(-0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	10	-3	24	3.74	52%	0.03	57.1	1.03%	0	0.8	69	INF
13	Aug_14_2015	31.56	31.72	32.11	32.22	32.09	32.17	32.38(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	10	11	54	3.49	52%	0	58.2	1.03%	0	1.1	75	INF
14	Aug_13_2015	31.56	31.64	32.07	32.15	32.12	32.02	32.09(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-20	5	64	2.37	52%	0.03	55.9	1.02%	0	0.8	68	INF
15	Aug_12_2015	31.55	31.59	32.06	32.15	32.06	32.01	32.06(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10	-10	73	4.44	50%	0	59.9	1.02%	0	0.8	69	INF

16	Aug_11_2015	31.55	31.54	32.08	32.1	32.07	32.21	32.12(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	30	6	103	2.97	50%	0	64.7	1.03%	0	1	69	INF
17	Aug_10_2015	31.55	31.47	31.99	32.07	32.09	32.12	32.46(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	41	10	17	112	3.34	52%	0.03	61.3	1.02%	0	1.6	76	INF
18	Aug_7_2015	31.54	31.38	31.83	32.07	32.01	31.93	32.02(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	19	-10	-7	97	3.87	51%	0	61.5	1.01%	0	1.1	74	INF
19	Aug_6_2015	31.54	31.32	31.73	31.98	32.02	32.06	31.84(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	10	-5	104	4.25	51%	0	60.5	1.01%	0	0.9	72	INF
20	Aug_5_2015	31.54	31.24	31.65	32.02	32.05	32.1	32.05(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	31	10	4	110	3.09	51%	0.03	53.6	1.01%	0	1.4	67	INF

21	Aug_4_2015	31.53	31.15	31.54	32.06	32.03	31.98	31.97(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	40	-10	12	122	3.15	51%	0	52.5	1.01%	0	1.4	69	INF
22	Aug_3_2015	31.53	31.09	31.43	31.9	31.95	31.99	32.02(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	10	18	113	3.31	51%	0.03	48.9	1.01%	0	1.7	73	INF
23	Jul_31_2015	31.52	31.03	31.31	31.65	31.72	32.08	32.03(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	90	32	95	4.82	51%	0.03	29.3	1.02%	0	2	73	INF
24	Jul_30_2015	31.51	30.97	31.18	31.44	31.39	31.9	32.02(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	57	110	49	79	5.32	49%	0.03	13.1	1.02%	0	2.3	68	INF
25	Jul_29_2015	31.5	30.92	31.08	31.22	31.11	31.35	32.27(3.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.7	52	40	46	68	8.34	48%		-0.8	1.03%	0	3.5	79	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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