Trading Signals: AFL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: AFL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Aflac Incorporated)
AFL latest price $31.1100 (0.68%) ($30.9100 - $31.2200) on Thu. Jul. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $31.1100(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AFL advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AFL declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AFL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(74%)    IVE(71%)    VYM(71%)    XLI(69%)    XAR(66%)
Factors Impacting AFL price   AFL will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-8%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.86(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.75(1.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.03(0.26%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $22.21b

Aflac, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision financial protection services. It operates through the Aflac Japan and Aflac United States (U.S.) segments. The Aflac Japan segment offers life insurance, death benefits, and cash surrender values. The Aflac U.S. segment sells voluntary supplemental insurance products for people who already have major medical or primary insurance coverage. The company was founded by John Amos, Daniel Paul Amos, and William Amos on November 17, 1955 and is headquartered in Columbus, GA.

$. AFL price fluctuates within 1.32% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.36%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.81%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.29%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.26%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.05%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150816

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_16_2015	31.5	31.03	30.75	30.86	30.79	30.95	31.11(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	30	23	-33	3.17	38%	0	-25	0.92%	0	0.2	42	INF
2	Jul_15_2015	31.5	31.04	30.76	30.7	30.72	30.77	30.9(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	10	19	-54	5.35	38%	0	-35.6	0.92%	0	-0.3	46	INF
3	Jul_14_2015	31.5	31.05	30.76	30.57	30.63	30.64	30.71(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	10	-2	-85	6.11	38%	0	-40.9	0.92%	0	-0.8	42	INF
4	Jul_13_2015	31.5	31.07	30.77	30.6	30.56	30.67	30.71(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-25	20	-1	-96	11.23	38%	-0.03	-37.2	0.92%	0	-0.9	42	INF
5	Jul_10_2015	31.51	31.1	30.88	30.62	30.61	30.63	30.86(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	0	8	-81	5.25	38%	0	-32.6	0.92%	0	-0.6	46	INF

6	Jul_9_2015	31.51	31.13	30.95	30.64	30.6	30.46	30.33(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-40	-24	-93	4.69	33%	0	-26.6	0.89%	0	-2	36	INF
7	Jul_8_2015	31.51	31.18	31.05	30.82	30.74	30.58	30.23(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-42	-40	-30	-76	3.91	33%	-0.03	-16.1	0.89%	0	-2.7	40	INF
8	Jul_7_2015	31.52	31.18	31.17	31	30.97	30.74	30.89(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-50	-9	-46	4.01	36%	-0.03	-7.5	0.85%	0	-1.1	47	INF
9	Jul_6_2015	31.53	31.22	31.23	30.96	31.05	30.9	30.79(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-30	-37	-54	3.53	36%	0.03	-14	0.85%	0	-1.5	49	INF
10	Jul_2_2015	31.52	31.23	31.28	31.17	31.14	31.2	30.98(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	10	-16	-20	2.88	36%	0	3.3	0.86%	0	-0.9	47	INF

11	Jul_1_2015	31.52	31.23	31.34	31.31	31.31	31.19	31.22(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	-30	2	5	3.99	36%	0	13.3	0.85%	0	-0.1	46	INF
12	Jun_30_2015	31.52	31.23	31.35	31.32	31.39	31.09	31.1(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-60	-28	-7	4.82	36%	0.03	14.4	0.85%	0	-0.5	49	INF
13	Jun_29_2015	31.51	31.24	31.36	31.38	31.46	31.44	30.72(-3.55%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-2.4	-19	0	-29	10	6.9	32%	0	25.6	0.84%	0	-1.9	51	INF
14	Jun_26_2015	31.51	31.26	31.41	31.52	31.54	31.7	31.85(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	36	40	27	62	5.02	39%	0.03	37.3	0.72%	0	2.3	68	INF
15	Jun_25_2015	31.5	31.22	31.34	31.41	31.47	31.49	31.67(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	10	14	51	8.17	39%	0.06	22.9	0.71%	0	2	64	INF

16	Jun_24_2015	31.48	31.22	31.32	31.41	31.4	31.38	31.24(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-0	-6	53	2.6	34%	0.03	-1.6	0.69%	0	0.2	54	INF
17	Jun_23_2015	31.47	31.2	31.33	31.38	31.43	31.44	31.43(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	10	7	59	3.18	34%	0.1	-20.9	0.69%	0	1.1	53	INF
18	Jun_22_2015	31.44	31.2	31.27	31.34	31.4	31.44	31.42(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	10	10	48	2.25	34%	0.1	-53.1	0.69%	0	1.3	55	INF
19	Jun_19_2015	31.41	31.2	31.21	31.34	31.31	31.41	31.28(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	30	5	28	4.67	39%	0.06	-75	0.71%	0	0.5	55	INF
20	Jun_18_2015	31.39	31.17	31.18	31.27	31.23	31.38	31.55(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	18	30	15	28	3.56	45%	0.1	-82.1	0.71%	0	1.8	58	INF

21	Jun_17_2015	31.36	31.21	31.18	31.27	31.18	31.21	31.24(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-0	8	19	3.43	42%	0.06	-46.6	0.71%	0	0.1	48	INF
22	Jun_16_2015	31.34	31.25	31.12	31.26	31.2	31.08	31.23(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-30	3	19	3.82	46%	0.06	-34.4	0.71%	0	-0.1	49	INF
23	Jun_15_2015	31.32	31.28	31.11	31.18	31.21	31.14	31.03(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10	-7	9	3.15	46%	0.06	-37.4	0.73%	0	-0.6	55	INF
24	Jun_12_2015	31.3	31.32	31.12	31.14	31.16	31.33	31.29(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	40	14	4	3.37	54%	0.03	-42.5	0.73%	0	-0.1	48	INF
25	Jun_11_2015	31.29	31.35	31.1	31.06	31.06	31.29	31.5(0.77%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	21	50	31	-8	3.45	54%		-46.4	0.76%	0	0.3	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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