Trading Signals: AEP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: AEP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(American Electric Power Company Inc.)
AEP latest price $58.8100 (0.82%) ($57.3100 - $58.9800) on Tue. Jan. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $58.8100(0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AEP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AEP advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AEP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(81%)    XLP(59%)    SDY(51%)    VYM(50%)    IVE(45%)
Factors Impacting AEP price   AEP will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-9%)    DIA(-5%)    VIXM(-4%)    TBT(-4%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.64(0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.25(0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.14(2.92%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $29.17b

American Electric Power Co., Inc. is a public utility holding company that engages in the business of generation, transmission and distribution of electricity. It operates through the following segments: Vertically Integrated Utilities, Transmission & Distribution Utilities, AEP Transmission Holdco and Generation & Marketing. The Vertically Integrated Utilities segment engages in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity for sale to retail and wholesale customers through assets owned and operated by its subsidiaries. The Transmission & Distribution Utilities segment engages in the business of transmission and distribution of electricity for sale to retail and wholesale customers through assets owned and operated by its subsidiaries. The AEP Transmission Holdco segment engages in the development, construction and operation of transmission facilities through investments in its wholly-owned transmission subsidiaries and joint ventures. The Generation & Marketing segment engages in non-regulated generation and marketing, risk management, and retail activities. The company was founded on December 20, 1906 and is headquartered in Columbus, OH.

$. AEP price fluctuates within 2.54% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 0.37%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.55%(67%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.08%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.19%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 0.78%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.34%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2016	56.17	57.14	58.25	58.64	58.46	58.17	58.81(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	19	-40	-6	93	3.43	49%	0	52.8	1.28%	0	1.2	78	0
2	Jan_4_2016	56.17	56.99	58.01	58.6	58.59	58.28	58.33(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-40	-20	99	4.09	49%	-0.02	54.1	1.3%	0	1	77	0
3	Dec_31_2015	56.18	56.81	57.92	58.6	58.68	58.74	58.27(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	10	-4	128	2.46	49%	0.02	50.8	1.3%	0	1	73	0
4	Dec_30_2015	56.17	56.66	57.8	58.61	58.61	58.89	58.9(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	30	26	149	1.75	50%	0.04	50.2	1.3%	0	1.6	64	0
5	Dec_29_2015	56.15	56.54	57.52	58.27	58.33	58.62	58.89(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	61	40	35	140	3.16	50%	0.04	50.4	1.31%	0	1.8	66	0

6	Dec_28_2015	56.13	56.39	57.09	57.8	57.83	58.34	58.6(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	53	60	34	109	2.43	50%	0.04	42.7	1.31%	0	1.9	62	0
7	Dec_24_2015	56.11	56.24	56.7	57.34	57.38	58.04	58.4(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	53	80	42	84	1.34	50%	0.04	33.9	1.3%	0	2	63	0
8	Dec_23_2015	56.09	56.09	56.34	57.14	56.98	57.33	58.25(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	43	30	33	74	3.18	50%	0.04	33.3	1.31%	0	2.3	67	0
9	Dec_22_2015	56.07	55.96	56.12	56.89	56.86	56.72	57.21(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-20	11	63	2.86	46%	0	35.4	1.29%	0	1.5	59	0
10	Dec_21_2015	56.07	55.89	55.97	56.66	56.8	56.63	56.55(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10	2	42	3.55	46%	0	28.7	1.3%	0	0.9	48	0

11	Dec_18_2015	56.07	55.89	55.93	56.26	56.56	57.01	56.28(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	70	24	35	5.47	46%	0	22.8	1.3%	0	0.5	51	0
12	Dec_17_2015	56.07	55.88	55.88	55.91	56.01	56.97	57.42(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	57	130	64	35	4.31	52%	0.02	16.2	1.28%	0	2	56	0
13	Dec_16_2015	56.06	55.77	55.6	55.41	55.35	56.1	57.01(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	37	90	50	-1	3.42	53%	0.02	-4.1	1.3%	0	1.8	57	0
14	Dec_15_2015	56.05	55.67	55.42	55.25	55.09	55.06	56.04(2.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	-10	15	-26	4.35	51%	0.02	-11.3	1.3%	0	0.6	51	0
15	Dec_14_2015	56.04	55.68	55.47	55.22	55.21	54.61	54.54(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-80	-39	-45	4	48%	0	0	1.25%	0	-1.8	41	0

16	Dec_11_2015	56.04	55.71	55.62	55.56	55.57	55.13	54.56(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-42	-50	-44	-35	2.96	48%	0	23.9	1.25%	0	-1.9	38	0
17	Dec_10_2015	56.04	55.76	55.77	55.82	55.93	55.82	54.88(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-8	-10	-6	-12	3.72	48%	-0.02	30.3	1.25%	0	-1.6	42	0
18	Dec_9_2015	56.05	55.8	55.86	55.78	55.89	56.01	56.25(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	20	11	-5	2.8	49%	0.04	20.4	1.21%	0	0.9	56	0
19	Dec_8_2015	56.03	55.74	55.81	55.6	55.89	56.04	55.88(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	60	6	-10	2.3	53%	0	-3.2	1.22%	0	0.3	57	0
20	Dec_7_2015	56.03	55.68	55.82	55.77	55.59	55.77	56.25(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	10	24	3	2.69	53%	0	-13	1.27%	0	1	50	0

21	Dec_4_2015	56.03	55.57	55.83	55.72	55.67	55.15	55.84(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-70	-15	-4	2.33	51%	0	-31.5	1.28%	0	0.4	55	0
22	Dec_3_2015	56.03	55.59	55.88	55.74	55.85	55.4	54.7(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-33	-50	-42	-5	3.46	48%	-0.02	-28.1	1.27%	0	-1.3	48	0
23	Dec_2_2015	56.04	55.69	55.97	55.92	56.08	56.2	55.33(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	20	-5	17	2.57	48%	0	-22.9	1.26%	0	-0.5	50	0
24	Dec_1_2015	56.04	55.69	55.95	56.02	56	56.3	56.73(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	40	23	34	3.52	48%	0.02	-24.3	1.22%	0	1.3	62	0
25	Nov_30_2015	56.03	55.76	55.89	55.87	55.8	55.96	56.01(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	20	7	34	4.41	46%		-34.8	1.25%	0	0.3	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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