Trading Signals: ADSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: ADSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Autodesk Inc)
ADSK latest price $56.8600 (-2.25%) ($56.0300 - $57.9450) on Tue. Mar. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.95% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $56.8600(-2.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADSK advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADSK advances 7.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADSK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(69%)    XLK(69%)    IVW(68%)    IWF(68%)    QQQ(68%)
Factors Impacting ADSK price   ADSK will decline at least -1.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-9%)    IPO(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.475% (StdDev 2.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.1(1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.81(5.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.29(13.06%)
To recent high   -11.1%
To recent low   33.3%
Market Cap   $12.464b

Autodesk, Inc. engages in the design of software and services. Its products include Autodesk 360 cloud services, AutoCAD civil 3D and LT, 3Ds Max, Maya, and Revit. The firm also offers development and manufacturing software, which provides manufacturers in automotive, transportation, industrial machinery, consumer products, and building product industries with comprehensive digital design, engineering, and production solutions; and digital media and entertainment, which consists of tools for digital sculpting, modeling, animation, effects, rendering, and compositing for design visualization, visual effects, and games production. The company was founded by John Walker in April 1982 and is headquartered in San Rafael, CA.

$. ADSK price fluctuates within 9.19% (three month std-dev: 2.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 3.68%(22%) Average negative next day return: -0.93%(78%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 5.04%(22%) Average negative next three day return: -3.31%(78%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 6.66%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.65%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2016	55.72	50.29	53.81	56.1	56.07	57.04	56.86(-2.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	120	24	159	2.42	44%	0.09	55.7	2.95%	0	1.4	85	INF
2	Mar_7_2016	55.67	49.62	53.1	55.59	55.32	56.43	58.17(3.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	81	130	48	181	2.63	43%	0.11	49.3	2.94%	0	1.9	92	INF
3	Mar_4_2016	55.61	48.98	52.28	54.3	54.41	55.11	56.25(2.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	74	100	40	175	2.79	41%	0.07	44.9	2.92%	0	1.8	91	INF
4	Mar_3_2016	55.57	48.6	51.61	53.29	53.32	54.21	54.79(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	69	120	32	181	1.45	41%	0.07	47.1	2.9%	0	1.7	92	INF
5	Mar_2_2016	55.53	48.29	50.91	52.21	52.45	53.71	54.41(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	82	180	48	182	1.42	41%	0.04	46.6	2.9%	0	1.8	88	INF

6	Mar_1_2016	55.51	47.84	50.13	51.17	51.29	52.43	54.31(4.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	78	160	45	177	2.82	41%	0.05	37.9	2.9%	0	2	89	INF
7	Feb_29_2016	55.48	47.47	49.19	50.24	50.23	51.19	51.74(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	61	130	27	163	3.01	37%	0.02	33.2	2.81%	0	1.5	81	INF
8	Feb_26_2016	55.47	47.2	48.51	49.97	49.81	50.15	51.19(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	40	21	153	11.19	37%	0.07	28.9	2.81%	0	1.5	64	INF
9	Feb_25_2016	55.43	46.89	47.74	49.71	49.64	49.28	49.42(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-50	3	117	8.67	35%	0.05	23	2.79%	0	1	48	INF
10	Feb_24_2016	55.4	46.74	47.19	49.38	49.47	49.48	49.18(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	10	3	86	6.58	35%	0.09	17.4	2.78%	0	1	47	INF

11	Feb_23_2016	55.35	46.67	46.55	48.87	49.05	50	49.69(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	150	34	72	1.97	37%	0.09	13.3	2.79%	0	1.3	59	INF
12	Feb_22_2016	55.3	46.56	45.91	47.91	48.1	49.46	50.35(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	50	210	54	38	2.24	37%	0.13	-0.8	2.83%	0	1.7	55	INF
13	Feb_19_2016	55.23	46.46	45.44	46.83	46.82	48.09	49.91(4.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	44	190	56	7	3.66	36%	0.13	-22	2.84%	0	1.6	56	INF
14	Feb_18_2016	55.16	46.33	45.3	45.5	45.67	46.74	47.75(2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	31	180	46	-14	2.85	33%	0.07	-47.4	2.79%	0	0.7	56	INF
15	Feb_17_2016	55.12	46.32	45.41	44.69	44.55	45.55	46.67(3.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	21	150	37	-27	1.92	33%	0.02	-72	2.77%	0	0.2	51	INF

16	Feb_16_2016	55.11	46.36	45.31	43.89	43.91	44.59	44.89(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	110	30	-63	2.6	29%	0.13	-97.6	2.71%	0	-0.7	42	INF
17	Feb_12_2016	55.04	46.58	45.57	43.6	43.37	43.54	44.92(3.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-21	10	1	-85	1.88	29%	-0.04	-110.2	2.7%	0	-0.8	44	INF
18	Feb_11_2016	55.06	46.95	45.76	43.85	43.39	43.24	43.26(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-60	-33	-104	2.51	25%	-0.07	-99.8	2.65%	0	-1.5	37	INF
19	Feb_10_2016	55.1	47.33	46	45.1	44.55	43.2	43.72(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-250	-42	-87	2.7	25%	-0.05	-103.7	2.65%	0	-1.5	42	INF
20	Feb_9_2016	55.13	47.87	46.3	46.27	46.05	43.53	42.64(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-76	-400	-75	-78	3.24	25%	-0.09	-89.8	2.62%	0	-1.9	39	INF

21	Feb_8_2016	55.18	48.49	46.9	46.92	47.71	45.91	43.45(-5.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-67	-210	-71	-56	3.01	25%	-0.05	-88	2.62%	0	-1.7	42	INF
22	Feb_5_2016	55.21	49.07	47.39	47.76	48.27	48.57	46.17(-6.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	80	-19	-19	3.49	37%	-0.02	-87.8	2.53%	0	-1	42	INF
23	Feb_4_2016	55.22	49.54	47.67	47.89	48.15	49.52	49.51(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	38	220	51	-3	2.4	40%	0.05	-88.6	2.72%	0	-0	41	INF
24	Feb_3_2016	55.19	49.99	47.48	47.04	47.3	47.98	49.56(8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	21	120	41	-41	6.83	40%	0.05	-82.7	2.72%	0	-0.1	46	INF
25	Feb_2_2016	55.16	50.48	47.29	46.42	46.48	46.79	45.89(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	50	-8	-112	1.81	36%		-77.1	2.52%	0	-1	29	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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