Trading Signals: ADSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: ADSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Tue. Oct. 10, 2023)

(Autodesk Inc)
ADSK latest price $49.8900 (-1.25%) ($49.2800 - $50.2400) on Thu. Oct. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $49.8900(-1.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADSK declines -2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADSK declines -4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADSK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(67%)    XLK(67%)    SPY(64%)    VT(64%)    XLY(62%)
Factors Impacting ADSK price   ADSK will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $44.3(-11.2%)
Resistance Level   $54.71
5 Day Moving Average   $51.24(-2.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.03(-7.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.71(-8.81%)
To recent high   -14.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $10.936b

Autodesk, Inc. engages in the design of software and services. Its products include Autodesk 360 cloud services, AutoCAD civil 3D and LT, 3Ds Max, Maya, and Revit. The firm also offers development and manufacturing software, which provides manufacturers in automotive, transportation, industrial machinery, consumer products, and building product industries with comprehensive digital design, engineering, and production solutions; and digital media and entertainment, which consists of tools for digital sculpting, modeling, animation, effects, rendering, and compositing for design visualization, visual effects, and games production. The company was founded by John Walker in April 1982 and is headquartered in San Rafael, CA.

$. ADSK price fluctuates within 4.33% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.51%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.18%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 2.67%(70%) Average negative next three day return: -3.87%(30%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 5%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.76%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_16_2014	54.76	54.71	54.03	51.24	50.82	49.67	49.89(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-100	-180	-73	-180	2.94	36%	-0.04	-39.7	1.7%	0	-2	37	0
2	Oct_15_2014	54.78	55.02	54.83	52.48	52.12	50.42	50.52(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-112	-250	-105	-134	4.82	36%	-0.04	-25.9	1.7%	0	-2.1	38	0
3	Oct_14_2014	54.8	55.27	55.39	53.79	53.86	51.97	50.13(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-102	-240	-106	-90	5.95	36%	-0.07	-6.6	1.7%	0	-2.8	33	0
4	Oct_13_2014	54.84	55.53	55.96	55.08	55.21	53.82	51.94(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-91	-170	-106	-44	3.84	38%	0	19.4	1.65%	0	-2.4	42	0
5	Oct_10_2014	54.84	55.65	56.33	56.33	56.34	55.75	53.72(-4.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-41	-70	-62	21	5.37	42%	0.04	46.1	1.6%	0	-1.4	48	0

6	Oct_9_2014	54.82	55.66	56.44	57.21	57.2	56.6	56.07(-1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-70	-25	67	3.99	46%	0.09	64.6	1.52%	0	0.3	53	0
7	Oct_8_2014	54.77	55.57	56.3	57.54	57.57	56.92	57.08(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-80	-26	74	2.85	49%	0.11	68.4	1.5%	0	1.1	57	0
8	Oct_7_2014	54.71	55.39	56.15	57.26	57.77	57.79	56.59(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	26	30	7	83	3.29	49%	0.09	60.2	1.5%	0	0.9	60	0
9	Oct_6_2014	54.66	55.24	55.99	56.96	57.09	58.21	58.18(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	59	140	48	91	2.69	53%	0.13	56.5	1.47%	0	2.2	70	0
10	Oct_3_2014	54.59	55.04	55.64	56.33	56.24	57.75	58.12(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	96	180	97	94	3.59	53%	0.18	52.8	1.48%	0	2.6	74	0

11	Oct_2_2014	54.49	54.83	55.36	55.56	55.31	55.98	57.74(3.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	73	70	74	68	10.21	53%	0.18	44.1	1.48%	0	3	74	0
12	Oct_1_2014	54.39	54.64	55.13	55.56	54.52	54.74	55.66(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	10	1	24	9.83	47%	0.15	37.5	1.41%	0	1.5	61	0
13	Sep_30_2014	54.31	54.57	55.05	54.9	54.64	54.64	55.1(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10	11	39	2.38	47%	0.11	38.3	1.41%	0	0.8	63	0
14	Sep_29_2014	54.25	54.49	55.01	54.87	54.7	54.31	55.04(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-60	-14	37	1.78	47%	0.17	36.9	1.41%	0	0.8	60	0
15	Sep_26_2014	54.16	54.42	54.89	54.84	54.83	54.65	54.28(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-13	-20	-26	27	3.52	47%	0.13	36.9	1.4%	0	-0.2	50	0

16	Sep_25_2014	54.09	54.41	54.84	55.11	54.99	55.09	54.43(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	6	10	-7	43	3.39	47%	0.15	48.5	1.41%	0	0	53	0
17	Sep_24_2014	54.01	54.38	54.82	55.37	55.13	55.02	55.66(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-30	7	62	3.61	51%	0.17	59.7	1.38%	0	1.8	61	0
18	Sep_23_2014	53.92	54.3	54.6	55.21	55.2	54.9	54.95(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-40	-10	43	2.23	51%	0.15	63.1	1.37%	0	1	55	0
19	Sep_22_2014	53.84	54.23	54.47	55.17	55.13	55.24	54.88(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	10	1	48	4.38	51%	0.13	60.7	1.37%	0	1	62	0
20	Sep_19_2014	53.77	54.16	54.41	54.94	54.94	55.5	55.61(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	45	70	40	59	4.68	51%	0.13	57.4	1.37%	0	2.2	65	0

21	Sep_18_2014	53.7	54.06	54.26	54.53	54.4	55.03	55.73(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	42	70	42	43	2.96	58%	0.15	26.7	1.37%	0	2.9	62	0
22	Sep_17_2014	53.62	53.94	54.09	54.21	53.95	54.38	54.89(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	33	40	34	28	3.41	56%	0.15	-8.8	1.46%	0	2.2	59	0
23	Sep_16_2014	53.54	53.88	54.02	53.9	53.69	53.77	54.75(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	15	-0	17	9	3.44	56%	0.15	-43.5	1.46%	0	2.4	53	0
24	Sep_15_2014	53.46	53.83	53.89	53.68	53.53	53.52	53.73(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10	-9	-11	4.06	52%	0.13	-79.3	1.44%	0	-0.3	53	0
25	Sep_12_2014	53.39	53.78	53.88	53.81	53.67	53.6	53.54(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5	-20	-6	-3	3.25	52%		-67.6	1.44%	0	-0.6	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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