Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $93.9593 (0.78%) ($93.4637 - $93.9784) on Mon. Feb. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $93.9593(0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    IVE(71%)    IWD(71%)    SPLV(71%)    VYM(71%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-17%)    TLT(-17%)    DIA(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $95.11
5 Day Moving Average   $92.82(1.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $92.72(1.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95.11(-1.21%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $40.393b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 2.9% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.74%(71%) Average negative next day return: -5.11%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.5%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -5.28%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.28%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.22%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_13_2017	90.58	95.11	92.72	92.82	92.88	93.48	93.96(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	50	49	-117	1.5	62%	0.11	-49.3	1.02%	0	-0.4	31	0
2	Feb_10_2017	90.48	95.35	92.99	92.42	92.42	92.93	93.24(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	40	44	-136	1.21	62%	0.1	-51.2	1.02%	0	-0.7	33	0
3	Feb_9_2017	90.39	95.63	93.32	92.24	92.12	92.29	93.07(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	10	25	-161	3.38	62%	0.1	-51.5	1.02%	0	-0.9	30	0
4	Feb_8_2017	90.3	95.9	93.7	91.98	92.08	91.91	92.05(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-41	-10	7	-186	1.3	60%	0.11	-55.3	1.01%	0	-1.3	27	0
5	Feb_7_2017	90.2	96.18	94.27	91.73	91.95	91.96	91.78(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-74	10	-28	-210	1.52	63%	0.11	-63.2	1.02%	0	-1.6	26	0

6	Feb_6_2017	90.1	96.49	94.92	92.62	91.78	92.25	91.95(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-77	10	-41	-186	1.77	63%	0.11	-60.1	1.03%	0	-1.8	26	0
7	Feb_3_2017	90	96.83	95.48	93.67	92.94	91.95	92.33(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-100	-20	-154	2.94	63%	0.1	-54.4	1.03%	0	-1.9	25	0
8	Feb_2_2017	89.91	97.14	96.1	94.6	94.04	91.32	91.81(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-188	-220	-186	-194	3.98	68%	0.11	-49.3	1.04%	0	-2.6	22	0
9	Feb_1_2017	89.81	97.52	96.77	95.69	95.39	93.93	90.79(-5.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.9	-185	-120	-194	-159	8.01	67%	0.1	-42.5	1.12%	0	-4	20	0
10	Jan_31_2017	89.72	97.94	97.56	97.11	96.96	96.76	96.26(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-38	-20	-30	-61	2.61	85%	0.15	-45.7	0.83%	0	-2.4	45	0

11	Jan_30_2017	89.59	98.04	97.77	97.54	97.35	96.85	97.19(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-40	-30	-41	1.65	89%	0.18	-33.9	0.82%	0	-1.5	48	0
12	Jan_27_2017	89.43	98.11	97.94	97.58	97.62	97.17	96.94(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-54	-30	-56	-46	1.8	89%	0.15	-25	0.82%	0	-2.1	42	0
13	Jan_26_2017	89.3	98.18	98.14	97.87	97.83	97.85	97.26(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-24	0	-26	-17	2.12	89%	0.13	-6.1	0.82%	0	-1.9	44	0
14	Jan_25_2017	89.18	98.25	98.26	98.05	98.05	98.07	97.89(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	0	16	4	1.98	89%	0.16	27.3	0.82%	0	-0.8	43	0
15	Jan_24_2017	89.04	98.26	98.23	98.09	98.02	97.81	98.4(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-16	-20	-16	-15	1.69	90%	0.1	50	0.81%	0	0.3	47	0

16	Jan_23_2017	88.95	98.23	98.16	98.06	98.12	98.02	97.41(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-26	-10	-27	-23	1.49	89%	0.15	84.4	0.81%	0	-1.9	47	0
17	Jan_20_2017	88.82	98.25	98.25	98.36	98.29	98.23	98.4(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	-10	-6	-5	1.65	94%	0.16	170	0.8%	0	0.4	48	0
18	Jan_19_2017	88.68	98.21	98.23	98.46	98.41	98.21	98.14(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-20	-12	-3	1.53	94%	0.16	217.1	0.81%	0	-0.2	50	0
19	Jan_18_2017	88.54	98.13	98.29	98.51	98.48	98.34	98.09(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-7	-10	-10	2	1.49	94%	0.16	238.6	0.81%	0	-0.1	47	0
20	Jan_17_2017	88.4	98.04	98.35	98.37	98.4	98.6	98.24(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	20	9	8	1.28	94%	0.2	242.6	0.81%	0	0.4	52	0

21	Jan_13_2017	88.22	97.86	98.32	98.26	98.21	98.62	98.91(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	30	38	16	1.63	94%	0.17	149.4	0.8%	0	1.4	60	0
22	Jan_12_2017	88.07	97.59	98.28	98.13	97.99	98.2	98.93(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	10	31	14	1.55	94%	0.17	99.1	0.8%	0	1.2	61	0
23	Jan_11_2017	87.92	97.34	98.2	97.99	97.93	97.8	98.36(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10	-3	-1	1.78	86%	0.16	81.7	0.8%	0	0.7	59	0
24	Jan_10_2017	87.78	97.11	98.21	98.07	98.01	97.77	97.41(-0.26%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-24	-20	-33	5	1.64	85%	0.15	81.5	0.84%	0	0.2	63	0
25	Jan_9_2017	87.65	96.93	98.29	98.32	98.3	98.05	97.67(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-20	-15	35	1.38	85%		86	0.84%	0	0.4	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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