Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $84.2111 (1.24%) ($83.1018 - $84.2963) on Wed. Sep. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $84.2111(1.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    SPLV(71%)    IVE(70%)    IWD(70%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-16%)    IBUY(-11%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.9(1.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.9(1.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.78(0.51%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $36.202b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 1.38% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.73%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.17%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.32%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.28%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.55%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2016	84.18	83.78	82.9	82.9	82.79	83.3	84.21(1.24%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	24	40	46	-41	1.8	47%	0.01	-37	1.18%	0	0.4	48	0
2	Sep_20_2016	84.17	83.8	82.97	82.48	82.47	82.6	83.18(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	10	22	-63	1.74	48%	-0.01	-44.7	1.17%	0	-0.5	44	0
3	Sep_19_2016	84.18	83.87	83.09	82.27	82.31	82.29	82.01(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-0	-9	-83	1.69	45%	0	-51.8	1.17%	0	-1.6	39	0
4	Sep_16_2016	84.18	84.01	83.4	82.57	82.35	82.29	82.19(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10	-2	-68	2.63	45%	-0.02	-49.6	1.17%	0	-1.7	39	0
5	Sep_15_2016	84.2	84.14	83.71	82.54	82.46	82.34	82.88(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-27	-10	-13	-70	1.45	45%	-0.01	-57.9	1.17%	0	-1.2	42	0

6	Sep_14_2016	84.21	84.21	83.89	82.91	82.62	82.36	82.14(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-48	-30	-40	-70	1.17	45%	-0.02	-53.4	1.16%	0	-2.1	38	0
7	Sep_13_2016	84.23	84.33	84.15	83.53	83.29	82.59	82.14(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-41	-70	-38	-50	1.94	45%	-0.02	-43.6	1.17%	0	-2.6	36	0
8	Sep_12_2016	84.25	84.49	84.39	84.03	83.89	82.89	83.51(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-62	-90	-67	-47	1.89	48%	0	-28	1.15%	0	-1.4	43	0
9	Sep_9_2016	84.25	84.56	84.51	84.36	84.36	84	82.02(-3.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.5	-61	-30	-69	-37	2.01	44%	-0.02	-14.1	1.13%	0	-3.8	31	0
10	Sep_8_2016	84.27	84.56	84.79	85.03	84.92	84.9	84.77(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	11	-10	9	18	1.24	53%	0	56.8	1.05%	0	0.1	53	0

11	Sep_7_2016	84.27	84.73	84.77	84.99	84.94	84.72	85.23(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-1	-20	-5	13	1.23	51%	0.01	81.1	1.06%	0	1.6	67	0
12	Sep_6_2016	84.26	84.71	84.71	84.86	84.94	84.94	84.64(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	10	-9	9	1.73	51%	-0.01	105.9	1.06%	0	-0.2	56	0
13	Sep_2_2016	84.27	84.69	84.72	84.81	84.85	85.15	85.14(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	30	26	19	1.74	49%	0.01	102.7	1.06%	0	1.5	48	0
14	Sep_1_2016	84.26	84.65	84.66	84.7	84.67	84.75	85.36(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	15	10	16	10	1.78	49%	0.01	79.2	1.06%	0	1.7	54	0
15	Aug_31_2016	84.25	84.55	84.58	84.53	84.59	84.54	84.59(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-0	-1	-7	1.3	49%	0	29.3	1.05%	0	0.1	39	0

16	Aug_30_2016	84.25	84.48	84.54	84.51	84.58	84.58	84.57(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	0	-4	-13	1.32	49%	0.01	-23.9	1.05%	0	0.1	46	0
17	Aug_29_2016	84.24	84.41	84.52	84.55	84.57	84.64	84.38(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	10	-0	-12	1.11	49%	0	-75.3	1.06%	0	-0	45	0
18	Aug_26_2016	84.24	84.37	84.58	84.61	84.62	84.59	84.57(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	3	-0	5	-3	1.37	49%	0	-113.2	1.06%	0	0.3	56	0
19	Aug_25_2016	84.24	84.33	84.61	84.62	84.59	84.5	84.55(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10	-7	-5	1.05	49%	0	-130.8	1.06%	0	0.3	52	0
20	Aug_24_2016	84.24	84.41	84.67	84.63	84.58	84.65	84.47(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	0	0	10	1.12	54%	0	-86.5	1.06%	0	0	65	0

21	Aug_23_2016	84.24	84.63	84.67	84.56	84.56	84.69	84.75(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	10	14	23	1.18	54%	0.01	-67	1.1%	0	0.1	70	0
22	Aug_22_2016	84.23	84.87	84.7	84.48	84.56	84.5	84.68(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	0	1	26	1.11	54%	0	-58.8	1.1%	0	-0.1	71	0
23	Aug_19_2016	84.23	85.1	84.66	84.57	84.43	84.43	84.63(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	-0	-3	32	1.44	54%	0.01	-51.5	1.11%	0	-0.2	61	0
24	Aug_18_2016	84.22	85.34	84.65	84.62	84.62	84.35	84.61(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-20	-9	36	1.03	54%	0.01	-47.5	1.11%	0	-0.3	58	0
25	Aug_17_2016	84.21	85.56	84.53	84.73	84.73	84.44	84.14(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-17	-20	-28	15	1.77	51%		-45	1.11%	0	-0.6	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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