Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $83.8651 (1.63%) ($83.4130 - $84.2607) on Mon. Jun. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $83.8651(1.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    SPLV(71%)    IVE(70%)    IWD(70%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-16%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.84(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.47(1.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.2(2.03%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $36.054b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 0.89% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.68%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.07%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.59%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.45%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2016	81.46	82.2	82.47	82.84	82.84	83.18	83.87(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	61	30	63	56	2.06	51%	0.09	89.9	0.83%	0	2.3	61	INF
2	Jun_17_2016	81.39	82.01	82.28	82.49	82.44	82.55	82.52(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	10	10	16	2.71	46%	0.1	71.3	0.8%	0	0.7	50	INF
3	Jun_16_2016	81.31	81.88	82.2	82.39	82.33	82.5	82.91(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	10	18	12	1.47	46%	0.1	51.4	0.82%	0	1.1	57	INF
4	Jun_15_2016	81.23	81.74	82.14	82.32	82.16	82.34	82.52(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	10	17	12	2.08	46%	0.09	43.5	0.82%	0	0.8	56	INF
5	Jun_14_2016	81.16	81.62	82.13	82.24	82.09	82.15	82.41(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-0	21	15	2.35	46%	0.1	26	0.82%	0	0.8	56	INF

6	Jun_13_2016	81.08	81.55	82.11	82.24	81.99	81.97	82.09(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-0	0	16	3.19	46%	0.09	18.2	0.81%	0	0.5	70	INF
7	Jun_10_2016	81.01	81.47	82.14	82.03	81.9	82.02	82.03(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	10	0	33	1.64	53%	0.1	13.7	0.87%	0	0.6	67	INF
8	Jun_9_2016	80.93	81.41	82.15	81.97	81.95	82.01	82.54(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	0	18	57	1.52	53%	0.12	13	0.87%	0	1.1	73	INF
9	Jun_8_2016	80.83	81.34	82.09	81.96	81.84	81.77	82.15(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-10	-14	59	1.8	53%	0.11	5	0.87%	0	0.8	66	INF
10	Jun_7_2016	80.74	81.36	82.06	82.02	81.97	81.77	81.32(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10	-9	81	2.48	50%	0.01	5.6	0.87%	0	-0	64	INF

11	Jun_6_2016	80.73	81.37	81.94	82.21	82.09	81.9	82.09(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-20	-13	80	1.39	53%	0.12	1.6	0.86%	0	0.7	56	INF
12	Jun_3_2016	80.63	81.33	81.75	82.27	82.17	82.04	81.75(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10	-20	81	1.4	53%	0.1	-3.3	0.86%	0	0.4	61	INF
13	Jun_2_2016	80.55	81.33	81.56	82.34	82.29	82.28	82.46(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-0	6	87	1.09	56%	0.14	-13.1	0.85%	0	1.2	59	INF
14	Jun_1_2016	80.44	81.29	81.33	82.23	82.19	82.29	82.49(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	10	4	73	1.69	62%	0.11	-22.6	0.87%	0	1.2	58	INF
15	May_31_2016	80.35	81.3	81.07	82.11	82.15	82.3	82.23(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	10	36	59	2.04	56%	0.21	-29.2	0.87%	0	0.9	44	INF

16	May_27_2016	80.18	81.3	80.95	81.63	81.85	82.09	82.42(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	30	36	32	1.08	62%	0.11	-38.6	0.93%	0	0.9	53	INF
17	May_26_2016	80.09	81.36	80.72	81.14	81.28	82	82.1(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	70	48	8	1.04	62%	0.09	-52	0.94%	0	0.6	53	INF
18	May_25_2016	80.02	81.42	80.6	80.66	80.82	81.61	81.93(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	65	70	86	2	1.41	62%	0.06	-57.7	0.94%	0	0.4	54	INF
19	May_24_2016	79.97	81.52	80.49	80.31	80.17	80.56	81.87(2.59%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	26	30	48	-41	2.16	62%	0.08	-61.1	0.94%	0	0.2	45	INF
20	May_23_2016	79.91	81.61	80.55	79.91	79.88	80.03	79.81(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-19	10	3	-84	1.08	50%	0	-68.3	0.89%	0	-1.2	33	INF

21	May_20_2016	79.91	81.82	80.73	80.18	79.99	79.78	80.01(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-30	-5	-89	1.38	50%	0.01	-67.9	0.92%	0	-1.2	32	INF
22	May_19_2016	79.9	82.01	80.86	80.24	80.19	79.73	79.7(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-61	-40	-43	-114	1.49	50%	0	-70.5	0.92%	0	-1.5	37	INF
23	May_18_2016	79.9	82.21	81	80.5	80.5	80.21	80.13(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	-30	-39	-119	1.27	50%	-0.01	-70.4	0.93%	0	-1.4	36	INF
24	May_17_2016	79.91	82.43	81.26	80.7	80.82	80.65	79.9(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-57	-10	-35	-122	1.51	55%	0	-68	0.93%	0	-1.7	31	INF
25	May_16_2016	79.91	82.68	81.58	81.29	81.19	80.79	81.16(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-40	-24	-101	1.73	64%		-57.9	0.93%	0	-1.1	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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