Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $77.6131 (-0.26%) ($77.2272 - $78.2894) on Wed. Aug. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $77.6131(-0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    IVE(71%)    VYM(71%)    VT(69%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-11%)    IYT(-9%)    IGOV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $77.05(0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.84(2.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.97(3.53%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $33.366b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 1.91% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 1.15%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.51%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 0.94%(81%) Average negative next three day return: -0.98%(19%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 1.89%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.76%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2015	76.88	74.97	75.84	77.05	77.04	77.68	77.61(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	74	60	49	148	1.87	43%	-0.01	34.6	1.01%	0	1.8	73	INF
2	Aug_18_2015	76.89	74.82	75.58	76.52	76.47	77.31	77.82(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	99	70	86	138	2.62	43%	-0.01	24.1	1.01%	0	2.3	58	INF
3	Aug_17_2015	76.9	74.66	75.19	75.9	75.66	76.39	77.82(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	79	60	69	107	3.37	43%	0.01	11.3	1.01%	0	2.8	64	INF
4	Aug_14_2015	76.89	74.52	74.76	75.33	75.11	75.64	76.25(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	65	40	59	84	2.02	43%	-0.01	-1.7	0.97%	0	1.9	63	INF
5	Aug_13_2015	76.9	74.47	74.45	74.83	74.84	74.93	75.76(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	10	41	53	2	43%	-0.03	-13.2	1%	0	1.4	61	INF

6	Aug_12_2015	76.92	74.48	74.23	74.44	74.84	74.58	74.93(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-5	20	-10	10	1.87	41%	-0.05	-15.7	0.99%	0	0.5	52	INF
7	Aug_11_2015	76.96	74.51	74.28	74.49	74.4	74.75	74.73(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	30	28	32	1.94	41%	-0.06	-2.5	0.99%	0	0.2	48	INF
8	Aug_10_2015	77.01	74.51	74.21	74.37	74.48	74.22	74.98(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-20	21	19	2.03	41%	-0.08	-2.5	0.99%	0	0.5	50	INF
9	Aug_7_2015	77.07	74.53	74.04	74.1	74.32	74.04	73.77(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-20	-27	-29	1.16	42%	-0.08	-7.4	0.98%	0	-0.8	42	INF
10	Aug_6_2015	77.13	74.59	74	74	74.13	74.74	73.78(-1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	60	16	-34	1.51	42%	-0.08	-7.4	0.99%	0	-0.9	41	INF

11	Aug_5_2015	77.19	74.62	74.06	73.97	73.89	74.59	75.2(1.44%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	40	60	64	-31	1.96	43%	-0.05	-9	0.97%	0	0.6	43	INF
12	Aug_4_2015	77.23	74.54	74.02	74.06	73.53	73.52	74.13(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-20	13	-55	2.75	40%	-0.08	-7.4	0.96%	0	-0.5	40	INF
13	Aug_3_2015	77.29	74.56	74.08	74.04	73.7	73.18	73.61(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-60	-22	-75	2.29	40%	-0.06	-7.4	0.95%	0	-1.1	42	INF
14	Jul_31_2015	77.34	74.6	74.26	74.04	73.87	73.54	73.29(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-45	-40	-33	-81	2.98	43%	-0.06	-20.7	0.96%	0	-1.5	41	INF
15	Jul_30_2015	77.39	74.66	74.5	73.97	73.8	73.54	73.63(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	30	-6	-63	4.69	43%	-0.05	-34.2	0.99%	0	-1.2	44	INF

16	Jul_29_2015	77.43	74.7	74.75	74.12	73.86	74.21	75.66(2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	31	20	49	-23	2.74	48%	-0.03	-44.5	0.94%	0	1.2	60	INF
17	Jul_28_2015	77.45	74.6	74.74	74	73.8	73.39	74.04(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-50	-24	-43	1.54	45%	-0.06	-71.6	0.89%	0	-0.7	56	INF
18	Jul_27_2015	77.5	74.62	74.87	74.16	74.17	73.51	73.25(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-64	-60	-69	-48	1.65	43%	-0.06	-88.1	0.89%	0	-1.7	44	INF
19	Jul_24_2015	77.55	74.78	75.07	74.61	74.66	74.21	73.3(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-52	-40	-63	-17	1.94	43%	-0.08	-75.4	0.89%	0	-1.7	46	INF
20	Jul_23_2015	77.61	74.95	75.26	75.09	75.07	74.83	74.37(-0.92%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-23	-20	-38	24	1.37	46%	-0.05	-66.1	0.88%	0	-0.7	53	INF

21	Jul_22_2015	77.65	75.06	75.25	75.45	75.42	75.1	75.06(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-30	-25	47	1.53	47%	-0.08	-49.6	0.88%	0	0	58	INF
22	Jul_21_2015	77.71	75.19	75.12	75.6	75.66	75.31	74.8(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-30	-29	52	1.96	47%	-0.09	-32.7	0.88%	0	-0.3	61	INF
23	Jul_20_2015	77.78	75.34	75.1	75.68	75.75	75.73	75.5(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	0	-10	68	1.52	52%	-0.06	-20.5	0.87%	0	0.1	60	INF
24	Jul_17_2015	77.83	75.43	74.98	75.6	75.65	76.01	75.7(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	40	25	59	1.85	48%	-0.06	-19.2	0.9%	0	0.2	42	INF
25	Jul_16_2015	77.88	75.52	74.83	75.44	75.47	75.76	76.17(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	30	45	40	1.55	48%		-21.8	0.93%	0	0.4	44	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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