Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $74.9026 (1.03%) ($74.4983 - $75.2225) on Fri. Jul. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $74.9026(1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    IVE(71%)    VYM(71%)    VT(69%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-8%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $70.66(-5.66%)
Resistance Level   $75.7
5 Day Moving Average   $74.27(0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.44(0.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.7(-1.05%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   1.9%
Market Cap   $32.201b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 1.98% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.7%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.44%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.89%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.88%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.79%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2015	78.1	75.7	74.44	74.27	74.36	74.68	74.9(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	30	42	-110	1.37	48%	-0.06	-44.9	0.93%	0	-0.5	32	INF
2	Jul_9_2015	78.15	75.84	74.58	74.14	74.1	74.13	74.14(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-33	0	4	-143	1.59	46%	-0.06	-43.6	0.92%	0	-1.1	26	INF
3	Jul_8_2015	78.2	76	74.83	74.18	74.09	74.04	73.53(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-10	-2	-146	1.62	46%	-0.08	-46	0.91%	0	-1.6	34	INF
4	Jul_7_2015	78.26	76.14	75.25	74.21	74.09	74.07	74.49(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-10	-2	-137	1.75	49%	-0.05	-56.5	0.9%	0	-1.2	37	INF
5	Jul_6_2015	78.3	76.24	75.6	74.18	74.06	74.13	74.27(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-49	0	-20	-134	1.5	49%	-0.1	-65	0.9%	0	-1.5	39	INF

6	Jul_2_2015	78.38	76.38	75.92	74.64	74.38	74.05	74.27(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-40	-30	-114	1.79	49%	-0.05	-64.6	0.91%	0	-1.7	34	INF
7	Jul_1_2015	78.42	76.52	76.27	75.1	74.97	73.99	74.32(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-88	-100	-79	-113	1.82	49%	-0.06	-64.7	0.91%	0	-1.8	31	INF
8	Jun_30_2015	78.47	76.71	76.52	75.61	75.72	74.71	73.72(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-118	-90	-119	-114	2.69	51%	-0.05	-59.3	0.9%	0	-2.7	31	INF
9	Jun_29_2015	78.51	76.93	76.83	76.44	76.5	75.95	74.34(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-80	-50	-88	-57	1.77	51%	-0.05	-48.7	0.92%	0	-2.9	45	INF
10	Jun_26_2015	78.55	77.12	77.05	77.19	77.22	76.74	76.55(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-40	-35	-1	2.89	58%	-0.04	-41.8	0.85%	0	-0.8	54	INF

11	Jun_25_2015	78.58	77.2	77.11	77.39	77.55	77.04	76.58(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-39	-40	-53	4	1.2	52%	-0.03	-41.7	0.85%	0	-0.8	49	INF
12	Jun_24_2015	78.6	77.29	77.22	77.62	77.74	77.7	76.84(-1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	0	-17	36	1.55	52%	-0.01	-40	0.9%	0	-0.6	51	INF
13	Jun_23_2015	78.61	77.29	77.28	77.56	77.72	78.05	77.89(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	40	36	49	0.96	55%	0.04	-54	0.89%	0	0.7	47	INF
14	Jun_22_2015	78.58	77.37	77.09	77.28	77.35	77.77	78.1(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	40	47	25	1.4	55%	0.04	-74.3	0.89%	0	0.9	48	INF
15	Jun_19_2015	78.55	77.42	76.9	76.9	76.91	77.39	77.56(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	27	40	39	-10	2.91	55%	0.01	-83.9	0.89%	0	0.2	47	INF

16	Jun_18_2015	78.54	77.51	76.83	76.9	76.6	76.93	77.71(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	15	20	29	-29	1.56	55%	0.01	-79.8	0.89%	0	0.2	46	INF
17	Jun_17_2015	78.53	77.61	76.73	76.8	76.58	76.43	76.52(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-19	-20	-6	-58	1.13	52%	-0.03	-68.1	0.87%	0	-1	35	INF
18	Jun_16_2015	78.55	77.79	76.88	76.97	76.86	76.27	76.52(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-60	-29	-63	1.5	55%	-0.03	-55.1	0.88%	0	-1	35	INF
19	Jun_15_2015	78.57	77.96	77.02	76.86	77.01	76.74	76.19(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-20	-38	-72	1.68	55%	-0.03	-55.6	0.9%	0	-1.4	38	INF
20	Jun_12_2015	78.59	78.15	77.2	76.87	76.95	77.45	77.04(-0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	50	15	-62	1.14	61%	-0.03	-54	0.89%	0	-0.9	34	INF

21	Jun_11_2015	78.61	78.32	77.3	76.86	76.79	77.28	77.75(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	30	40	59	-57	1.44	63%	0.01	-47.9	0.91%	0	-0.4	34	INF
22	Jun_10_2015	78.6	78.37	77.36	76.67	76.56	76.45	77.34(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-26	-10	0	-102	1.63	58%	0	-49.4	0.91%	0	-0.8	30	INF
23	Jun_9_2015	78.6	78.47	77.46	76.81	76.66	76.31	75.96(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-69	-40	-49	-130	1.57	55%	-0.04	-44	0.91%	0	-1.9	14	INF
24	Jun_8_2015	78.63	78.66	77.68	77.23	77.18	76.67	76.27(-0.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-57	-50	-36	-120	1.53	55%	0	-36.7	0.92%	0	-2	21	INF
25	Jun_5_2015	78.63	78.85	77.99	77.56	77.46	77	76.96(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-72	-50	-55	-121	1.35	55%		-28.6	0.92%	0	-1.8	22	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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