Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $76.2972 (-2.17%) ($76.0871 - $77.6491) on Fri. Apr. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $76.2972(-2.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    IVE(71%)    VYM(71%)    VT(69%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-8%)    GDXJ(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $78.37
5 Day Moving Average   $77.86(-2.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.32(-2.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78.37(-2.64%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $32.8b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 1.15% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.58%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.05%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -0.8%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.96%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.12%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150517

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_17_2015	77.98	78.37	78.32	77.86	77.89	77.46	76.3(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-55	-40	-61	-36	1.97	50%	-0.03	-42.6	1.08%	0	-2.3	46	0
2	Apr_16_2015	78	78.55	78.32	78.37	78.35	78.24	77.99(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-10	-17	11	1.46	55%	0.01	-25.2	1.06%	0	-0.7	61	0
3	Apr_15_2015	77.99	78.63	78.32	78.6	78.59	78.33	78.33(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-20	-13	25	1.48	55%	0.03	-5.6	1.06%	0	-0.4	60	0
4	Apr_14_2015	77.97	78.67	78.56	78.75	78.71	78.46	78.21(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-12	-20	-22	20	1.37	55%	0.03	8.3	1.06%	0	-0.5	41	0
5	Apr_13_2015	77.95	78.67	78.59	78.79	78.71	78.84	78.48(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-0	0	-7	20	1.33	55%	0.04	14.5	1.06%	0	-0.3	40	0

6	Apr_10_2015	77.92	78.67	78.49	78.85	78.81	78.95	78.86(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	10	13	13	1.86	55%	0.04	19.1	1.05%	0	0.1	39	0
7	Apr_9_2015	77.89	78.75	78.32	78.77	78.69	78.78	79.1(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	0	14	-8	1.16	55%	0.04	17.3	1.06%	0	0.4	44	0
8	Apr_8_2015	77.86	78.68	78.15	78.53	78.6	78.67	79.07(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	10	13	-34	1.33	58%	0.04	4.4	1.06%	0	0.4	44	0
9	Apr_7_2015	77.83	78.6	78.16	78.53	78.4	78.61	78.42(-0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	20	7	-40	1.04	58%	0.03	-16.7	1.1%	0	-0.2	45	0
10	Apr_6_2015	77.81	78.62	78.27	78.36	78.29	78.53	78.78(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	10	20	25	-34	1.45	58%	0.04	-30.8	1.1%	0	0.2	42	0

11	Apr_2_2015	77.78	78.59	78.39	78.07	78.17	78.2	78.48(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	10	22	-37	1.7	58%	0.01	-52.5	1.1%	0	-0.1	51	0
12	Apr_1_2015	77.77	78.61	78.5	77.79	77.84	78.05	77.88(-0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	20	3	-51	1.5	58%	0.03	-70.3	1.09%	0	-0.8	45	0
13	Mar_31_2015	77.75	78.65	78.69	77.7	77.63	78.15	78.22(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	40	16	-37	1.68	58%	0.01	-78.7	1.1%	0	-0.4	55	0
14	Mar_30_2015	77.74	78.76	78.78	77.94	77.7	77.64	78.45(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-10	7	-20	1.14	58%	0.03	-62.5	1.11%	0	-0.3	58	0
15	Mar_27_2015	77.72	78.91	78.91	78.2	78.09	77.12	77.3(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-56	-90	-63	-33	1.42	56%	0.01	-51.9	1.09%	0	-1.3	44	0

16	Mar_26_2015	77.71	79.08	79.05	78.77	78.81	77.77	77.1(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-74	-90	-92	-21	1.6	56%	0.01	-39.7	1.1%	0	-1.6	48	0
17	Mar_25_2015	77.7	79.27	79.26	79.31	79.59	79.06	77.4(-2.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-38	-40	-56	16	1.71	56%	0.04	-25.3	1.1%	0	-1.6	45	0
18	Mar_24_2015	77.67	79.44	79.32	79.79	79.93	79.84	79.43(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-0	-10	50	1.17	60%	0.06	-10.3	1.05%	0	-0	55	0
19	Mar_23_2015	77.62	79.52	79.13	79.73	79.85	80.12	79.75(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	30	10	35	1.59	60%	0.09	-4	1.05%	0	0.2	45	0
20	Mar_20_2015	77.55	79.57	79.03	79.74	79.67	80.02	80.17(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	30	35	27	4.12	60%	0.12	-2.6	1.05%	0	0.5	40	0

21	Mar_19_2015	77.46	79.58	78.82	79.39	79.47	79.59	79.8(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	19	10	27	-7	2.14	60%	0.13	-7.2	1.06%	0	0.2	45	0
22	Mar_18_2015	77.36	79.57	78.7	79.21	79.13	79.32	79.79(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	10	15	-32	1.93	60%	0.13	-8.6	1.07%	0	0.2	45	0
23	Mar_17_2015	77.26	79.57	78.58	78.78	78.91	79.36	79.14(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	17	40	40	-53	1.99	63%	0.14	-14.5	1.08%	0	-0.3	42	0
24	Mar_16_2015	77.15	79.56	78.69	78.42	78.49	78.94	79.79(1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	40	37	-71	1.66	63%	0.14	-19.2	1.1%	0	0.2	43	0
25	Mar_13_2015	77.04	79.6	78.86	78.23	78.09	78.46	78.44(-0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	30	20	-83	1.65	61%		-15.8	1.08%	0	-0.9	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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