Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: ADP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Automatic Data Processing Inc)
ADP latest price $77.8107 (1.18%) ($77.2204 - $78.0468) on Thu. Dec. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.09% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $77.8107(1.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADP declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    IVE(71%)    VYM(71%)    VT(70%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting ADP price   ADP will decline at least -1.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-7%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.045% (StdDev 2.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.02(2.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.49(1.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.71(1.43%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.7%
Market Cap   $33.451b

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. engages in the provision of business outsourcing solutions specializes in cloud-based human capital management. It operates through the following business segments: Employer Services; and Professional Employer Organization Services; and Other. The Employer Services segment provides clients ranging from single-employee small businesses to large enterprises with tens of thousands of employees around the world, offering a range of human resources outsourcing and technology-based human capital management solutions, including strategic, cloud-based platforms. The Professional Employer Organization Services segment offers small and mid-sized businesses a human resources outsourcing solution through a co-employment mode. The Other segment comprises of non-recurring gains and losses; miscellaneous processing services; the elimination of intercompany transactions; and interest expense. The company was founded by Henry Taub in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, NJ.

$. ADP price fluctuates within 1.13% (three month std-dev: 2.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_18_2014	73.53	76.71	76.49	76.02	76.09	76.89	77.81(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	25	80	38	-13	3.54	38%	0.07	-18.6	2.09%	0	1.3	52	INF
2	Dec_17_2014	73.48	76.62	76.46	75.83	75.55	75.71	76.91(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-2	0	7	-27	1.91	38%	0.04	-30	2.09%	0	0.3	52	INF
3	Dec_16_2014	73.45	76.6	76.51	75.73	75.86	75.29	75.3(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-50	-12	-33	1.99	34%	0.01	-35.2	2.07%	0	-1.6	44	INF
4	Dec_15_2014	73.44	76.68	76.73	76.06	76.2	75.4	75.18(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-35	-70	-36	-33	1.85	35%	0.01	-27.5	2.07%	0	-1.9	41	INF
5	Dec_12_2014	73.43	76.75	77	76.48	76.62	76.43	74.92(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-23	-10	-26	-15	2.42	35%	0.01	-12.1	2.07%	0	-2.6	46	INF

6	Dec_11_2014	73.42	76.87	77.26	77	77.01	77	76.83(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	-0	2	12	1.98	38%	0.05	14.9	2.05%	0	-0.1	62	INF
7	Dec_10_2014	73.38	76.88	77.25	77.17	77.04	76.81	76.4(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-6	-30	-12	12	2.02	39%	0.04	31.1	2.05%	0	-0.8	57	INF
8	Dec_9_2014	73.35	76.88	77.26	77.41	77.27	77.02	76.98(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-30	-9	18	1.94	38%	0.05	56.2	2.05%	0	0.2	56	INF
9	Dec_8_2014	73.31	76.89	77.23	77.51	77.39	77.27	77.28(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-20	-9	21	1.67	38%	0.07	86.3	2.05%	0	0.7	59	INF
10	Dec_5_2014	73.26	76.83	77.11	77.6	77.52	77.53	77.49(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-0	1	26	1.79	40%	0.07	109.5	2.05%	0	1.2	63	INF

11	Dec_4_2014	73.21	76.78	76.96	77.56	77.53	77.5	77.7(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-0	4	22	1.55	40%	0.08	155.6	2.05%	0	1.7	55	INF
12	Dec_3_2014	73.15	76.7	76.8	77.35	77.4	77.52	77.6(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	10	5	16	1.88	40%	0.07	205.9	2.05%	0	1.7	56	INF
13	Dec_2_2014	73.1	76.58	76.69	77.09	77.2	77.56	77.47(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	40	14	14	1.68	40%	0.08	213	2.05%	0	1.5	58	INF
14	Dec_1_2014	73.04	76.4	76.59	76.91	76.88	77.28	77.72(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	40	18	10	2.05	40%	0.08	179	2.05%	0	1.6	58	INF
15	Nov_28_2014	72.98	76.22	76.46	76.56	76.65	76.85	77.33(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	20	15	3	1.27	40%	0.08	172.7	2.05%	0	1.2	62	INF

16	Nov_26_2014	72.92	75.93	76.42	76.28	76.45	76.49	76.62(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	10	4	-5	2	40%	0.05	94.4	2.03%	0	0.4	51	INF
17	Nov_25_2014	72.88	75.64	76.44	76.18	76.31	76.46	76.32(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	20	1	-6	1.85	40%	0.05	83.6	2.03%	0	0.3	54	INF
18	Nov_24_2014	72.84	75.34	76.48	76.22	76.26	76.41	76.56(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	20	6	2	2.3	40%	0.05	77.2	2.03%	0	0.5	67	INF
19	Nov_21_2014	72.8	74.99	76.51	76.23	76.29	76.16	75.97(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10	-1	10	2.69	40%	0.05	74.9	2.03%	0	0.3	72	INF
20	Nov_20_2014	72.76	74.66	76.54	76.34	76.33	76.11	75.95(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-20	-14	16	2.51	40%	0.06	74.7	2.03%	0	0.4	72	INF

21	Nov_19_2014	72.72	74.29	76.6	76.57	76.55	76.42	76.09(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10	-9	42	2.36	40%	0.06	75.8	2.03%	0	0.5	83	INF
22	Nov_18_2014	72.68	73.88	76.62	76.74	76.76	76.56	76.52(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-20	-4	70	1.81	42%	0.07	77.2	2.02%	0	0.7	88	INF
23	Nov_17_2014	72.63	73.45	76.49	76.78	76.82	76.67	76.61(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	17	-10	-8	91	1.53	42%	0.07	75.9	2.03%	0	0.8	90	INF
24	Nov_14_2014	72.58	72.95	76.23	76.83	76.86	76.67	76.52(-0.77%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0.1	31	10	2	116	1.85	42%	0.08	74.9	2.03%	0	0.9	91	INF
25	Nov_13_2014	72.52	72.42	75.98	76.76	76.78	76.96	77.12(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	42	20	9	140	1.45	43%		72	2.03%	0	1.1	95	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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