Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Apr. 10, 2014 - Mon. Aug. 9, 2021)

(Adamas Pharmaceuticals Inc)
ADMS latest price $26.6200 (7.95%) ($25.5000 - $27.8700) on Wed. Nov. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.51% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $26.6200(7.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADMS advances 6.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADMS advances 9.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADMS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(27%)    IBB(24%)    XOP(20%)    QQQ(19%)    ARKG(18%)
Factors Impacting ADMS price   ADMS will decline at least -3.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-9%)    UNG(-8%)    BNDX(-8%)    TLT(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.255% (StdDev 6.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.61(17.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.95(27.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.79(28.04%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   94.6%
Market Cap   $753m

Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in discovery and development of chrono-synchronous therapies for chronic neurologic disorders. Its products include GOCOVRI, ADS-5012, ADS-4101, and Namzaric. GOCOVRI is indicated for the treatment of dyskinesia in patients with Parkinsonâ€™s disease receiving levodopa-based therapy. ADS-5102 is a treatment for walking impairment in patients with multiple sclerosis. ADS-401 treats partial onset seizures in patients with epilepsy. Namzaric is a drug treatment for moderate to severe Alzheimer's disease. The company was founded by Gregory T. Went on November 15, 2000 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. ADMS price fluctuates within 11.16% (three month std-dev: 6.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -9.48%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -16.71%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -23.53%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_1_2017	18.79	20.79	20.95	22.61	23.28	25.39	26.62(7.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	58	720	42	106	4.4	77%	0.48	16.3	6.51%	0	2.5	72	0
2	Oct_31_2017	18.7	20.53	20.16	21.26	21.37	23.66	24.66(4.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	50	770	45	66	1.74	75%	0.43	4.4	6.45%	0	2.1	63	0
3	Oct_30_2017	18.62	20.35	19.55	19.95	20.15	21.18	23.61(21.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	35	390	40	18	5.22	75%	0.32	-12	6.44%	0	1.9	55	0
4	Oct_27_2017	18.56	20.22	19.04	18.89	18.86	19.08	19.51(4.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	80	1	-42	0.56	70%	0.11	-30.3	5.92%	0	-0.4	34	0
5	Oct_26_2017	18.54	20.31	18.98	18.84	18.81	19.12	18.66(-5.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	110	1	-63	0.66	70%	0.05	-32.2	5.9%	0	-1	24	0

6	Oct_25_2017	18.53	20.42	19.1	18.99	18.81	18.63	19.85(9.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-17	-110	3	-76	1.83	75%	0.16	-32.2	5.85%	0	-0.4	25	0
7	Oct_24_2017	18.5	20.44	19.16	18.87	18.86	18.5	18.13(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-140	-10	-93	0.63	73%	0.05	-38.1	5.74%	0	-1.5	27	0
8	Oct_23_2017	18.49	20.56	19.51	19.05	18.86	19.09	18.31(-4.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	0	-4	-86	0.94	73%	0.05	-40.7	5.77%	0	-1.6	32	0
9	Oct_20_2017	18.48	20.72	19.88	19.18	19.11	19.23	19.26(-0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	30	2	-79	0.4	73%	0.16	-40.9	5.73%	0	-1.1	37	0
10	Oct_19_2017	18.45	20.83	20.24	19.14	19.03	19.13	19.42(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	20	-1	-74	0.52	74%	0.22	-44	5.73%	0	-1.1	41	0

11	Oct_18_2017	18.41	20.93	20.66	19.22	19.12	19	19.24(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-20	-60	-6	-62	0.58	74%	0.22	-41.5	5.73%	0	-1.3	43	0
12	Oct_17_2017	18.37	21.05	20.95	19.52	19.4	18.94	19.02(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-180	-15	-50	0.59	74%	0.05	-34.5	5.73%	0	-1.7	47	0
13	Oct_16_2017	18.36	21.17	21.24	20.05	19.96	19.25	18.98(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-260	-20	-33	0.76	74%	0.16	-22.7	5.73%	0	-1.9	46	0
14	Oct_13_2017	18.33	21.29	21.52	20.69	20.68	19.86	19.02(-4.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-22	-280	-24	-16	0.84	74%	0.22	-6.7	5.73%	0	-2.2	41	0
15	Oct_12_2017	18.29	21.43	21.77	21.5	21.47	20.68	19.84(-4.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-17	-260	-24	5	0.79	74%	0.22	16.2	5.71%	0	-1.8	43	0

16	Oct_11_2017	18.25	21.48	21.9	22.3	22.28	21.49	20.74(-4.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-3	-250	-14	30	0.93	74%	0.27	39.5	5.68%	0	-0.9	48	0
17	Oct_10_2017	18.2	21.47	21.87	22.3	22.76	22.26	21.69(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	4	-130	-7	36	0.85	70%	0.33	44.4	5.65%	0	0.3	53	0
18	Oct_9_2017	18.14	21.43	21.74	22.58	22.78	23.07	22.14(-4.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	11	120	2	36	0.52	70%	0.39	37.7	5.69%	0	0.8	57	0
19	Oct_6_2017	18.07	21.36	21.65	22.46	22.53	23.26	23.11(-2.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	240	16	40	0.57	70%	0.5	31.8	5.66%	0	2	66	0
20	Oct_5_2017	17.98	21.28	21.46	22.07	21.98	22.49	23.81(7.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	21	150	18	29	1.3	70%	0.5	27.5	5.64%	0	3.3	67	0

21	Oct_4_2017	17.89	21.14	21.19	21.48	21.48	21.81	22.14(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	110	12	14	0.67	67%	0.39	11.6	5.58%	0	2	66	0
22	Oct_3_2017	17.82	21.1	21.09	21.08	21.11	21.47	21.69(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	9	120	10	6	0.58	68%	0.34	-12.9	5.62%	0	1.2	63	0
23	Oct_2_2017	17.76	21.11	21.05	20.79	20.72	21.15	21.56(1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	3	140	5	-2	0.94	68%	0.34	-14.2	5.62%	0	0.9	59	0
24	Sep_29_2017	17.7	21.09	21	20.72	20.6	20.76	21.17(1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	40	3	-3	0.58	69%	0.28	-5.7	5.62%	0	0.2	55	0
25	Sep_28_2017	17.65	21.08	21.02	20.76	20.65	20.28	20.83(3.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-140	-4	-6	0.37	69%		60.1	5.62%	0	-0.5	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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