Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 4, 2017

Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Apr. 10, 2014 - Mon. Aug. 9, 2021)

(Adamas Pharmaceuticals Inc)
ADMS latest price $22.1400 (2.07%) ($21.6900 - $22.2100) on Wed. Oct. 4, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.58% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $22.1400(2.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADMS advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADMS advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADMS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(27%)    IBB(24%)    QQQ(19%)    XOP(19%)    ARKG(18%)
Factors Impacting ADMS price   ADMS will decline at least -2.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-8%)    UNG(-8%)    BNDX(-8%)    TLT(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.79% (StdDev 5.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.48(3.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.19(4.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.14(4.73%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   61.8%
Market Cap   $626m

Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in discovery and development of chrono-synchronous therapies for chronic neurologic disorders. Its products include GOCOVRI, ADS-5012, ADS-4101, and Namzaric. GOCOVRI is indicated for the treatment of dyskinesia in patients with Parkinsonâ€™s disease receiving levodopa-based therapy. ADS-5102 is a treatment for walking impairment in patients with multiple sclerosis. ADS-401 treats partial onset seizures in patients with epilepsy. Namzaric is a drug treatment for moderate to severe Alzheimer's disease. The company was founded by Gregory T. Went on November 15, 2000 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. ADMS price fluctuates within 2.41% (three month std-dev: 5.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.11%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.62%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.77%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.8%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2017	17.89	21.14	21.19	21.48	21.48	21.81	22.14(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	110	12	14	0.67	67%	0.39	11.6	5.58%	0	2	66	0
2	Oct_3_2017	17.82	21.1	21.09	21.08	21.11	21.47	21.69(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	9	120	10	6	0.58	68%	0.34	-12.9	5.62%	0	1.2	63	0
3	Oct_2_2017	17.76	21.11	21.05	20.79	20.72	21.15	21.56(1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	3	140	5	-2	0.94	68%	0.34	-14.2	5.62%	0	0.9	59	0
4	Sep_29_2017	17.7	21.09	21	20.72	20.6	20.76	21.17(1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	40	3	-3	0.58	69%	0.28	-5.7	5.62%	0	0.2	55	0
5	Sep_28_2017	17.65	21.09	21.02	20.76	20.65	20.28	20.83(3.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-140	-4	-6	0.37	69%	0.17	60.1	5.62%	0	-0.5	40	0

6	Sep_27_2017	17.62	21.08	21	20.86	20.84	20.43	20.14(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-11	-140	-11	-9	0.7	67%	0.23	129.8	5.61%	0	-2	41	0
7	Sep_26_2017	17.58	21.16	21.06	21.11	21.13	21.01	20.23(-4.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-6	-40	-6	-5	0.53	67%	0.17	241.8	5.63%	0	-2.1	40	0
8	Sep_25_2017	17.55	21.17	21.12	21.32	21.29	21.24	21.24(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1	-20	-1	-2	0.51	67%	0.23	325.5	5.59%	0	0.2	42	0
9	Sep_22_2017	17.51	21.12	21.07	21.3	21.56	21.25	21.37(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-60	-2	-6	0.61	68%	0.23	341.5	5.61%	0	0.5	51	0
10	Sep_21_2017	17.47	20.79	21.11	21.33	21.61	21.34	21.32(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-2	-50	-2	-1	0.47	68%	0.29	112.9	5.61%	0	0.3	54	0

11	Sep_20_2017	17.42	20.48	21.11	21.17	21.54	21.88	21.37(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	160	4	-1	1.17	68%	0.29	85.8	5.62%	0	0.4	55	0
12	Sep_19_2017	17.37	20.15	21.1	21	21.32	21.89	21.3(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	230	10	-5	2.1	68%	0.23	70.9	5.62%	0	0.5	47	0
13	Sep_18_2017	17.33	19.83	21.16	20.89	20.89	21.2	21.12(-1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	100	6	-2	0.97	68%	0.29	62.1	5.62%	0	0.5	58	0
14	Sep_15_2017	17.28	19.51	21.18	20.82	20.72	20.75	21.53(4.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-0	-0	-0	1.18	68%	0.29	54.7	5.61%	0	0.7	63	0
15	Sep_14_2017	17.23	19.15	21.12	20.89	20.83	20.59	20.54(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-90	-5	31	0.79	68%	0.23	51	5.59%	0	0.4	83	0

16	Sep_13_2017	17.19	18.83	21.16	21.03	21.12	20.69	20.53(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-130	-8	68	0.5	68%	0.29	45.9	5.59%	0	0.5	82	0
17	Sep_12_2017	17.14	18.54	21.28	21.21	21.34	21.07	20.72(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-70	-10	115	0.52	68%	0.29	43.8	5.59%	0	0.6	83	0
18	Sep_11_2017	17.09	18.27	21.25	21.46	21.56	21.54	20.77(-5.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	39	10	-3	164	1.04	68%	0.29	43.8	5.59%	0	0.7	81	0
19	Sep_8_2017	17.04	18.02	21.19	21.57	21.65	21.61	21.87(2.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	56	-0	4	213	1.24	68%	0.35	43.6	5.55%	0	1.1	87	0
20	Sep_7_2017	16.98	17.68	20.48	21.38	21.49	21.58	21.26(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	56	40	1	220	0.81	69%	0.35	40.7	5.54%	0	1.1	87	0

21	Sep_6_2017	16.92	17.43	19.84	21.31	21.32	21.7	21.45(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	62	130	3	237	0.98	69%	0.36	40.5	5.55%	0	1.3	88	0
22	Sep_5_2017	16.86	17.17	19.16	21.36	21.18	21.4	21.97(3.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	73	50	11	257	1.59	69%	0.36	42.9	5.54%	0	1.6	81	0
23	Sep_1_2017	16.8	16.9	18.42	21.02	20.97	20.95	21.29(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	68	-10	6	253	1.1	72%	0.3	43.4	5.5%	0	1.6	75	0
24	Aug_31_2017	16.75	16.66	17.73	20.74	20.79	20.96	20.94(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	82	60	25	251	0.94	72%	0.3	42.8	5.53%	0	1.7	71	0
25	Aug_30_2017	16.7	16.44	17.03	19.4	20.67	20.99	20.9(-3.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	77	300	38	195	1.96	72%		27.9	5.54%	0	1.9	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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