Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: ADMS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Apr. 10, 2014 - Mon. Aug. 9, 2021)

(Adamas Pharmaceuticals Inc)
ADMS latest price $20.0600 (1.67%) ($19.4300 - $20.3600) on Thu. Aug. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.78% (three month average)
RSI   21
Latest Price   $20.0600(1.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADMS advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADMS declines -8.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADMS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(34%)    IBB(32%)    IWO(23%)    IWM(22%)    XOP(21%)
Factors Impacting ADMS price   ADMS will decline at least -1.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    BNDX(-10%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    INDA(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.89% (StdDev 3.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $2.97(-85.19%)
Resistance Level   $21.97
5 Day Moving Average   $19.61(2.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.24(-0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.97(-8.69%)
To recent high   -32.7%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $567m

Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in discovery and development of chrono-synchronous therapies for chronic neurologic disorders. Its products include GOCOVRI, ADS-5012, ADS-4101, and Namzaric. GOCOVRI is indicated for the treatment of dyskinesia in patients with Parkinsonâ€™s disease receiving levodopa-based therapy. ADS-5102 is a treatment for walking impairment in patients with multiple sclerosis. ADS-401 treats partial onset seizures in patients with epilepsy. Namzaric is a drug treatment for moderate to severe Alzheimer's disease. The company was founded by Gregory T. Went on November 15, 2000 and is headquartered in Emeryville, CA.

$. ADMS price fluctuates within 9.38% (three month std-dev: 3.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 5.1%(86%) Average negative next day return: -2.7%(14%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 4.72%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.66%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.37%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.74%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150927

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_27_2015	21.73	21.97	20.24	19.61	19.54	19.71	20.06(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	50	4	-127	0.07	62%	0.14	-72	3.78%	0	-0.9	21	INF
2	Aug_26_2015	21.7	22.21	20.43	19.57	19.5	19.5	19.73(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-10	-2	-142	0.08	62%	0.09	-76.3	3.79%	0	-1.2	17	INF
3	Aug_25_2015	21.68	22.49	20.73	19.67	19.64	19.37	19.26(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-100	-10	-153	0.12	62%	0.09	-77.8	3.78%	0	-1.5	9	INF
4	Aug_24_2015	21.66	22.85	21.16	19.94	19.82	19.5	18.92(-5.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-58	-130	-25	-155	0.16	62%	-0.14	-77.7	3.8%	0	-1.8	4	INF
5	Aug_21_2015	21.69	23.22	21.66	20.55	20.33	19.91	20.07(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-180	-18	-138	0.13	66%	0.09	-75.4	3.73%	0	-1.5	5	INF

6	Aug_20_2015	21.67	23.56	22.03	20.97	20.87	20.14	19.85(-1.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-50	-260	-23	-132	0.11	66%	0.14	-76.3	3.73%	0	-1.8	1	INF
7	Aug_19_2015	21.64	23.94	22.44	21.43	21.33	20.74	20.24(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-54	-210	-30	-126	0.11	66%	0.14	-76.5	3.72%	0	-1.8	1	INF
8	Aug_18_2015	21.61	24.32	22.88	21.96	21.95	21.6	20.63(-6.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-44	-110	-22	-108	0.09	66%	0.14	-78.4	3.72%	0	-1.9	1	INF
9	Aug_17_2015	21.58	24.65	23.3	22.56	22.42	21.92	21.97(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-38	-170	-18	-99	0.08	71%	0.19	-82.1	3.63%	0	-1.5	1	INF
10	Aug_14_2015	21.54	24.89	23.58	22.93	22.87	22.31	22.15(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-39	-180	-20	-95	0.13	71%	0.28	-75.2	3.63%	0	-1.4	10	INF

11	Aug_13_2015	21.48	25.26	23.85	23.25	23.36	22.93	22.15(-3.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-37	-110	-17	-95	0.22	71%	0.28	-65.4	3.63%	0	-1.6	9	INF
12	Aug_12_2015	21.42	25.61	24.14	23.59	23.57	23.43	22.9(-3.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-37	-40	-16	-99	0.26	71%	0.23	-57.3	3.6%	0	-1.4	8	INF
13	Aug_11_2015	21.37	25.91	24.39	23.94	23.9	23.79	23.62(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-29	-40	-6	-98	0.08	71%	0.28	-49.2	3.57%	0	-1.2	9	INF
14	Aug_10_2015	21.31	26.15	24.67	24.16	24.19	23.71	23.83(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-140	-11	-96	0.09	71%	0.28	-43.7	3.57%	0	-1.2	24	INF
15	Aug_7_2015	21.25	26.41	24.9	24.34	24.47	24	23.77(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-120	-16	-95	0.06	71%	0.28	-38.7	3.58%	0	-1.5	27	INF

16	Aug_6_2015	21.19	26.6	25.19	24.54	24.76	24.67	23.85(-3.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-33	0	-9	-103	0.07	71%	0.28	-36.2	3.57%	0	-1.6	18	INF
17	Aug_5_2015	21.13	26.76	25.56	24.75	24.86	24.94	24.61(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	40	-2	-103	0.05	69%	0.33	-35.6	3.55%	0	-1.4	26	INF
18	Aug_4_2015	21.06	26.87	25.86	24.91	24.87	24.85	24.73(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10	-9	-107	0.09	71%	0.33	-34.2	3.56%	0	-1.4	28	INF
19	Aug_3_2015	20.99	27.01	26.09	25.27	25.13	24.79	24.74(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-110	-11	-105	0.08	71%	0.38	-25.3	3.61%	0	-1.6	31	INF
20	Jul_31_2015	20.91	27.13	26.29	25.55	25.52	24.89	24.76(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-180	-19	-111	0.16	69%	0.34	-18.2	3.64%	0	-1.8	30	INF

21	Jul_30_2015	20.84	27.23	26.78	25.96	25.86	25.47	24.93(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-120	-25	-89	0.07	67%	0.43	-12.3	3.65%	0	-1.9	42	INF
22	Jul_29_2015	20.75	27.33	27.19	26.48	26.43	26.15	25.37(-4.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-80	-15	-57	0.17	67%	0.44	-1.7	3.66%	0	-1.7	48	INF
23	Jul_28_2015	20.66	27.39	27.56	26.95	26.87	26.26	26.54(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-170	-10	-28	0.1	71%	0.49	11.5	3.6%	0	-0.8	53	INF
24	Jul_27_2015	20.56	27.39	27.76	27.03	27.13	26.71	26.15(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-100	-14	-21	0.08	71%	0.49	11.3	3.6%	0	-1.1	47	INF
25	Jul_24_2015	20.46	27.37	28.05	27.13	27.24	27.48	26.8(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	70	-15	-7	0.09	71%		11.5	3.59%	0	-0.5	52	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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