Trading Signals: ADM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: ADM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Archer-Daniels-Midland Company)
ADM latest price $43.7300 (1.16%) ($42.9500 - $43.8900) on Wed. Apr. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $43.7300(1.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADM declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADM declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(59%)    XLF(58%)    XLI(58%)    SPY(57%)    VT(57%)
Factors Impacting ADM price   ADM will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

Resistance Level   $44.18
5 Day Moving Average   $44.08(-0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.44(-1.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.18(-1.02%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $24.314b

Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. processes oilseeds, corn, wheat, cocoa and other agricultural commodities. The company operates through the following segments: Oilseeds Processing, Corn Processing, Wild Flavors & Specialty Ingredients and Agricultural Services. The Oilseeds Processing segment includes activities related to the origination, merchandising, crushing, and further processing of oilseeds such as soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed into vegetable oils and protein meals. The Corn Processing segment engages in corn wet milling and dry milling activities; and also converts corn into sweeteners, starches, and bioproducts. The Wild Flavors and Specialty Ingredients segment manufactures, sells, and distributes specialty products including natural flavor ingredients, flavor systems, natural colors, proteins, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, natural health and nutrition products, other specialty food, and feed ingredients. The Agricultural Services segment utilizes its extensive United States grain elevator and global transportation network to buy, store, clean, and transport agricultural commodities, such as oilseeds, corn, wheat, milo, oats, rice and barley. It resells these commodities primarily as food and feed ingredients and as raw materials for the agricultural processing industry. Archer-Daniels-Midland was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. ADM price fluctuates within 1.43% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.83%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.1%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.75%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140530

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_30_2014	42.06		44.44	44.08	43.88	43.3	43.73(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-43	-110	-43	-44	5.91	71%	0.02	32.2	1%	0	-0.7	44	NAN
2	Apr_29_2014	42.05	44.18	44.5	44.28	44.2	43.79	43.23(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-50	-70	-58	-26	7.79	62%	0.02	48.3	0.99%	0	-1.5	51	NAN
3	Apr_28_2014	42.04	44.19	44.66	44.55	44.6	44.46	44.38(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-20	-15	27	4.32	73%	0.05	69.2	0.97%	0	0.3	63	NAN
4	Apr_25_2014	42.02	44.14	44.67	44.66	44.68	44.6	44.42(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10	-16	51	2.29	73%	0.07	75.3	0.99%	0	0.4	69	NAN
5	Apr_24_2014	41.99	44.08	44.65	44.78	44.81	44.74	44.63(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10	-7	78	2.12	64%	0.07	80.9	0.99%	0	0.8	70	NAN

6	Apr_23_2014	41.96	43.98	44.63	44.86	44.81	44.75	44.73(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-20	-3	92	2.64	56%	0.1	80.7	1.08%	0	1	66	NAN
7	Apr_22_2014	41.92	43.87	44.52	44.77	44.89	44.89	44.61(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	10	-4	82	2.59	59%	0.1	69.7	1.16%	0	0.9	65	NAN
8	Apr_21_2014	41.88	43.76	44.43	44.78	44.8	45.02	44.89(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	40	12	92	2.22	59%	0.12	65.3	1.19%	0	1.4	69	NAN
9	Apr_17_2014	41.83	43.65	44.25	44.69	44.69	44.88	45.04(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	30	24	91	4.12	59%	0.1	65.1	1.19%	0	1.7	73	NAN
10	Apr_16_2014	41.79	43.53	44.06	44.51	44.51	44.58	45.02(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	10	11	77	2.76	54%	0.07	65.7	1.19%	0	2	74	NAN

11	Apr_15_2014	41.76	43.4	43.9	44.38	44.41	44.5	44.27(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	20	10	75	4.4	51%	0.07	66.9	1.23%	0	1.3	73	NAN
12	Apr_14_2014	41.73	43.33	43.81	44.24	44.3	44.45	44.69(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	30	20	82	4.17	54%	0.07	65.2	1.23%	0	2	82	NAN
13	Apr_11_2014	41.7	43.22	43.68	44.02	44.03	44.33	44.41(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	38	50	23	81	5.35	54%	0.1	64.7	1.24%	0	2	82	NAN
14	Apr_10_2014	41.66	43.12	43.55	43.75	43.79	44.15	44.17(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	60	31	74	5.19	54%	0.1	65.4	1.25%	0	1.9	71	NAN
15	Apr_9_2014	41.62	43.03	43.44	43.54	43.53	43.73	44.38(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	33	30	23	63	4.6	54%	0.1	75.9	1.25%	0	2.7	73	NAN

16	Apr_8_2014	41.58	42.95	43.27	43.35	43.36	43.43	43.53(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	10	9	48	4.16	51%	0.05	108.6	1.23%	0	1.5	67	NAN
17	Apr_7_2014	41.56	42.9	43.16	43.33	43.19	43.34	43.6(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	10	2	40	4.28	51%	0.07	131.9	1.24%	0	1.8	60	NAN
18	Apr_4_2014	41.53	42.84	43.04	43.29	43.22	43.3	43.05(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	17	10	10	39	4.42	49%	0.05	132.7	1.23%	0	0.4	60	NAN
19	Apr_3_2014	41.51	42.76	43	43.32	43.22	43.04	43.15(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-40	-4	38	4.17	49%	0.02	110.5	1.24%	0	0.6	63	NAN
20	Apr_2_2014	41.5	42.66	42.96	43.31	43.21	43.14	43.43(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	-20	-6	40	3.28	49%	0.07	100	1.24%	0	1.1	71	NAN

21	Apr_1_2014	41.47	42.52	42.88	43.17	43.24	43.39	43.43(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	30	17	38	3.01	49%	0.07	88.8	1.24%	0	1.1	56	NAN
22	Mar_31_2014	41.44	42.39	42.82	42.96	43.04	43.29	43.39(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	50	21	32	3.29	49%	0.05	72.6	1.25%	0	1.1	63	NAN
23	Mar_28_2014	41.42	42.22	42.73	42.74	42.82	43.09	43.21(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	50	20	20	2.77	49%	0.05	63.6	1.24%	0	1	61	NAN
24	Mar_27_2014	41.4	42.09	42.66	42.64	42.65	42.79	43.1(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	20	13	22	3.25	49%	0.02	59.2	1.25%	0	1	72	NAN
25	Mar_26_2014	41.39	41.94	42.58	42.56	42.63	42.56	42.7(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10	3	28	3.91	49%		56	1.25%	0	0.7	73	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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